Result
0:4
18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 43
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.55 | 3.57 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
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8 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
64% (225/350) | 71% (296/416) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.55 | 3.57 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.27 | 3.06 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 19 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 8 |
Passes |
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64% (225/350) | 71% (296/416) |
Long passes |
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29% (20/69) | 45% (41/91) |
Passes in final third |
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38% (36/95) | 53% (65/122) |
Crosses |
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20% (1/5) | 25% (4/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.49 | 1.53 |
Fouls |
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8 | 15 |
Tackles |
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59% (13/22) | 74% (14/19) |
Duels won |
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70 | 59 |
Clearances Total |
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25 | 22 |
Interceptions |
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15 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.06 | 0.27 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.94 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Nichols T. ⚽, Smith H. (A),
- 32', 0 - 2, Clarke O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 55', McEachran G. ↓, Turi G. D. ↑,
- 55', Hume D. ↓, Vernam C. ↑,
- 59', Turi G. D. 🟨,
- 63', Khouri E. ↓, Ainley C. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 3, Tshimanga K. ⚽, Glatzel P. (A),
- 76', Clarke O. 🟨,
- 76', Rose D. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
- 78', Cotterill J. ↓, Sobowale T. ↑,
- 78', Clarke O. ↓, Westley J. ↑,
- 81', Freckleton M. 🟨,
- 87', Tshimanga K. ↓, Ameen B. ↑,
- 90+5', 0 - 4, Ameen B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town 48.7% | Draw 26.1% | Swindon Town 25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Grimsby Town - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.94 ↑ (1.8) |
3.62 ↓ (3.85) |
3.73 ↓ (3.89) |
6% (7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1.
- Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
- In this match Grimsby is a favorite.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Injury)
Obikwu J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Swindon: Delaney R.
(Injury)
Drinan A.
(Knee Injury)
Hall G.
(Inactive)
McGregor J.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Cass L.
(Injury)
Luker J.
(Inactive)
Tharme D.
(Injury)
Wilson D.
(Inactive)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:22 (average 1.2:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Swindon Town?
Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Grimsby Town?
Swindon Town has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Swindon Town were as follows:
21.12.2024
Swindon Town
-
Grimsby Town
3:1
20.04.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Swindon Town
2:0
30.09.2023
Swindon Town
-
Grimsby Town
2:1
14.01.2023
Swindon Town
-
Grimsby Town
5:0
24.09.2022
Grimsby Town
-
Swindon Town
1:2
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Colchester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Cheltenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Crewe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Gillingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Oldham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Swindon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Tranmere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Walsall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Accrington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Barnet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Chesterfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Grimsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | MK Dons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Notts Co | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Crawley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Barrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Bromley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Newport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Harrogate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Fleetwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Salford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League