Result
3:2
17/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 20
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (210/276) | 81% (248/307) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (210/276) | 81% (248/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (33/65) | 41% (16/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (60/90) | 64% (57/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | -1.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Perez D. ⚽, Lima R. (A),
- 42', Lima R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 59', 2 - 0, Barbery Gil M. G. ⚽, Lima R. (A),
- 61', Arano C. P. ↓, Sanchez H. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 1, Villarroel M. ⚽,
- 64', 2 - 2, Robles D. ⚽, Anez C. (A),
- 66', Anez C. 🟨,
- 66', Pinto D. ↓, Gatti F. ↑,
- 66', Lima R. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 69', Ramallo D. 🟨,
- 69', Aviles M. 🟨,
- 71', Ramallo D. ↓, Mamani J. ↑,
- 78', Vera L. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
- 78', Aviles M. ↓, Orellana J. ↑,
- 83', Da Silva D. ↓, Chavez T. ↑,
- 83', Villarroel M. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 87', Orellana J. 🟨,
- 87', Chavez T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Cuellar J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Gil S. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Corulo L. (Pen),
- 90+6', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
- 90+7', Robles D. 🟨,
- 90+7', Anez C. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Real Tomayapo 35.9% | Draw 27.2% | Guabirá 36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Tomayapo's form might have worsened.Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guabirá's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Tomayapo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guabirá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Tomayapo - Guabirá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.71 ↑ (2.25) |
3.44 ↑ (3.38) |
2.45 ↓ (2.93) |
6.8% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Real Tomayapo - Guabirá?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 2.
- Recent form of Tomayapo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guabirá is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tomayapo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Tomayapo won against Guabirá?
Real Tomayapo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Real Tomayapo?
Guabirá has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Tomayapo - Guabirá were as follows:
07.09.2025
Real Tomayapo
-
Guabirá
1:2
25.04.2025
Guabirá
-
Real Tomayapo
1:0
26.11.2024
Guabirá
-
Real Tomayapo
2:1
31.07.2024
Real Tomayapo
-
Guabirá
2:1
23.07.2023
Real Tomayapo
-
Guabirá
2:0
Latest results of Real Tomayapo
Latest results of Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 66:23 | 43 | 55 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 62:38 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 54:24 | 30 | 46 |
| 4 | Blooming | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 41:38 | 3 | 37 |
| 5 | Guabira | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 47:44 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Independiente | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 38:46 | -8 | 30 |
| 8 | GV San Jose | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Tomayapo | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26:39 | -13 | 26 |
| 12 | Universitario de Vinto | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 13 | Real Oruro | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 38:50 | -12 | 24 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18:48 | -30 | 12 |
| 16 | Aurora | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation