Auda Riga vs Grobiņa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Latvian Virsliga Auda Riga - Grobiņa
Result
1:0
24/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Virsliga - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
latviaLatviaSportacentrs TV, TV4
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.331.31
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
49
Passes
83% (396/479)79% (311/392)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
2.331.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.031.22
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
58
Shots inside the Box
1215
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
49
Touches in opposition box
3734
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
83% (396/479)79% (311/392)
Long passes
40% (18/45)46% (26/56)
Passes in final third
76% (111/147)67% (82/122)
Crosses
24% (7/29)31% (8/26)
Expected assists (xA)
2.100.96
Throw-ins
2318
Fouls
1217
Tackles
82% (9/11)42% (5/12)
Duels won
5445
Clearances
3221
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.221.03
Goals prevented
1.220.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Clemente M. , Kone I. ,
  • 39', Gerold J. , Traore A. ,
  • 45+3', Tchamba B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tchamba B. , Bekili P. ,
  • 52', Bekili P. 🟨,
  • 53', 1 - 0, Jackson Kenio (Pen),
  • 59', Baravykas R. 🟨,
  • 63', Rascevskis O. 🟨,
  • 68', Paulo Eduardo 🟨,
  • 83', Daskevics E. , Rubenis O. ,
  • 90+2', Melniks D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Ogunji A. , Novikovs J. ,
  • 90+4', Traore A. , Diawara B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Auda Riga
64.4%
Draw
20.4%
Grobiņa
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 20.1% 12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 14.1% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-17.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auda Riga that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Auda Riga - Grobiņa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.34)
    4.5
    (4.5)
    6.06
    (7.32)
    8.8%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auda won 4.
    • Auda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Grobiņa has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Grobiņa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Grobiņa has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Auda is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Auda won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:9. (average 2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Auda won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auda Riga - Grobiņa were as follows:
    06.08.2025 Auda Riga - Grobiņa 1:0
    18.06.2025 Grobiņa - Auda Riga 1:2
    24.04.2025 Auda Riga - Grobiņa 2:0
    22.09.2024 Auda Riga - Grobiņa 2:0
    02.07.2024 Auda Riga - Grobiņa 0:1
    Latest results of Auda Riga
    18.08.2025 Auda Riga - Super Nova 3:1
    10.08.2025 Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga 1:0
    06.08.2025 Auda Riga - Grobiņa 1:0
    03.08.2025 Auda Riga - Metta LU 0:1
    27.07.2025 Liepāja - Auda Riga 2:0
    Latest results of Grobiņa
    10.08.2025 Riga - Grobiņa 2:0
    06.08.2025 Auda Riga - Grobiņa 1:0
    03.08.2025 Grobiņa - RFS 2:3
    26.07.2025 Super Nova - Grobiņa 0:0
    21.07.2025 Tukums 2000 - Grobiņa 2:1
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC27224167:194870
    2RFS27221471:254667
    3FK Liepaja28145946:42447
    4BFC Daugavpils281171043:47-440
    5Auda281241235:31440
    6Jelgava28781326:35-929
    7Super Nova285111233:43-1026
    8Tukums 200028671529:50-2125
    9Grobina28651726:52-2623
    10Metta28561726:58-3221

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
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          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga