Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 41
- Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (242/359) | 56% (166/298) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (242/359) | 56% (166/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (29/79) | 25% (23/92) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (82/152) | 42% (49/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.43 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 78 | 62 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 2.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', Lewis P. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 0, Green K. ⚽, Hume D. (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Dallas A. ⚽, Jones C. (A),
- 39', Turi G. D. 🟨,
- 40', Dallas A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Hume D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Turi G. D. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 1, Barrington L. ⚽, Hume D. (A),
- 63', Hope H. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 63', White T. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
- 67', Tutonda D. 🟨,
- 72', Tutonda D. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
- 75', Burns D. ↓, Svanthorsson J. ↑,
- 77', Tharme D. 🟨,
- 79', Stott J. ↓, Songo'o Y. ↑,
- 79', Dallas A. ↓, Cooke C. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Green K. ⚽, Barrington L. (A),
- 81', 🟨,
- 85', Green K. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
- 86', Jones C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Barrington L. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town
54.9% | Draw
25.8% | Morecambe
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grimsby Town's form might have worsened.Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grimsby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Grimsby Town - Morecambe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.56) |
3.66 ↓
(4.05) |
4.88 ↓
(5.52) |
6.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Morecambe?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Grimsby is a favorite.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Cass L.
(Injury)
Gardner C.
(Injury)
Obikwu J.
(Inactive)
Vernam C.
(Thigh Injury)
Wilson D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G.
(Injury)
Hendrie L.
(Inactive)
Macadam H.
(Inactive)
Moore S.
(Injury)
Ray G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Morecambe?
Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Grimsby Town?
Morecambe has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Morecambe were as follows:
07.12.2024
Morecambe
-
Grimsby Town
0:3
24.02.2024
Morecambe
-
Grimsby Town
1:1
11.11.2023
Grimsby Town
-
Morecambe
3:2
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Morecambe
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
