Result
22/03/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Groningen
36.9% | Draw
25.7% | AZ Alkmaar
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Groningen - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.28) |
3.69 ↑
(3.5) |
2.53 ↓
(2.75) |
5.5%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 0.
- Recent form of Groningen has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- AZ has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:37. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against AZ Alkmaar?
Groningen has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Groningen?
AZ Alkmaar has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
10.08.2025
AZ Alkmaar
-
Groningen
4:1
11.05.2025
AZ Alkmaar
-
Groningen
3:0
18.12.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Groningen
3:1
25.08.2024
Groningen
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:0
11.03.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Groningen
1:0
Latest results of Groningen
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 77:34 | 43 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 60:39 | 21 | 52 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 67:45 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | Ajax | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 52:34 | 18 | 47 |
| 5 | Twente | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45:29 | 16 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 47:44 | 3 | 40 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 |
| 10 | Groningen | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Sittard | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 42:50 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 32 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36:52 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Telstar | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 24 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 32:69 | -37 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
