Grimsby Town vs Morecambe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 41
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.25
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
174
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
67% (242/359)56% (166/298)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.25
xG on target (xGOT)
2.320.13
Total shots
174
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2511
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
67% (242/359)56% (166/298)
Long passes
37% (29/79)25% (23/92)
Passes in final third
54% (82/152)42% (49/117)
Crosses
43% (9/21)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.580.43
Fouls
1118
Tackles
72% (13/18)60% (9/15)
Duels won
7862
Clearances Total
2536
Interceptions
120
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.132.32
Goals prevented
-0.87-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', Lewis P. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Green K. , Hume D. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Dallas A. , Jones C. (A),
  • 39', Turi G. D. 🟨,
  • 40', Dallas A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Hume D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Turi G. D. , McEachran G. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Barrington L. , Hume D. (A),
  • 63', Hope H. , Dackers M. ,
  • 63', White T. , Tollitt B. ,
  • 67', Tutonda D. 🟨,
  • 72', Tutonda D. , Taylor M. ,
  • 75', Burns D. , Svanthorsson J. ,
  • 77', Tharme D. 🟨,
  • 79', Stott J. , Songo'o Y. ,
  • 79', Dallas A. , Cooke C. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Green K. , Barrington L. (A),
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 85', Green K. , Davies J. ,
  • 86', Jones C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Barrington L. , Warren T. ,

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
54.9%
Draw
25.8%
Morecambe
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 23.1% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 22.8% 16.7%

Grimsby Town - Morecambe Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.71
(1.56)
3.66
(4.05)
4.88
(5.52)
6.4%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Morecambe?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Grimsby is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Cass L. (Injury) Gardner C. (Injury) Obikwu J. (Inactive) Vernam C. (Thigh Injury) Wilson D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G. (Injury) Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Moore S. (Injury) Ray G. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Morecambe were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Morecambe - Grimsby Town 0:3
    24.02.2024 Morecambe - Grimsby Town 1:1
    11.11.2023 Grimsby Town - Morecambe 3:2
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Morecambe
    29.03.2025 Morecambe - Swindon Town 1:0
    22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0
    15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley26157444:271752
    2Swindon25144741:291246
    3Walsall25144735:241146
    4Salford25144738:33546
    5MK Dons26128648:282044
    6Cambridge Utd25128530:201044
    7Notts Co25126738:271142
    8Chesterfield261011542:35741
    9Colchester25109639:281139
    10Crewe26116942:34839
    11Grimsby25107836:30637
    12Oldham25811626:20635
    13Barnet2598832:27535
    14Gillingham25811634:30435
    15Fleetwood2597933:32134
    16Accrington25961027:28-133
    17Tranmere26881040:42-232
    18Cheltenham26931426:43-1730
    19Barrow25661327:38-1124
    20Shrewsbury25571322:41-1922
    21Bristol Rovers25631621:45-2421
    22Crawley26471529:47-1819
    23Harrogate26461619:41-2218
    24Newport25451626:46-2017

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League