Result
0:2
18/01/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 19
- Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (399/483) | 77% (291/378) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (399/483) | 77% (291/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (29/66) | 47% (25/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (103/145) | 71% (78/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Kersten S. 🟨,
- 22', Kersten S. ↓, Hopland N. ↑,
- 38', Vaessen E. ↓, Jurjus H. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', 0 - 1, Klaverboer B. (Own goal),
- 67', Schreuders J. 🟨,
- 73', Brouwers L. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
- 74', Land T. 🟨,
- 78', Rente M. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
- 78', Taha Y. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
- 78', Land T. ↓, de Jonge T. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 2, Blokzijl T. ⚽, van Bergen T. (A),
- 81', Zagaritis V. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
- 81', Braude O. ↓, van Axel Dongen A. ↑,
- 88', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Heerenveen
46.7% | Draw
27.7% | Groningen
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Heerenveen - Groningen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.23) |
3.4 ↓
(3.48) |
3.63 ↑
(3.1) |
6.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Groningen?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Groningen will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 48.9% – 84.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Groningen (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Heerenveen (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.25 - Groningen (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Groningen (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Groningen (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Groningen (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 6 - 50%). Groningen (votes: 6 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 3.
- Heerenveen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Groningen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Heerenveen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Sejk V.
(Inactive)
Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Groningen: Holder Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Meerveld R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Groningen?
Heerenveen has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Heerenveen?
Groningen has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Groningen were as follows:
16.08.2025
Groningen
-
Heerenveen
2:1
25.01.2025
Groningen
-
Heerenveen
1:0
22.09.2024
Heerenveen
-
Groningen
2:1
19.03.2023
Groningen
-
Heerenveen
0:2
22.01.2023
Heerenveen
-
Groningen
3:1
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV ✔ | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 84:40 | 44 | 74 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 62:41 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 72:48 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51:32 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 57:37 | 20 | 51 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:45 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 44 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 53:50 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Groningen | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 42 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 35:49 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 36 |
| 12 | Sittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 44:55 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 40:60 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:50 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:51 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Telstar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30:51 | -21 | 25 |
| 18 | Heracles | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 34:77 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSV is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
