Grimsby Town vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
08/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 31
  • Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.741.45
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
266
Shots on Goal
113
Shots off Goal
61
Blocked Shots
92
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
124
Shots inside the Box
183
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
29
Free Kicks
148
Offsides
31
Fouls
814
Throw-ins
2737
Touches in the Opposition Box
4711
Passes
67% (217/325)63% (211/333)
Passes in the final third
61% (86/141)57% (69/122)
Crosses
47% (9/19)36% (5/14)
Tackles
62% (13/21)71% (17/24)
Clearances Total
2623
Interceptions
116

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Lavelle S. , Embleton E. (A),
  • 44', Hugill J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 51', Lavelle S. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Obikwu J. , Khouri E. (A),
  • 63', Wearne S. , Bevan J. ,
  • 64', Patching W. , Robson E. ,
  • 71', Khouri E. 🟨,
  • 75', Embleton E. 🟨,
  • 77', Embleton E. , Scott C. ,
  • 79', McJannett C. , Warren T. ,
  • 82', Robson E. 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Rose D. (Pen),
  • 84', Obikwu J. , Vernam C. ,
  • 87', Green K. , Thompson C. ,
  • 88', Khouri E. , Barrington L. ,
  • 90+2', Lavelle S. , Barclay B. ,
  • 90+4', Thomas T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
42%
Draw
28%
Carlisle United
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 27% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 22.3% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Grimsby Town - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.11)
    3.37
    (3.48)
    3.15
    (3.27)
    6.1%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1.
    • Recent matches Grimsby is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Carlisle is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Grimsby will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Carlisle United were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Carlisle United - Grimsby Town 2:3
    04.03.2023 Carlisle United - Grimsby Town 2:0
    27.09.2022 Grimsby Town - Carlisle United 1:2
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    01.02.2025 Bromley - Grimsby Town 0:2
    28.01.2025 Grimsby Town - Gillingham 1:1
    25.01.2025 Barrow - Grimsby Town 3:0
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley351912458:352369
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Chesterfield351414755:441156
    7Crewe351681152:411156
    8Grimsby341510949:381155
    9Salford341741347:46155
    10Barnet3514111044:37753
    11Walsall341581142:37553
    12Colchester3413101148:381049
    13Fleetwood341391244:42248
    14Oldham331113936:30646
    15Accrington341371437:36146
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere35981847:62-1535
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Newport35772135:61-2628
    23Barrow33762033:51-1827
    24Harrogate35692025:52-2727

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League