Result
1:2
11/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 35', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 1, Godoy W. ⚽,
- 54', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Leones del Norte
38.2% | Draw
34.5% | Gualaceo
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones del Norte's form might have worsened.Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gualaceo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (+13.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones del Norte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gualaceo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leones del Norte - Gualaceo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(1.85) |
2.73 ↓
(3.15) |
3.44 ↓
(4.52) |
6.5%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte - Gualaceo?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Leones del Norte will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Gualaceo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gualaceo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones del Norte won 1.
- Leones del Norte is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Gualaceo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Leones del Norte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Leones del Norte is a strong favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leones del Norte won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leones del Norte won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Leones del Norte won against Gualaceo?
Leones del Norte has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gualaceo won against Leones del Norte?
Gualaceo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones del Norte - Gualaceo were as follows:
11.06.2025
Leones del Norte
-
Gualaceo
0:0
02.04.2025
Gualaceo
-
Leones del Norte
2:2
01.10.2024
Gualaceo
-
Leones del Norte
0:2
13.08.2024
Leones del Norte
-
Gualaceo
0:1
09.06.2024
Leones del Norte
-
Gualaceo
0:1
Latest results of Leones del Norte
Latest results of Gualaceo
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guayaquil City | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 34:19 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Leones del Norte | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29:19 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Gualaceo | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 32:31 | 1 | 41 |
| 4 | Ind. Juniors | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 29:24 | 5 | 40 |
| 5 | Nueve de Octubre | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 26:19 | 7 | 37 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (First stage: )
