Result
1:0
11/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 32
- Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (228/350) | 59% (215/366) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 22 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (228/350) | 59% (215/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (33/87) | 32% (35/109) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (69/136) | 50% (51/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 5% (1/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', McJannet C. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 0, Sellars-Fleming T. ⚽, Green K. (A),
- 63', Henderson A. ↓, Madden P. ↑,
- 63', O'Brien C. ↓, Sass F. ↑,
- 69', Sellars-Fleming T. ↓, Vernam C. ↑,
- 70', Walker J. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
- 76', McEachran G. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
- 77', Woods J. ↓, Abimbola D. ↑,
- 83', Cook A. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
- 84', Burns D. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
- 86', Matthews D. 🟥,
- 88', Grant C. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
- 90+2', Brown C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Love D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town
48.3% | Draw
26.9% | Accrington Stanley
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grimsby Town's form might have worsened.Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Accrington Stanley's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grimsby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.64) |
3.46 ↓
(3.75) |
3.77 ↓
(4.69) |
6.9%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Accrington will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 9.6% – 70.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Accrington Stanley will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- In this match, Grimsby is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pym C.
(Inactive)
Soonsup-Bell J.
(Inactive)
Svanthorsson J.
(Illness)
Tharme D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Accrington: Mooney K.
(Inactive)
Walton T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Coyle L.
(Inactive)
Madden P.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Accrington Stanley?
Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Grimsby Town?
Accrington Stanley has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley were as follows:
23.08.2025
Accrington Stanley
-
Grimsby Town
1:1
01.01.2025
Accrington Stanley
-
Grimsby Town
3:2
03.12.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Accrington Stanley
5:2
03.02.2024
Accrington Stanley
-
Grimsby Town
0:0
14.10.2023
Grimsby Town
-
Accrington Stanley
0:2
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
