Result
3:0
22/03/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 28
- Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 1 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 3 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (323/404) | 83% (375/451) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (323/404) | 83% (375/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/52) | 47% (27/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (99/140) | 75% (82/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.64 | -1.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Peersman M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Kasius D. ↓, Weslley Patati ↑,
- 46', Penetra ↓, van Duijl B. ↑,
- 57', de Jonge T. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 0, van Bergen T. ⚽, van der Werff D. (A),
- 67', Goes W. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
- 67', Jensen I. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
- 76', 3 - 0, Land T. ⚽, Rente M. (A),
- 77', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
- 79', Daal R. 🟨,
- 82', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Ichihara R. ↑,
- 88', Taha Y. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
- 88', Land T. ↓, Mendes R. ↑,
- 90+1', Mercera T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Groningen
34% | Draw
25.6% | AZ Alkmaar
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Groningen's form might have worsened.AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AZ Alkmaar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Groningen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Groningen - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.28) |
3.69 ↑
(3.5) |
2.36 ↓
(2.75) |
5.3%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Groningen - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). AZ will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - AZ (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 0.
- Groningen is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- AZ is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Groningen: Hoekstra M.
(Injury)
Resink S.
(Knee Injury)
Vaessen E.
(Injury)
Zawada O.
(Injury)
- There will not play in AZ: Chavez Garcia M.
(Injury)
Clasie J.
(Ankle Injury)
Hornkamp J.
(Injury)
Maikuma S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:37. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against AZ Alkmaar?
Groningen has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Groningen?
AZ Alkmaar has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
10.08.2025
AZ Alkmaar
-
Groningen
4:1
11.05.2025
AZ Alkmaar
-
Groningen
3:0
18.12.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Groningen
3:1
25.08.2024
Groningen
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:0
11.03.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Groningen
1:0
Latest results of Groningen
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 82:40 | 42 | 71 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 71:47 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Twente | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 49:31 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Ajax | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 54:37 | 17 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49:45 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 53:47 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 41 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 35 |
| 12 | Sittard | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 43:54 | -11 | 35 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 38:58 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 | Telstar | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 38:48 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 29:49 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 | Heracles | 29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 34:74 | -40 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
