Grigor Dimitrov vs Nicolas Jarry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
26/04/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
45
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
48%63%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (23/31)74% (32/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
67% (22/33)36% (9/25)
Break Points Saved
100% (5/5)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
26% (11/43)26% (8/31)
2nd Return Points Won
64% (16/25)33% (11/33)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)0% (0/5)
Winners
1224
Unforced Errors
1237
Net Points Won
80% (4/5)50% (7/14)
Service Points Won
70% (45/64)60% (41/68)
Return Points Won
40% (27/68)30% (19/64)
Total Points Won
55% (72/132)45% (60/132)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (10/10)78% (7/9)
Return Games Won
22% (2/9)0% (0/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Grigor Dimitrov
59.9%
Nicolas Jarry
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grigor Dimitrov's form might have worsened.
  • Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Jarry's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grigor Dimitrov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Grigor Dimitrov - Nicolas Jarry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.41)

    2.37
    (2.95)
    5.2%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Grigor Dimitrov - Nicolas Jarry?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Dimitrov will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Jarry will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dimitrov: 49.8%83.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Jarry (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Jarry (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Jarry (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 16. Jarry is ranked ATP: 57.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Jarry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Dimitrov will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grigor Dimitrov - Nicolas Jarry were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Nicolas Jarry - Grigor Dimitrov 0:2
    13.10.2023 Grigor Dimitrov - Nicolas Jarry 2:0
    27.05.2023 Nicolas Jarry - Grigor Dimitrov 2:0
    Latest results of Grigor Dimitrov
    Latest results of Nicolas Jarry
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.1 : 2
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R. (RET.)0 : 0
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)2 : 0
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)2 : 1
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (RET.) (32)1 : 0
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.2 : 1
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)0 : 2
    7Fonseca J. (WO.) (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.1 : 2
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)0 : 2
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.2 : 1
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)2 : 1
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)0 : 2
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    17Bublik A. (8)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    18Merida Aguilar D.Moutet C. (26)2 : 0
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    22Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (18)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.1 : 2
    24Gaubas V.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)0 : 2
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D. (31)2 : 0
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    28Ugo Carabelli C.Cobolli F. (10)1 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (13)Walton A.2 : 0
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)0 : 2
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.0 : 2
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Moller E.
    2Norrie C. (19)Tirante T. A.
    3Kopriva V.Rinderknech A. (22)
    4Fonseca J. (27)Jodar R.
    5Prizmic D.Etcheverry T. M. (25)
    6Fils A. (21)Nava E.
    7Lehecka J. (11)Michelsen A. (33)
    8Griekspoor T. (29)Musetti L. (6)
    9Tsitsipas S.Merida Aguilar D.
    10Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Ruud C. (12)
    11Cerundolo F. (16)Darderi L. (18)
    12Blockx A.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)
    13Medvedev D. (7)Budkov Kjaer N.
    14Vallejo D.Cobolli F. (10)
    15Khachanov K. (13)Mensik J. (23)
    16Atmane T.Zverev A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2