Grimsby Town vs Morecambe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Blundell Park (Cleethorpes).

League Two - Round 41
Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.92	0.25
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
17	4
Shots on target
9	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
6	6
Passes
67% (242/359)	56% (166/298)
Yellow Cards
4	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92	0.25
xG on target (xGOT)
2.32	0.13
Total shots
17	4
Shots on target
9	1
Shots off target
4	1
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
13	3
Shots outside the Box
4	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
25	11
Offsides
5	1
Free Kicks
18	11
Passes
67% (242/359)	56% (166/298)
Long passes
37% (29/79)	25% (23/92)
Passes in final third
54% (82/152)	42% (49/117)
Crosses
43% (9/21)	30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.58	0.43
Fouls
11	18
Tackles
72% (13/18)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
78	62
Clearances Total
25	36
Interceptions
12	0
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	6
xGOT faced
0.13	2.32
Goals prevented
-0.87	-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Lewis P. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Green K. ⚽, Hume D. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Dallas A. ⚽, Jones C. (A),
39', Turi G. D. 🟨,
40', Dallas A. 🟨,
45+1', Hume D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Turi G. D. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Barrington L. ⚽, Hume D. (A),
63', Hope H. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
63', White T. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
67', Tutonda D. 🟨,
72', Tutonda D. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
75', Burns D. ↓, Svanthorsson J. ↑,
77', Tharme D. 🟨,
79', Stott J. ↓, Songo'o Y. ↑,
79', Dallas A. ↓, Cooke C. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Green K. ⚽, Barrington L. (A),
81', 🟨,
85', Green K. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
86', Jones C. 🟨,
90+2', Barrington L. ↓, Warren T. ↑,

Chances of winning

Grimsby Town
54.9%

Draw
25.8%

Morecambe
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

23.1%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

22.8%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grimsby Town's form might have worsened.

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grimsby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Grimsby Town - Morecambe Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.56)	3.66 ↓ (4.05)	4.88 ↓ (5.52)	6.4% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Morecambe?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Grimsby is a favorite.
There will not play in Grimsby: Cass L. (Injury) Gardner C. (Injury) Obikwu J. (Inactive) Vernam C. (Thigh Injury) Wilson D. (Inactive)
There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G. (Injury) Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Moore S. (Injury) Ray G. (Lacking Match Fitness)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.2:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.3:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Morecambe?

Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Grimsby Town?

Morecambe has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Morecambe were as follows:

07.12.2024 Morecambe - Grimsby Town 0:3

24.02.2024 Morecambe - Grimsby Town 1:1

11.11.2023 Grimsby Town - Morecambe 3:2

Latest results of Grimsby Town

01.04.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town 2:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Colchester United - Grimsby Town 1:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Grimsby Town - Newport County 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Grimsby Town - Salford City 0:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Grimsby Town - Notts County 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Morecambe

01.04.2025 Morecambe - Cheltenham Town 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Morecambe - Swindon Town 1:0 ✺

22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Morecambe 2:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	35	19	12	4	58:35	23	69
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Chesterfield	35	14	14	7	55:44	11	56
7	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
8	Grimsby	34	15	10	9	49:38	11	55
9	Salford	34	17	4	13	47:46	1	55
10	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
11	Walsall	34	15	8	11	42:37	5	53
12	Colchester	34	13	10	11	48:38	10	49
13	Fleetwood	34	13	9	12	44:42	2	48
14	Oldham	33	11	13	9	36:30	6	46
15	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	35	9	8	18	47:62	-15	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Newport	35	7	7	21	35:61	-26	28
23	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
24	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League