Grimsby Town vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
08/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 31
  • Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.741.45
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
266
Shots on Goal
113
Shots off Goal
61
Blocked Shots
92
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
124
Shots inside the Box
183
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
29
Free Kicks
148
Offsides
31
Fouls
814
Throw-ins
2737
Touches in the Opposition Box
4711
Passes
67% (217/325)63% (211/333)
Passes in the final third
61% (86/141)57% (69/122)
Crosses
47% (9/19)36% (5/14)
Tackles
62% (13/21)71% (17/24)
Clearances Total
2623
Interceptions
116

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Lavelle S. , Embleton E. (A),
  • 44', Hugill J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 51', Lavelle S. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Obikwu J. , Khouri E. (A),
  • 63', Wearne S. , Bevan J. ,
  • 64', Patching W. , Robson E. ,
  • 71', Khouri E. 🟨,
  • 75', Embleton E. 🟨,
  • 77', Embleton E. , Scott C. ,
  • 79', McJannett C. , Warren T. ,
  • 82', Robson E. 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Rose D. (Pen),
  • 84', Obikwu J. , Vernam C. ,
  • 87', Green K. , Thompson C. ,
  • 88', Khouri E. , Barrington L. ,
  • 90+2', Lavelle S. , Barclay B. ,
  • 90+4', Thomas T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
42%
Draw
28%
Carlisle United
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 27% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 22.3% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Grimsby Town - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.11)
    3.37
    (3.48)
    3.15
    (3.27)
    6.1%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1.
    • Recent matches Grimsby is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Carlisle is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Grimsby will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Carlisle United were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Carlisle United - Grimsby Town 2:3
    04.03.2023 Carlisle United - Grimsby Town 2:0
    27.09.2022 Grimsby Town - Carlisle United 1:2
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    01.02.2025 Bromley - Grimsby Town 0:2
    28.01.2025 Grimsby Town - Gillingham 1:1
    25.01.2025 Barrow - Grimsby Town 3:0
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley392213462:362679
    2MK Dons392111776:403674
    3Cambridge Utd382012656:282872
    4Notts Co382171065:392670
    5Swindon392161263:451869
    6Salford392141454:48667
    7Grimsby3817111056:401662
    8Chesterfield391614961:52962
    9Crewe391791358:471160
    10Walsall391791348:41760
    11Oldham371513944:311358
    12Barnet3915121249:43657
    13Fleetwood3914121348:46254
    14Colchester3814111350:41953
    15Accrington381391638:42-448
    16Gillingham3811121544:56-1245
    17Bristol Rovers391342240:60-2043
    18Cheltenham381191843:65-2242
    19Shrewsbury391182037:63-2641
    20Tranmere39992148:69-2136
    21Crawley396132036:60-2431
    22Newport39872439:67-2831
    23Harrogate39792329:58-2930
    24Barrow38782336:63-2729

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League