Real Tomayapo vs Guabirá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bolivian Division Profesional Real Tomayapo - Guabirá
Result
3:2
17/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division Profesional - Round 20

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.001.18
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1521
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
76% (210/276)81% (248/307)
Yellow Cards
46
Expected Goals (xG)
2.001.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.621.20
Total shots
1521
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
612
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
714
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
2020
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
76% (210/276)81% (248/307)
Long passes
51% (33/65)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
67% (60/90)64% (57/89)
Crosses
25% (5/20)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.78
Throw-ins
2027
Fouls
1113
Tackles
74% (14/19)82% (9/11)
Duels won
4333
Clearances
3023
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.201.62
Goals prevented
-0.80-1.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Perez D. , Lima R. (A),
  • 42', Lima R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 59', 2 - 0, Barbery Gil M. G. , Lima R. (A),
  • 61', Arano C. P. , Sanchez H. ,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Villarroel M. ,
  • 64', 2 - 2, Robles D. , Anez C. (A),
  • 66', Anez C. 🟨,
  • 66', Pinto D. , Gatti F. ,
  • 66', Lima R. , Castillo J. ,
  • 69', Ramallo D. 🟨,
  • 69', Aviles M. 🟨,
  • 71', Ramallo D. , Mamani J. ,
  • 78', Vera L. , Cordoba A. ,
  • 78', Aviles M. , Orellana J. ,
  • 83', Da Silva D. , Chavez T. ,
  • 83', Villarroel M. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 87', Orellana J. 🟨,
  • 87', Chavez T. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Cuellar J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Gil S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Corulo L. (Pen),
  • 90+6', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Robles D. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Anez C. , Pena A. ,

Chances of winning


Real Tomayapo
35.9%
Draw
27.2%
Guabirá
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 27.4% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 27.8% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Tomayapo's form might have worsened.
  • Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guabirá's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Tomayapo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guabirá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Real Tomayapo - Guabirá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.25)
    3.44
    (3.38)
    2.45
    (2.93)
    6.8%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Real Tomayapo - Guabirá?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 2.
    • Recent form of Tomayapo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Guabirá is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tomayapo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Tomayapo - Guabirá were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Real Tomayapo - Guabirá 1:2
    25.04.2025 Guabirá - Real Tomayapo 1:0
    26.11.2024 Guabirá - Real Tomayapo 2:1
    31.07.2024 Real Tomayapo - Guabirá 2:1
    23.07.2023 Real Tomayapo - Guabirá 2:0
    Latest results of Real Tomayapo
    Latest results of Guabirá
    11.10.2025 Guabirá - Aurora 2:1
    05.10.2025 Blooming - Guabirá 1:1
    02.10.2025 Guabirá - Always Ready 3:2
    29.09.2025 Guabirá - ABB 5:1
    25.09.2025 Real Oruro - Guabirá 3:6
    Bolivian Division Profesional Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Always Ready23174266:234355
    2The Strongest23171562:382452
    3Bolivar22144454:243046
    4Blooming23114841:38337
    5Guabira23104947:44334
    6SA Bulo Bulo2387843:39431
    7Independiente2386938:46-830
    8GV San Jose23931130:39-930
    9Nacional Potosi23761037:32527
    10Oriente Petrolero23761034:43-927
    11Tomayapo2368926:39-1326
    12Universitario de Vinto23671028:42-1425
    13Real Oruro23661138:50-1224
    14Academia del Balompie23581025:40-1523
    15Wilstermann23261518:48-3012
    16Aurora22841039:41-2-5

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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          Division Profesional (Relegation)
          Relegation