Result
2:1
16/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Pacena - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (172/232) | 74% (183/246) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (172/232) | 74% (183/246) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/61) | 51% (30/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (54/90) | 64% (49/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | -1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Centurion R. 🟨,
- 22', Centurion R. 🟨,
- 23', Rojas J. 🟨,
- 26', Gil S. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Nava F. ⚽, Arauz J. (A),
- 45+2', Gonzales Mejia F. ↓, Santacruz Rodas J. F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Neto Acara ↓, Peredo G. ↑,
- 46', Gil S. ↓, Parada J. ↑,
- 46', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 46', Alvarez S. ↓, Vaca P. ↑,
- 52', Nava F. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 0, Nava F. ⚽,
- 65', Salvatierra Flores K. F. ↓, Chala W. ↑,
- 70', Portillo M. 🟨,
- 80', Parada J. 🟨,
- 81', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 1, Barco C. (Pen),
- 84', Robles D. 🟨,
- 86', Masskooni N. ↓, Hurtado Badani L. E. ↑,
- 86', Rafinha ↓, Mina K. ↑,
- 89', Alvarez G. 🟨,
- 89', Rojas D. ↓, Melean A. ↑,
- 89', Alvarez G. ↓, Berdecio J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oriente Petrolero
41.2% | Draw
22.3% | Guabirá
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-1%)
Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.42) |
4.09 ↑
(3.4) |
2.5 ↓
(2.53) |
9.7%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Oriente Petrolero (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Oriente Petrolero will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Oriente Petrolero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oriente Petrolero won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Oriente Petrolero won against Guabirá?
Oriente Petrolero has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Oriente Petrolero?
Guabirá has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá were as follows:
25.06.2025
Guabirá
-
Oriente Petrolero
3:3
25.05.2025
Guabirá
-
Oriente Petrolero
1:3
23.02.2025
Guabirá
-
Oriente Petrolero
3:2
16.02.2025
Oriente Petrolero
-
Guabirá
1:0
31.10.2024
Guabirá
-
Oriente Petrolero
2:0
Latest results of Oriente Petrolero
Latest results of Guabirá
