Result
2:1
08/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 31
- Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.74 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 26 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 37 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 47 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (217/325) | 63% (211/333) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 61% (86/141) | 57% (69/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 36% (5/14) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 71% (17/24) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Lavelle S. ⚽, Embleton E. (A),
- 44', Hugill J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', Lavelle S. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 1, Obikwu J. ⚽, Khouri E. (A),
- 63', Wearne S. ↓, Bevan J. ↑,
- 64', Patching W. ↓, Robson E. ↑,
- 71', Khouri E. 🟨,
- 75', Embleton E. 🟨,
- 77', Embleton E. ↓, Scott C. ↑,
- 79', McJannett C. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
- 82', Robson E. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 1, Rose D. (Pen),
- 84', Obikwu J. ↓, Vernam C. ↑,
- 87', Green K. ↓, Thompson C. ↑,
- 88', Khouri E. ↓, Barrington L. ↑,
- 90+2', Lavelle S. ↓, Barclay B. ↑,
- 90+4', Thomas T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town 42% | Draw 28% | Carlisle United 30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Grimsby Town - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.24 ↑ (2.11) |
3.37 ↓ (3.48) |
3.15 ↓ (3.27) |
6.1% (6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Carlisle United?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1.
- Recent matches Grimsby is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Carlisle is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Grimsby will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Carlisle United?
Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Grimsby Town?
Carlisle United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Carlisle United were as follows:
28.09.2024
Carlisle United
-
Grimsby Town
2:3
04.03.2023
Carlisle United
-
Grimsby Town
2:0
27.09.2022
Grimsby Town
-
Carlisle United
1:2
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Carlisle United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League