Grimsby Town vs Morecambe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Grimsby Town - Morecambe
Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 41
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.25
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
174
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
67% (242/359)56% (166/298)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.25
xG on target (xGOT)
2.320.13
Total shots
174
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2511
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
67% (242/359)56% (166/298)
Long passes
37% (29/79)25% (23/92)
Passes in final third
54% (82/152)42% (49/117)
Crosses
43% (9/21)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.580.43
Fouls
1118
Tackles
72% (13/18)60% (9/15)
Duels won
7862
Clearances Total
2536
Interceptions
120
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.132.32
Goals prevented
-0.87-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', Lewis P. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Green K. , Hume D. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Dallas A. , Jones C. (A),
  • 39', Turi G. D. 🟨,
  • 40', Dallas A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Hume D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Turi G. D. , McEachran G. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Barrington L. , Hume D. (A),
  • 63', Hope H. , Dackers M. ,
  • 63', White T. , Tollitt B. ,
  • 67', Tutonda D. 🟨,
  • 72', Tutonda D. , Taylor M. ,
  • 75', Burns D. , Svanthorsson J. ,
  • 77', Tharme D. 🟨,
  • 79', Stott J. , Songo'o Y. ,
  • 79', Dallas A. , Cooke C. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Green K. , Barrington L. (A),
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 85', Green K. , Davies J. ,
  • 86', Jones C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Barrington L. , Warren T. ,

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
54.9%
Draw
25.8%
Morecambe
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 23.1% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 22.8% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grimsby Town's form might have worsened.
  • Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grimsby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Grimsby Town - Morecambe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.56)
    3.66
    (4.05)
    4.88
    (5.52)
    6.4%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Morecambe?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Grimsby is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Cass L. (Injury) Gardner C. (Injury) Obikwu J. (Inactive) Vernam C. (Thigh Injury) Wilson D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G. (Injury) Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Moore S. (Injury) Ray G. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Morecambe were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Morecambe - Grimsby Town 0:3
    24.02.2024 Morecambe - Grimsby Town 1:1
    11.11.2023 Grimsby Town - Morecambe 3:2
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Morecambe
    29.03.2025 Morecambe - Swindon Town 1:0
    22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0
    15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League