Accrington Stanley vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Accrington Stanley - Grimsby Town
Result
1:1
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 5
  • Referee: Martin R. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.782.87
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
50
Passes
58% (156/271)65% (249/382)
Yellow Cards
50
Expected Goals (xG)
0.782.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.431.87
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
1523
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
724
Passes
58% (156/271)65% (249/382)
Long passes
23% (18/79)27% (24/89)
Passes in final third
41% (46/112)41% (51/123)
Crosses
33% (6/18)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.93
Throw-ins
3332
Fouls
257
Tackles
60% (9/15)50% (6/12)
Duels won
6476
Clearances
4545
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.870.43
Goals prevented
0.87-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Bauress J. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Kabia J. , Staunton R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Kabia J. (Pen),
  • 53', Brown C. , Henderson A. ,
  • 54', Conneely S. , Love D. ,
  • 61', Burns D. , Vernam C. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Walton T. , Henderson A. (A),
  • 71', Love D. 🟨,
  • 75', Walton T. 🟨,
  • 78', Rawson F. , Caton C. ,
  • 84', Walton T. , Woods J. ,
  • 84', Madden P. , Mooney K. ,
  • 84', Amaluzor J. , Gardner C. ,
  • 88', Sinclair I. 🟨,
  • 90', Henderson A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Kabia J. , Rose D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
28.3%
Draw
29%
Grimsby Town
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 28.9% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 28.7% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Accrington Stanley's form might have worsened.
  • Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Accrington Stanley - Grimsby Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (2.8)
    3.22
    (3.25)
    2.19
    (2.5)
    6.9%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Grimsby Town?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Grimsby will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3.
    • Accrington has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Grimsby is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Grimsby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Grimsby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Accrington: Whalley S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Lavelle S. (Calf Injury) Svanthorsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Henderson A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z. (Inactive) Rose D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Grimsby Town were as follows:
    01.01.2025 Accrington Stanley - Grimsby Town 3:2
    03.12.2024 Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley 5:2
    03.02.2024 Accrington Stanley - Grimsby Town 0:0
    14.10.2023 Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley 0:2
    22.11.2022 Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley 0:1
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League