Result
0:2
10/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 17
- Referee: Quenta G. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (384/454) | 73% (172/235) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (384/454) | 73% (172/235) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (47/79) | 37% (22/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (133/176) | 44% (32/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (11/34) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Michel J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Michel J. ↓, Viviani L. ↑,
- 61', Villarroel M. ↓, Neto Acara ↑,
- 61', Fernandez A. ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
- 62', Amarilla A. 🟨,
- 64', Rafinha 🟨,
- 66', 0 - 1, Peredo G. ⚽, Rafinha (A),
- 75', Terrazas A. ↓, Verdun J. ↑,
- 75', Peredo G. ↓, Barco C. ↑,
- 75', Da Silva D. ↓, Baigorria Y. ↑,
- 82', Rafinha ↓, Sanchez H. ↑,
- 88', Amarilla A. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 90', Neto Acara 🟨,
- 90+1', 0 - 2, Sanchez H. ⚽, Anez C. (A),
- 90+7', Huayhuata I. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Aurora
63.7% | Draw
20.7% | Guabirá
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aurora's performance.Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guabirá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aurora that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guabirá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aurora - Guabirá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.61) |
4.47 ↑
(4.35) |
5.96 ↑
(4.4) |
8.4%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2.
- Aurora is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Guabirá has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Guabirá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Aurora has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Aurora is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Guabirá?
Aurora has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Aurora?
Guabirá has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - Guabirá were as follows:
04.04.2025
Guabirá
-
Aurora
5:2
29.09.2024
Aurora
-
Guabirá
2:1
19.05.2024
Guabirá
-
Aurora
1:1
09.10.2023
Aurora
-
Guabirá
1:0
12.07.2023
Aurora
-
Guabirá
0:0
Latest results of Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 52:21 | 31 | 40 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 49:29 | 20 | 40 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 41:19 | 22 | 33 |
| 4 | Blooming | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 35:28 | 7 | 31 |
| 5 | GV San Jose | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 30:26 | 4 | 24 |
| 7 | Guabira | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 | Nacional Potosi | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 25:21 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 | Real Oruro | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 25:28 | -3 | 20 |
| 10 | Universitario de Vinto | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:31 | -8 | 20 |
| 11 | Tomayapo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:31 | -12 | 20 |
| 12 | Oriente Petrolero | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 26:37 | -11 | 19 |
| 13 | Independiente | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 23:35 | -12 | 18 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 18 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12:38 | -26 | 6 |
| 16 | Aurora | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 30:30 | 0 | -11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
