Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

County Ground (Swindon).

League Two - Round 17
Referee: Yates O. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.18	2.49
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
14	15
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
6	8
Passes
58% (168/288)	72% (286/396)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18	2.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.80	2.15
Total shots
14	15
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
11	13
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
6	8
Touches in opposition box
24	35
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
7	17
Passes
58% (168/288)	72% (286/396)
Long passes
34% (28/82)	38% (25/66)
Passes in final third
47% (39/83)	57% (82/143)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	1.35
Throw-ins
30	31
Fouls
17	7
Tackles
69% (11/16)	38% (5/13)
Duels won
60	65
Clearances
31	34
Interceptions
4	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
2.15	1.80
Goals prevented
0.15	-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Palmer O. ⚽, Ball J. (A),
13', 2 - 0, Bodin B. ⚽, Oldaker D. (A),
22', 2 - 1, Green K. ⚽, Vernam C. (A),
40', Kilkenny G. 🟨,
41', 2 - 2, Rose D. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Bodin B. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
65', Tafazolli R. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
67', Turi G. D. 🟨,
74', Oldaker D. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,
74', Ball J. ↓, Wright W. ↑,
76', Turi G. D. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
79', Tabor J. 🟨,
82', Rose D. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
86', Green K. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
86', McEachran G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Swindon Town
40.9%

Draw
27%

Grimsby Town
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

25.6%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

25.5%

29.7%

Swindon Town - Grimsby Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.08)	3.47 ↓ (3.63)	2.94 ↓ (3.11)	6.9% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Grimsby Town?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 4.
Swindon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Grimsby has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Swindon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Grimsby has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Nichols T. (Yellow Cards) Smith H. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Pym C. (Red Card) Sweeney J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Swindon: Wilson-Brown T. (Injury)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H. (Inactive) Tharme D. (Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:13. (average 2.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Grimsby Town?

Swindon Town has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Swindon Town?

Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Grimsby Town were as follows:

18.04.2025 Grimsby Town - Swindon Town 0:4

21.12.2024 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 3:1

20.04.2024 Grimsby Town - Swindon Town 2:0

30.09.2023 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 2:1

14.01.2023 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 5:0

Latest results of Swindon Town

15.11.2025 Fleetwood Town - Swindon Town 1:1 ✺

11.11.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town 0:4 ✺

08.11.2025 Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers 2:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Rotherham United - Swindon Town 1:2 ✺

28.10.2025 Swindon Town - West Ham United U21 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Grimsby Town

15.11.2025 Grimsby Town - Chesterfield 0:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Barrow - Grimsby Town 2:2 ✺

04.11.2025 Grimsby Town - Everton U21 5:3 ✺

01.11.2025 Grimsby Town - Ebbsfleet United 3:1 ✺

28.10.2025 Grimsby Town - Brentford 0:5 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Walsall	18	11	2	5	28:18	10	35
2	Swindon	18	10	4	4	31:24	7	34
3	MK Dons	18	9	5	4	35:20	15	32
4	Notts Co	18	9	4	5	30:20	10	31
5	Bromley	18	8	6	4	28:22	6	30
6	Gillingham	19	7	8	4	26:20	6	29
7	Cambridge Utd	18	8	5	5	20:16	4	29
8	Salford	18	9	2	7	24:25	-1	29
9	Colchester	19	7	7	5	28:21	7	28
10	Chesterfield	18	7	7	4	32:29	3	28
11	Crewe	18	8	3	7	27:24	3	27
12	Grimsby	18	7	5	6	32:25	7	26
13	Fleetwood	18	7	5	6	27:26	1	26
14	Barnet	18	6	7	5	22:19	3	25
15	Tranmere	18	5	8	5	30:27	3	23
16	Oldham	18	5	8	5	16:13	3	23
17	Accrington	18	5	6	7	21:22	-1	21
18	Barrow	18	5	5	8	18:23	-5	20
19	Crawley	18	4	5	9	22:30	-8	17
20	Shrewsbury	18	4	5	9	18:31	-13	17
21	Bristol Rovers	18	5	2	11	15:31	-16	17
22	Cheltenham	18	5	2	11	14:32	-18	17
23	Harrogate	18	4	4	10	17:28	-11	16
24	Newport	18	3	3	12	18:33	-15	12

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League