Aurora vs Guabirá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bolivian Division Profesional Aurora - Guabirá
Result
0:2
10/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division Profesional - Round 17
  • Referee: Quenta G. (Bol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
boliviaBoliviaFutbol Canal

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.101.27
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
2216
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
124
Passes
85% (384/454)73% (172/235)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.101.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.331.90
Total shots
2216
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
99
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
116
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
124
Touches in opposition box
3817
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
108
Passes
85% (384/454)73% (172/235)
Long passes
59% (47/79)37% (22/59)
Passes in final third
76% (133/176)44% (32/72)
Crosses
32% (11/34)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.480.86
Throw-ins
1716
Fouls
810
Tackles
76% (16/21)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4447
Clearances
927
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
1.900.33
Goals prevented
-0.100.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+2', Michel J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Michel J. , Viviani L. ,
  • 61', Villarroel M. , Neto Acara ,
  • 61', Fernandez A. , Blanco O. ,
  • 62', Amarilla A. 🟨,
  • 64', Rafinha 🟨,
  • 66', 0 - 1, Peredo G. , Rafinha (A),
  • 75', Terrazas A. , Verdun J. ,
  • 75', Peredo G. , Barco C. ,
  • 75', Da Silva D. , Baigorria Y. ,
  • 82', Rafinha , Sanchez H. ,
  • 88', Amarilla A. , Sanchez A. ,
  • 90', Neto Acara 🟨,
  • 90+1', 0 - 2, Sanchez H. , Anez C. (A),
  • 90+7', Huayhuata I. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Aurora
63.7%
Draw
20.7%
Guabirá
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 21.3% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 20.9% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aurora's performance.
  • Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guabirá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aurora that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guabirá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aurora - Guabirá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.61)
    4.47
    (4.35)
    5.96
    (4.4)
    8.4%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2.
    • Aurora is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Guabirá has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Guabirá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Aurora has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Aurora is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - Guabirá were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Guabirá - Aurora 5:2
    29.09.2024 Aurora - Guabirá 2:1
    19.05.2024 Guabirá - Aurora 1:1
    09.10.2023 Aurora - Guabirá 1:0
    12.07.2023 Aurora - Guabirá 0:0
    Latest results of Aurora
    04.08.2025 Oriente Petrolero - Aurora 3:0
    25.07.2025 ABB - Aurora 1:2
    19.07.2025 ABB - Aurora 2:1
    09.07.2025 GVCD San José - Aurora 1:1
    Latest results of Guabirá
    Bolivian Division Profesional Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Always Ready23174266:234355
    2The Strongest22161559:372249
    3Bolivar21134452:232943
    4Blooming22114740:36437
    5Guabira22104845:41434
    6SA Bulo Bulo2387843:39431
    7Independiente2286837:43-630
    8GV San Jose23931130:39-930
    9Nacional Potosi23761037:32527
    10Oriente Petrolero23761034:43-927
    11Universitario de Vinto23671028:42-1425
    12Real Oruro23661138:50-1224
    13Tomayapo2258923:37-1423
    14Academia del Balompie23581025:40-1523
    15Wilstermann23261518:48-3012
    16Aurora22841039:41-2-5

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Division Profesional (Relegation)
          Relegation