Morecambe vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 40
  • Referee: Eley R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.53
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
56% (156/278)57% (139/244)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.060.06
Total shots
178
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2220
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1910
Passes
56% (156/278)57% (139/244)
Long passes
34% (29/86)29% (23/80)
Passes in final third
50% (71/142)50% (49/98)
Crosses
20% (5/25)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.821.04
Fouls
1019
Tackles
54% (7/13)60% (12/20)
Duels won
7370
Clearances Total
4647
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.062.06
Goals prevented
0.060.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
  • 64', Miller G. , Hay A. ,
  • 66', Dallas A. , Garner G. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Garner G. , Burgoyne H. (A),
  • 72', Bakare I. 🟨,
  • 73', Bradbury T. , Adedokun V. ,
  • 73', Archer E. , Dulson L. ,
  • 74', 2 - 0, Angol L. ,
  • 81', Lewis P. , Songo'o Y. ,
  • 83', Taylor M. , Williams E. ,
  • 83', Thomas J. , Haynes R. ,
  • 88', Hope H. , Tollitt B. ,
  • 88', Jones C. , Cooke C. ,

Chances of winning


Morecambe
40.3%
Draw
29.2%
Cheltenham Town
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 26.3% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 25.6% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cheltenham Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morecambe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cheltenham Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Morecambe - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.63)
    3.22
    (3.55)
    3.09
    (2.43)
    6.1%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Morecambe - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 1.
    • Recent matches Morecambe is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cheltenham is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G. (Injury) Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Moore S. (Injury) Ray G. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Pell H. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Bowman R. (Inactive) Power D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19:29 (average 1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Cheltenham Town - Morecambe 2:0
    07.01.2023 Morecambe - Cheltenham Town 2:1
    25.10.2022 Cheltenham Town - Morecambe 1:0
    Latest results of Morecambe
    29.03.2025 Morecambe - Swindon Town 1:0
    22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0
    15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2
    04.03.2025 Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One