Result
2:2
22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 17
- Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (168/288) | 72% (286/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 2.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (168/288) | 72% (286/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (28/82) | 38% (25/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (39/83) | 57% (82/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 12% (3/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 38% (5/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 7', 1 - 0, Palmer O. ⚽, Ball J. (A),
- 13', 2 - 0, Bodin B. ⚽, Oldaker D. (A),
- 22', 2 - 1, Green K. ⚽, Vernam C. (A),
- 40', Kilkenny G. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 2, Rose D. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Bodin B. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
- 65', Tafazolli R. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
- 67', Turi G. D. 🟨,
- 74', Oldaker D. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,
- 74', Ball J. ↓, Wright W. ↑,
- 76', Turi G. D. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
- 79', Tabor J. 🟨,
- 82', Rose D. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
- 86', Green K. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
- 86', McEachran G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
40.9% | Draw
27% | Grimsby Town
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Swindon Town - Grimsby Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.08) |
3.47 ↓
(3.63) |
2.94 ↓
(3.11) |
6.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Grimsby Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Swindon (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 4.
- Swindon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Grimsby has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Swindon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Grimsby has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Nichols T.
(Yellow Cards)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pym C.
(Red Card)
Sweeney J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Swindon: Wilson-Brown T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H.
(Inactive)
Tharme D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:13. (average 2.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Grimsby Town?
Swindon Town has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Swindon Town?
Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Grimsby Town were as follows:
18.04.2025
Grimsby Town
-
Swindon Town
0:4
21.12.2024
Swindon Town
-
Grimsby Town
3:1
20.04.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Swindon Town
2:0
30.09.2023
Swindon Town
-
Grimsby Town
2:1
14.01.2023
Swindon Town
-
Grimsby Town
5:0
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Grimsby Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
