Grimsby Town vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Grimsby Town - Swindon Town
Result
0:4
18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 43
  • Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.553.57
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
03
Passes
64% (225/350)71% (296/416)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.553.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.273.06
Total shots
813
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
03
Touches in opposition box
1319
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
158
Passes
64% (225/350)71% (296/416)
Long passes
29% (20/69)45% (41/91)
Passes in final third
38% (36/95)53% (65/122)
Crosses
20% (1/5)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.491.53
Fouls
815
Tackles
59% (13/22)74% (14/19)
Duels won
7059
Clearances Total
2522
Interceptions
1510
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
3.060.27
Goals prevented
-0.940.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Nichols T. , Smith H. (A),
  • 32', 0 - 2, Clarke O. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 55', McEachran G. , Turi G. D. ,
  • 55', Hume D. , Vernam C. ,
  • 59', Turi G. D. 🟨,
  • 63', Khouri E. , Ainley C. ,
  • 65', 0 - 3, Tshimanga K. , Glatzel P. (A),
  • 76', Clarke O. 🟨,
  • 76', Rose D. , Burns D. ,
  • 78', Cotterill J. , Sobowale T. ,
  • 78', Clarke O. , Westley J. ,
  • 81', Freckleton M. 🟨,
  • 87', Tshimanga K. , Ameen B. ,
  • 90+5', 0 - 4, Ameen B. ,

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
48.7%
Draw
26.1%
Swindon Town
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 24.2% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 23.8% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Grimsby Town - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.8)
    3.62
    (3.85)
    3.73
    (3.89)
    6%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1.
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • In this match Grimsby is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Injury) Obikwu J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Swindon: Delaney R. (Injury) Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) McGregor J. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Cass L. (Injury) Luker J. (Inactive) Tharme D. (Injury) Wilson D. (Inactive)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:22 (average 1.2:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Swindon Town were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 3:1
    20.04.2024 Grimsby Town - Swindon Town 2:0
    30.09.2023 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 2:1
    14.01.2023 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 5:0
    24.09.2022 Grimsby Town - Swindon Town 1:2
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League