Result
1:0
24/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.33 | 1.31 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
83% (396/479) | 79% (311/392) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.33 | 1.31 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.03 | 1.22 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 15 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
37 | 34 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
83% (396/479) | 79% (311/392) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (18/45) | 46% (26/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (111/147) | 67% (82/122) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (7/29) | 31% (8/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.10 | 0.96 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
82% (9/11) | 42% (5/12) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
32 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.22 | 1.03 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.22 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Clemente M. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
- 39', Gerold J. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 45+3', Tchamba B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tchamba B. ↓, Bekili P. ↑,
- 52', Bekili P. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 0, Jackson Kenio (Pen),
- 59', Baravykas R. 🟨,
- 63', Rascevskis O. 🟨,
- 68', Paulo Eduardo 🟨,
- 83', Daskevics E. ↓, Rubenis O. ↑,
- 90+2', Melniks D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Ogunji A. ↓, Novikovs J. ↑,
- 90+4', Traore A. ↓, Diawara B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Auda Riga 64.4% | Draw 20.4% | Grobiņa 15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-17.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auda Riga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Auda Riga - Grobiņa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.43 ↑ (1.34) |
4.5 (4.5) |
6.06 ↓ (7.32) |
8.8% (10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auda won 4.
- Auda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Grobiņa has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Grobiņa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Grobiņa has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Auda is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Auda won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:9. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auda won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against Grobiņa?
Auda Riga has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against Auda Riga?
Grobiņa has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auda Riga - Grobiņa were as follows:
06.08.2025
Auda Riga
-
Grobiņa
1:0
18.06.2025
Grobiņa
-
Auda Riga
1:2
24.04.2025
Auda Riga
-
Grobiņa
2:0
22.09.2024
Auda Riga
-
Grobiņa
2:0
02.07.2024
Auda Riga
-
Grobiņa
0:1
Latest results of Auda Riga
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Riga FC | 27 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 67:19 | 48 | 70 |
2 | RFS | 27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 71:25 | 46 | 67 |
3 | FK Liepaja | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 47 |
4 | BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 43:47 | -4 | 40 |
5 | Auda | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 35:31 | 4 | 40 |
6 | Jelgava | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 26:35 | -9 | 29 |
7 | Super Nova | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 33:43 | -10 | 26 |
8 | Tukums 2000 | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 25 |
9 | Grobina | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26:52 | -26 | 23 |
10 | Metta | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 26:58 | -32 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga