Willem II vs Groningen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
15/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 23
  • Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
turkeyTurkeyExxen

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.781.61
Ball Possession
71%29%
Goal Attempts
1517
Shots on Goal
89
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
24
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
55
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
67
Free Kicks
78
Offsides
01
Fouls
87
Yellow Cards
10
Throw-ins
3021
Touches in the Opposition Box
2017
Passes
84% (506/601)62% (152/244)
Passes in the final third
78% (128/165)49% (41/84)
Crosses
25% (6/24)27% (3/11)
Tackles
60% (12/20)71% (20/28)
Clearances Total
1428
Interceptions
97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Kwakman D. ,
  • 17', 0 - 2, Resink S. , Valente L. (A),
  • 21', 0 - 3, de Jonge T. ,
  • 45', Lambert B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lambert B. , Kaygin D. ,
  • 49', 1 - 3, Bosch J. , Sandra C. (A),
  • 59', Kwakman D. , Schreuders J. ,
  • 65', Vaesen K. , Bokila J. ,
  • 71', Seuntjens M. , Postema R. ,
  • 74', Sandra C. , Sylla Y. ,
  • 74', Schouten E. , Joosten P. ,
  • 86', de Jonge T. , Bacuna L. ,
  • 86', Prins W. , Stam F. ,
  • 86', van Bergen T. , Willumsson B. ,
  • 87', Ahmed Fatah A. , Kehrer E. ,

Chances of winning


Willem II
34.4%
Draw
33.3%
Groningen
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 28.2% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 27.2% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Willem II's form might have worsened.
  • Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Willem II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Willem II - Groningen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.25)
    2.87
    (3.32)
    2.97
    (3.11)
    4.4%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Willem II - Groningen?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Groningen will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.4%67.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Willem II won 0.
    • Willem II is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Groningen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Groningen: Blokzijl T. (Red Card) Peersman M. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Willem II: Mathieu D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Groningen: Turay F. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Willem II won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19:28 (average 1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Willem II won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:18 (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Groningen were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Groningen - Willem II 2:0
    26.04.2024 Willem II - Groningen 1:1
    19.12.2023 Willem II - Groningen 1:3
    27.08.2023 Groningen - Willem II 0:0
    Latest results of Willem II
    08.02.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Willem II 1:1
    02.02.2025 Willem II - AZ Alkmaar 0:2
    26.01.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:0
    18.01.2025 Willem II - Feyenoord 1:1
    12.01.2025 Twente - Willem II 6:2
    Latest results of Groningen
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1RodaWaalwijk1 : 1
    2ByeWillem II
    3Den BoschAlmere City2 : 3
    4ByeDe Graafschap

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1Willem II
    2TBD #3De Graafschap

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye