Grimsby Town vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Blundell Park (Cleethorpes).

League Two - Round 43
Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.55	3.57
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
8	13
Shots on target
2	6
Big Chances
0	5
Corner Kicks
0	3
Passes
64% (225/350)	71% (296/416)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55	3.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.27	3.06
Total shots
8	13
Shots on target
2	6
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
5	10
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	5
Corner Kicks
0	3
Touches in opposition box
13	19
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
15	8
Passes
64% (225/350)	71% (296/416)
Long passes
29% (20/69)	45% (41/91)
Passes in final third
38% (36/95)	53% (65/122)
Crosses
20% (1/5)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.49	1.53
Fouls
8	15
Tackles
59% (13/22)	74% (14/19)
Duels won
70	59
Clearances Total
25	22
Interceptions
15	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
3.06	0.27
Goals prevented
-0.94	0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Nichols T. ⚽, Smith H. (A),
32', 0 - 2, Clarke O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', McEachran G. ↓, Turi G. D. ↑,
55', Hume D. ↓, Vernam C. ↑,
59', Turi G. D. 🟨,
63', Khouri E. ↓, Ainley C. ↑,
65', 0 - 3, Tshimanga K. ⚽, Glatzel P. (A),
76', Clarke O. 🟨,
76', Rose D. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
78', Cotterill J. ↓, Sobowale T. ↑,
78', Clarke O. ↓, Westley J. ↑,
81', Freckleton M. 🟨,
87', Tshimanga K. ↓, Ameen B. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 4, Ameen B. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Grimsby Town
48.7%

Draw
26.1%

Swindon Town
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

24.2%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

23.8%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Grimsby Town - Swindon Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.8)	3.62 ↓ (3.85)	3.73 ↓ (3.89)	6% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Swindon Town?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 45% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1.
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
In this match Grimsby is a favorite.
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Injury) Obikwu J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Swindon: Delaney R. (Injury) Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) McGregor J. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Cass L. (Injury) Luker J. (Inactive) Tharme D. (Injury) Wilson D. (Inactive)
Last 11 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:22 (average 1.2:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.6:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Swindon Town?

Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Grimsby Town?

Swindon Town has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Swindon Town were as follows:

21.12.2024 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 3:1

20.04.2024 Grimsby Town - Swindon Town 2:0

30.09.2023 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 2:1

14.01.2023 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 5:0

24.09.2022 Grimsby Town - Swindon Town 1:2

Latest results of Grimsby Town

12.04.2025 Harrogate Town - Grimsby Town 2:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Grimsby Town - Morecambe 3:1 ✺

01.04.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town 2:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Colchester United - Grimsby Town 1:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Grimsby Town - Newport County 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Swindon Town

12.04.2025 Swindon Town - Bradford City 5:4 ✺

05.04.2025 Fleetwood Town - Swindon Town 0:4 ✺

01.04.2025 Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Morecambe - Swindon Town 1:0 ✺

22.03.2025 Swindon Town - Accrington Stanley 0:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League