Grimsby Town vs Morecambe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 41
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.25
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
174
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
67% (242/359)56% (166/298)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.25
xG on target (xGOT)
2.320.13
Total shots
174
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2511
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
67% (242/359)56% (166/298)
Long passes
37% (29/79)25% (23/92)
Passes in final third
54% (82/152)42% (49/117)
Crosses
43% (9/21)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.580.43
Fouls
1118
Tackles
72% (13/18)60% (9/15)
Duels won
7862
Clearances Total
2536
Interceptions
120
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.132.32
Goals prevented
-0.87-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', Lewis P. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Green K. , Hume D. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Dallas A. , Jones C. (A),
  • 39', Turi G. D. 🟨,
  • 40', Dallas A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Hume D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Turi G. D. , McEachran G. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Barrington L. , Hume D. (A),
  • 63', Hope H. , Dackers M. ,
  • 63', White T. , Tollitt B. ,
  • 67', Tutonda D. 🟨,
  • 72', Tutonda D. , Taylor M. ,
  • 75', Burns D. , Svanthorsson J. ,
  • 77', Tharme D. 🟨,
  • 79', Stott J. , Songo'o Y. ,
  • 79', Dallas A. , Cooke C. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Green K. , Barrington L. (A),
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 85', Green K. , Davies J. ,
  • 86', Jones C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Barrington L. , Warren T. ,

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
54.9%
Draw
25.8%
Morecambe
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 23.1% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 22.8% 16.7%

Grimsby Town - Morecambe Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.71
(1.56)
3.66
(4.05)
4.88
(5.52)
6.4%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Morecambe?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Grimsby is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Cass L. (Injury) Gardner C. (Injury) Obikwu J. (Inactive) Vernam C. (Thigh Injury) Wilson D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G. (Injury) Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Moore S. (Injury) Ray G. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Morecambe were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Morecambe - Grimsby Town 0:3
    24.02.2024 Morecambe - Grimsby Town 1:1
    11.11.2023 Grimsby Town - Morecambe 3:2
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Morecambe
    29.03.2025 Morecambe - Swindon Town 1:0
    22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0
    15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall18112528:181035
    2Swindon18104431:24734
    3MK Dons1895435:201532
    4Notts Co1894530:201031
    5Bromley1886428:22630
    6Gillingham1978426:20629
    7Cambridge Utd1885520:16429
    8Salford1892724:25-129
    9Colchester1977528:21728
    10Chesterfield1877432:29328
    11Crewe1883727:24327
    12Grimsby1875632:25726
    13Fleetwood1875627:26126
    14Barnet1867522:19325
    15Tranmere1858530:27323
    16Oldham1858516:13323
    17Accrington1856721:22-121
    18Barrow1855818:23-520
    19Crawley1845922:30-817
    20Shrewsbury1845918:31-1317
    21Bristol Rovers18521115:31-1617
    22Cheltenham18521114:32-1817
    23Harrogate18441017:28-1116
    24Newport18331218:33-1512

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League