Alejandro Tabilo vs Grigor Dimitrov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
10/04/2025 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2

Match Stats

Aces
07
Double Faults
51
1st Serve Percentage
64%69%
1st Serve Points Won
54% (37/69)77% (36/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (18/38)52% (11/21)
Break Points Saved
69% (11/16)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
23% (11/47)46% (32/69)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (10/21)53% (20/38)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)31% (5/16)
Winners
1728
Unforced Errors
4138
Net Points Won
40% (6/15)80% (8/10)
Service Points Won
52% (55/106)69% (47/68)
Return Points Won
31% (21/68)48% (51/106)
Total Points Won
44% (76/174)56% (98/174)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
40
Service Games Won
62% (8/13)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)38% (5/13)
Total Games Won
42% (11/26)58% (15/26)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Tabilo
39.8%
Grigor Dimitrov
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 69.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Tabilo's performance.
  • Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grigor Dimitrov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Tabilo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grigor Dimitrov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.74)

    1.57
    (1.41)
    5.5%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 6 - 14.6%). Dimitrov will win (votes: 35 - 85.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dimitrov: 74.6%96.2%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Dimitrov (votes: 20 - 71.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Tabilo (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 9 - 31%). Dimitrov (votes: 20 - 69%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tabilo is ranked ATP: 32. Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 18.
    • Recent matches Tabilo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Dimitrov is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Our prediction for today's Dimitrov to win the game is with odds 1.66.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Tabilo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov were as follows:
    20.09.2024 Grigor Dimitrov - Alejandro Tabilo 2:0
    24.03.2024 Grigor Dimitrov - Alejandro Tabilo 2:1
    Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
    Latest results of Grigor Dimitrov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)2 : 0
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (LL)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)2 : 1
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)0 : 0
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)2 : 0
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Marozsan F.Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.0 : 2
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (7)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Cilic M.2 : 0
    14Moutet C.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.0 : 2
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    2Lehecka J. (11)Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Hurkacz H.2 : 1
    4Blockx A.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Berrettini M.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    6Bergs Z.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Ruud C. (RET.) (9)1 : 0
    8Machac T.Sinner J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bublik A. (8)2 : 0
    2Vacherot V.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 1
    3Fonseca J.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Vacherot V.2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2