Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

County Ground (Swindon).

League Two - Round 17
Referee: Yates O. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.18	2.49
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
14	15
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
6	8
Passes
58% (168/288)	72% (286/396)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18	2.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.80	2.15
Total shots
14	15
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
11	13
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
6	8
Touches in opposition box
24	35
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
7	17
Passes
58% (168/288)	72% (286/396)
Long passes
34% (28/82)	38% (25/66)
Passes in final third
47% (39/83)	57% (82/143)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	1.35
Throw-ins
30	31
Fouls
17	7
Tackles
69% (11/16)	38% (5/13)
Duels won
60	65
Clearances
31	34
Interceptions
4	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
2.15	1.80
Goals prevented
0.15	-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Palmer O. ⚽, Ball J. (A),
13', 2 - 0, Bodin B. ⚽, Oldaker D. (A),
22', 2 - 1, Green K. ⚽, Vernam C. (A),
40', Kilkenny G. 🟨,
41', 2 - 2, Rose D. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Bodin B. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
65', Tafazolli R. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
67', Turi G. D. 🟨,
74', Oldaker D. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,
74', Ball J. ↓, Wright W. ↑,
76', Turi G. D. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
79', Tabor J. 🟨,
82', Rose D. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
86', Green K. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
86', McEachran G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Swindon Town
40.9%

Draw
27%

Grimsby Town
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

25.6%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

25.5%

29.7%

Swindon Town - Grimsby Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.08)	3.47 ↓ (3.63)	2.94 ↓ (3.11)	6.9% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Grimsby Town?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 4.
Swindon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Grimsby has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Swindon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Grimsby has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Nichols T. (Yellow Cards) Smith H. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Pym C. (Red Card) Sweeney J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Swindon: Wilson-Brown T. (Injury)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H. (Inactive) Tharme D. (Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:13. (average 2.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Grimsby Town?

Swindon Town has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Swindon Town?

Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Grimsby Town were as follows:

18.04.2025 Grimsby Town - Swindon Town 0:4

21.12.2024 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 3:1

20.04.2024 Grimsby Town - Swindon Town 2:0

30.09.2023 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 2:1

14.01.2023 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 5:0

Latest results of Swindon Town

15.11.2025 Fleetwood Town - Swindon Town 1:1 ✺

11.11.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town 0:4 ✺

08.11.2025 Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers 2:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Rotherham United - Swindon Town 1:2 ✺

28.10.2025 Swindon Town - West Ham United U21 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Grimsby Town

15.11.2025 Grimsby Town - Chesterfield 0:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Barrow - Grimsby Town 2:2 ✺

04.11.2025 Grimsby Town - Everton U21 5:3 ✺

01.11.2025 Grimsby Town - Ebbsfleet United 3:1 ✺

28.10.2025 Grimsby Town - Brentford 0:5 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	26	15	7	4	44:27	17	52
2	Swindon	25	14	4	7	41:29	12	46
3	Walsall	25	14	4	7	35:24	11	46
4	Salford	25	14	4	7	38:33	5	46
5	MK Dons	26	12	8	6	48:28	20	44
6	Cambridge Utd	25	12	8	5	30:20	10	44
7	Notts Co	25	12	6	7	38:27	11	42
8	Chesterfield	26	10	11	5	42:35	7	41
9	Colchester	25	10	9	6	39:28	11	39
10	Crewe	26	11	6	9	42:34	8	39
11	Grimsby	25	10	7	8	36:30	6	37
12	Oldham	25	8	11	6	26:20	6	35
13	Barnet	25	9	8	8	32:27	5	35
14	Gillingham	25	8	11	6	34:30	4	35
15	Fleetwood	25	9	7	9	33:32	1	34
16	Accrington	25	9	6	10	27:28	-1	33
17	Tranmere	26	8	8	10	40:42	-2	32
18	Cheltenham	26	9	3	14	26:43	-17	30
19	Barrow	25	6	6	13	27:38	-11	24
20	Shrewsbury	25	5	7	13	22:41	-19	22
21	Bristol Rovers	25	6	3	16	21:45	-24	21
22	Crawley	26	4	7	15	29:47	-18	19
23	Harrogate	26	4	6	16	19:41	-22	18
24	Newport	25	4	5	16	26:46	-20	17

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League