Result
3:0
11/05/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Canada | Sportsnet+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | K-Ball |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 10 |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1 |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Peru | Disney+ |
Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
Serbia | SportKlub 10 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
Spain | GolStadium |
Turkey | Exxen |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.26 | 0.65 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
12 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
9 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
85% (370/433) | 85% (381/447) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.26 | 0.65 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.21 | 0.36 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
12 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
9 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
85% (370/433) | 85% (381/447) |
Long passes |
---|
58% (21/36) | 54% (21/39) |
Passes in final third |
---|
72% (80/111) | 71% (64/90) |
Crosses |
---|
39% (7/18) | 50% (5/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.35 | 0.81 |
Throw-ins |
---|
9 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
36% (5/14) | 31% (4/13) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
12 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 9 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.36 | 3.21 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.36 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Mijnans S. ⚽, Kasius D. (A),
- 30', 2 - 0, Poku E. ⚽,
- 39', Ekdal H. 🟨,
- 45+2', van Bommel R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
- 48', 3 - 0, Meerdink M. ⚽, Koopmeiners P. (A),
- 68', Mijnans S. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
- 68', van Bommel R. ↓, Addai J. ↑,
- 68', Meerdink M. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
- 71', van Bergen T. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
- 71', Valente L. ↓, Postema R. ↑,
- 71', Ekdal H. ↓, Stam F. ↑,
- 81', Prins W. 🟨,
- 84', Poku E. ↓, Lahdo M. ↑,
- 84', Addai J. ↓, de Wit M. ↑,
- 87', Resink S. ↓, de Jonge T. ↑,
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar 55.3% | Draw 24.9% | Groningen 19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AZ Alkmaar's form might have worsened.Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Groningen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Groningen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AZ Alkmaar - Groningen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.72 ↑ (1.44) |
3.82 ↓ (4.57) |
4.8 ↓ (6.75) |
5.3% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Groningen?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
- AZ is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 4.
- AZ is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Groningen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, AZ is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in AZ: Belic K.
(Ribs Injury)
Clasie J.
(Calf Injury)
Goes W.
(Red Card)
Parrott T.
(Groin Injury)
Zoet J.
(Finger Injury)
- There will not play in Groningen: Mariani M.
(Knock)
Turay F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:19. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Groningen?
AZ Alkmaar has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against AZ Alkmaar?
Groningen has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Groningen were as follows:
18.12.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Groningen
3:1
25.08.2024
Groningen
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:0
11.03.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Groningen
1:0
01.10.2022
Groningen
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:4
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie