Grimsby Town vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Grimsby Town - Swindon Town
Result
0:4
18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 43
  • Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.553.57
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
03
Passes
64% (225/350)71% (296/416)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.553.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.273.06
Total shots
813
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
03
Touches in opposition box
1319
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
158
Passes
64% (225/350)71% (296/416)
Long passes
29% (20/69)45% (41/91)
Passes in final third
38% (36/95)53% (65/122)
Crosses
20% (1/5)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.491.53
Fouls
815
Tackles
59% (13/22)74% (14/19)
Duels won
7059
Clearances Total
2522
Interceptions
1510
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
3.060.27
Goals prevented
-0.940.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Nichols T. , Smith H. (A),
  • 32', 0 - 2, Clarke O. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 55', McEachran G. , Turi G. D. ,
  • 55', Hume D. , Vernam C. ,
  • 59', Turi G. D. 🟨,
  • 63', Khouri E. , Ainley C. ,
  • 65', 0 - 3, Tshimanga K. , Glatzel P. (A),
  • 76', Clarke O. 🟨,
  • 76', Rose D. , Burns D. ,
  • 78', Cotterill J. , Sobowale T. ,
  • 78', Clarke O. , Westley J. ,
  • 81', Freckleton M. 🟨,
  • 87', Tshimanga K. , Ameen B. ,
  • 90+5', 0 - 4, Ameen B. ,

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
48.7%
Draw
26.1%
Swindon Town
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 24.2% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 23.8% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Grimsby Town - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.8)
    3.62
    (3.85)
    3.73
    (3.89)
    6%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1.
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • In this match Grimsby is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Injury) Obikwu J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Swindon: Delaney R. (Injury) Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) McGregor J. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Cass L. (Injury) Luker J. (Inactive) Tharme D. (Injury) Wilson D. (Inactive)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:22 (average 1.2:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Swindon Town were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 3:1
    20.04.2024 Grimsby Town - Swindon Town 2:0
    30.09.2023 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 2:1
    14.01.2023 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 5:0
    24.09.2022 Grimsby Town - Swindon Town 1:2
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League