Grimsby Town vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Grimsby Town - Carlisle United
Result
2:1
08/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 31
  • Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.741.45
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
266
Shots on Goal
113
Shots off Goal
61
Blocked Shots
92
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
124
Shots inside the Box
183
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
29
Free Kicks
148
Offsides
31
Fouls
814
Throw-ins
2737
Touches in the Opposition Box
4711
Passes
67% (217/325)63% (211/333)
Passes in the final third
61% (86/141)57% (69/122)
Crosses
47% (9/19)36% (5/14)
Tackles
62% (13/21)71% (17/24)
Clearances Total
2623
Interceptions
116

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Lavelle S. , Embleton E. (A),
  • 44', Hugill J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 51', Lavelle S. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Obikwu J. , Khouri E. (A),
  • 63', Wearne S. , Bevan J. ,
  • 64', Patching W. , Robson E. ,
  • 71', Khouri E. 🟨,
  • 75', Embleton E. 🟨,
  • 77', Embleton E. , Scott C. ,
  • 79', McJannett C. , Warren T. ,
  • 82', Robson E. 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Rose D. (Pen),
  • 84', Obikwu J. , Vernam C. ,
  • 87', Green K. , Thompson C. ,
  • 88', Khouri E. , Barrington L. ,
  • 90+2', Lavelle S. , Barclay B. ,
  • 90+4', Thomas T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
42%
Draw
28%
Carlisle United
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 27% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 22.3% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Grimsby Town - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.11)
    3.37
    (3.48)
    3.15
    (3.27)
    6.1%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1.
    • Recent matches Grimsby is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Carlisle is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Grimsby will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Carlisle United were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Carlisle United - Grimsby Town 2:3
    04.03.2023 Carlisle United - Grimsby Town 2:0
    27.09.2022 Grimsby Town - Carlisle United 1:2
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    01.02.2025 Bromley - Grimsby Town 0:2
    28.01.2025 Grimsby Town - Gillingham 1:1
    25.01.2025 Barrow - Grimsby Town 3:0
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League