Grimsby Town vs Morecambe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 41
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.25
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
174
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
67% (242/359)56% (166/298)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.25
xG on target (xGOT)
2.320.13
Total shots
174
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2511
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
67% (242/359)56% (166/298)
Long passes
37% (29/79)25% (23/92)
Passes in final third
54% (82/152)42% (49/117)
Crosses
43% (9/21)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.580.43
Fouls
1118
Tackles
72% (13/18)60% (9/15)
Duels won
7862
Clearances Total
2536
Interceptions
120
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.132.32
Goals prevented
-0.87-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', Lewis P. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Green K. , Hume D. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Dallas A. , Jones C. (A),
  • 39', Turi G. D. 🟨,
  • 40', Dallas A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Hume D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Turi G. D. , McEachran G. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Barrington L. , Hume D. (A),
  • 63', Hope H. , Dackers M. ,
  • 63', White T. , Tollitt B. ,
  • 67', Tutonda D. 🟨,
  • 72', Tutonda D. , Taylor M. ,
  • 75', Burns D. , Svanthorsson J. ,
  • 77', Tharme D. 🟨,
  • 79', Stott J. , Songo'o Y. ,
  • 79', Dallas A. , Cooke C. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Green K. , Barrington L. (A),
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 85', Green K. , Davies J. ,
  • 86', Jones C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Barrington L. , Warren T. ,

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
54.9%
Draw
25.8%
Morecambe
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 23.1% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 22.8% 16.7%

Grimsby Town - Morecambe Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.71
(1.56)
3.66
(4.05)
4.88
(5.52)
6.4%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Morecambe?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Grimsby is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Cass L. (Injury) Gardner C. (Injury) Obikwu J. (Inactive) Vernam C. (Thigh Injury) Wilson D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G. (Injury) Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Moore S. (Injury) Ray G. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Morecambe were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Morecambe - Grimsby Town 0:3
    24.02.2024 Morecambe - Grimsby Town 1:1
    11.11.2023 Grimsby Town - Morecambe 3:2
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Morecambe
    29.03.2025 Morecambe - Swindon Town 1:0
    22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0
    15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley30188454:322262
    2Swindon31184952:341858
    3Notts Co30176746:301657
    4Cambridge Utd30168642:241856
    5MK Dons30159659:332654
    6Salford29164941:35652
    7Walsall30147938:31749
    8Grimsby30139842:321048
    9Chesterfield301212649:41848
    10Crewe311381047:38947
    11Barnet301210840:31946
    12Colchester29129843:311245
    13Accrington301271135:31443
    14Gillingham291011840:36441
    15Fleetwood291071238:39-137
    16Oldham28811928:29-135
    17Tranmere30881443:51-832
    18Cheltenham29931729:51-2230
    19Bristol Rovers30831928:50-2227
    20Crawley31681732:51-1926
    21Shrewsbury30681625:50-2526
    22Barrow29661730:46-1624
    23Newport30561929:56-2721
    24Harrogate31562022:50-2821

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League