Accrington Stanley vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 5
  • Referee: Martin R. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.782.87
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
50
Passes
58% (156/271)65% (249/382)
Yellow Cards
50
Expected Goals (xG)
0.782.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.431.87
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
1523
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
724
Passes
58% (156/271)65% (249/382)
Long passes
23% (18/79)27% (24/89)
Passes in final third
41% (46/112)41% (51/123)
Crosses
33% (6/18)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.93
Throw-ins
3332
Fouls
257
Tackles
60% (9/15)50% (6/12)
Duels won
6476
Clearances
4545
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.870.43
Goals prevented
0.87-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Bauress J. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Kabia J. , Staunton R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Kabia J. (Pen),
  • 53', Brown C. , Henderson A. ,
  • 54', Conneely S. , Love D. ,
  • 61', Burns D. , Vernam C. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Walton T. , Henderson A. (A),
  • 71', Love D. 🟨,
  • 75', Walton T. 🟨,
  • 78', Rawson F. , Caton C. ,
  • 84', Walton T. , Woods J. ,
  • 84', Madden P. , Mooney K. ,
  • 84', Amaluzor J. , Gardner C. ,
  • 88', Sinclair I. 🟨,
  • 90', Henderson A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Kabia J. , Rose D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
28.3%
Draw
29%
Grimsby Town
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 28.9% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 28.7% 37.9%

Accrington Stanley - Grimsby Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.31
(2.8)
3.22
(3.25)
2.19
(2.5)
6.9%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Grimsby Town?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Grimsby will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3.
    • Accrington has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Grimsby is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Grimsby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Grimsby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Accrington: Whalley S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Lavelle S. (Calf Injury) Svanthorsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Henderson A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z. (Inactive) Rose D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Grimsby Town were as follows:
    01.01.2025 Accrington Stanley - Grimsby Town 3:2
    03.12.2024 Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley 5:2
    03.02.2024 Accrington Stanley - Grimsby Town 0:0
    14.10.2023 Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley 0:2
    22.11.2022 Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley 0:1
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall18112528:181035
    2Swindon18104431:24734
    3MK Dons1895435:201532
    4Notts Co1894530:201031
    5Bromley1886428:22630
    6Gillingham1978426:20629
    7Cambridge Utd1885520:16429
    8Salford1892724:25-129
    9Colchester1977528:21728
    10Chesterfield1877432:29328
    11Crewe1883727:24327
    12Grimsby1875632:25726
    13Fleetwood1875627:26126
    14Barnet1867522:19325
    15Tranmere1858530:27323
    16Oldham1858516:13323
    17Accrington1856721:22-121
    18Barrow1855818:23-520
    19Crawley1845922:30-817
    20Shrewsbury1845918:31-1317
    21Bristol Rovers18521115:31-1617
    22Cheltenham18521114:32-1817
    23Harrogate18441017:28-1116
    24Newport18331218:33-1512

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League