Real Tomayapo vs Guabirá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio IV Centenario (Tarija).

Division Profesional - Round 20

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.00	1.18
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
15	21
Shots on target
7	6
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	7
Passes
76% (210/276)	81% (248/307)
Yellow Cards
4	6
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00	1.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.62	1.20
Total shots
15	21
Shots on target
7	6
Shots off target
6	12
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
7	14
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
20	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
13	11
Passes
76% (210/276)	81% (248/307)
Long passes
51% (33/65)	41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
67% (60/90)	64% (57/89)
Crosses
25% (5/20)	24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.65	0.78
Throw-ins
20	27
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
74% (14/19)	82% (9/11)
Duels won
43	33
Clearances
30	23
Interceptions
4	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
1.20	1.62
Goals prevented
-0.80	-1.38

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Perez D. ⚽, Lima R. (A),
42', Lima R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
59', 2 - 0, Barbery Gil M. G. ⚽, Lima R. (A),
61', Arano C. P. ↓, Sanchez H. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Villarroel M. ⚽,
64', 2 - 2, Robles D. ⚽, Anez C. (A),
66', Anez C. 🟨,
66', Pinto D. ↓, Gatti F. ↑,
66', Lima R. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
69', Ramallo D. 🟨,
69', Aviles M. 🟨,
71', Ramallo D. ↓, Mamani J. ↑,
78', Vera L. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
78', Aviles M. ↓, Orellana J. ↑,
83', Da Silva D. ↓, Chavez T. ↑,
83', Villarroel M. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
87', Orellana J. 🟨,
87', Chavez T. 🟨,
90+2', Cuellar J. 🟨,
90+4', Gil S. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Corulo L. (Pen),
90+6', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
90+7', Robles D. 🟨,
90+7', Anez C. ↓, Pena A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Real Tomayapo
35.9%

Draw
27.2%

Guabirá
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

27.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

27.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Tomayapo's form might have worsened.

Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guabirá's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Tomayapo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guabirá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Tomayapo - Guabirá Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.25)	3.44 ↑ (3.38)	2.45 ↓ (2.93)	6.8% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Real Tomayapo - Guabirá?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 2.
Recent form of Tomayapo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Guabirá is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tomayapo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Tomayapo won against Guabirá?

Real Tomayapo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Real Tomayapo?

Guabirá has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Tomayapo - Guabirá were as follows:

07.09.2025 Real Tomayapo - Guabirá 1:2

25.04.2025 Guabirá - Real Tomayapo 1:0

26.11.2024 Guabirá - Real Tomayapo 2:1

31.07.2024 Real Tomayapo - Guabirá 2:1

23.07.2023 Real Tomayapo - Guabirá 2:0

Latest results of Real Tomayapo

04.10.2025 Real Tomayapo - San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Real Tomayapo 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Real Tomayapo 2:1 ✺

24.09.2025 Real Tomayapo - Always Ready 1:2 ✺

19.09.2025 Aurora - Real Tomayapo 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Guabirá

11.10.2025 Guabirá - Aurora 2:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Blooming - Guabirá 1:1 ✺

02.10.2025 Guabirá - Always Ready 3:2 ✺

29.09.2025 Guabirá - ABB 5:1 ✺

25.09.2025 Real Oruro - Guabirá 3:6 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready	23	17	4	2	66:23	43	55
2	The Strongest	23	17	1	5	62:38	24	52
3	Bolivar	22	14	4	4	54:24	30	46
4	Blooming	23	11	4	8	41:38	3	37
5	Guabira	23	10	4	9	47:44	3	34
6	SA Bulo Bulo	23	8	7	8	43:39	4	31
7	Independiente	23	8	6	9	38:46	-8	30
8	GV San Jose	23	9	3	11	30:39	-9	30
9	Nacional Potosi	23	7	6	10	37:32	5	27
10	Oriente Petrolero	23	7	6	10	34:43	-9	27
11	Tomayapo	23	6	8	9	26:39	-13	26
12	Universitario de Vinto	23	6	7	10	28:42	-14	25
13	Real Oruro	23	6	6	11	38:50	-12	24
14	Academia del Balompie	23	5	8	10	25:40	-15	23
15	Wilstermann	23	2	6	15	18:48	-30	12
16	Aurora	22	8	4	10	39:41	-2	-5

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation