Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 41
- Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.92 | 0.25 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
67% (242/359) | 56% (166/298) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.92 | 0.25 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.32 | 0.13 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 11 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
67% (242/359) | 56% (166/298) |
Long passes |
---|
37% (29/79) | 25% (23/92) |
Passes in final third |
---|
54% (82/152) | 42% (49/117) |
Crosses |
---|
43% (9/21) | 30% (6/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.58 | 0.43 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
72% (13/18) | 60% (9/15) |
Duels won |
---|
78 | 62 |
Clearances Total |
---|
25 | 36 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 0 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.13 | 2.32 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.87 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', Lewis P. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 0, Green K. ⚽, Hume D. (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Dallas A. ⚽, Jones C. (A),
- 39', Turi G. D. 🟨,
- 40', Dallas A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Hume D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Turi G. D. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 1, Barrington L. ⚽, Hume D. (A),
- 63', Hope H. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 63', White T. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
- 67', Tutonda D. 🟨,
- 72', Tutonda D. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
- 75', Burns D. ↓, Svanthorsson J. ↑,
- 77', Tharme D. 🟨,
- 79', Stott J. ↓, Songo'o Y. ↑,
- 79', Dallas A. ↓, Cooke C. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Green K. ⚽, Barrington L. (A),
- 81', 🟨,
- 85', Green K. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
- 86', Jones C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Barrington L. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town 54.9% | Draw 25.8% | Morecambe 19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grimsby Town's form might have worsened.Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grimsby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Grimsby Town - Morecambe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↑ (1.56) |
3.66 ↓ (4.05) |
4.88 ↓ (5.52) |
6.4% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Morecambe?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Grimsby is a favorite.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Cass L.
(Injury)
Gardner C.
(Injury)
Obikwu J.
(Inactive)
Vernam C.
(Thigh Injury)
Wilson D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G.
(Injury)
Hendrie L.
(Inactive)
Macadam H.
(Inactive)
Moore S.
(Injury)
Ray G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Morecambe?
Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Grimsby Town?
Morecambe has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Morecambe were as follows:
07.12.2024
Morecambe
-
Grimsby Town
0:3
24.02.2024
Morecambe
-
Grimsby Town
1:1
11.11.2023
Grimsby Town
-
Morecambe
3:2
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Morecambe
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Colchester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Cheltenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Crewe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Gillingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Oldham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Swindon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Tranmere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Walsall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Accrington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Barnet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Chesterfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Grimsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | MK Dons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Notts Co | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Crawley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Barrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Bromley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Newport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Harrogate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Fleetwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Salford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League