Result
0:0
30/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (357/447) | 70% (235/336) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (357/447) | 70% (235/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (35/76) | 33% (18/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (61/108) | 51% (48/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 9% (2/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 40 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (12/13) | 100% (9/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Li Jiahao 🟨,
- 30', Li Jiahao ↓, Bai Zijian ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Huang Guangliang ↓, Gu Zhiwei ↑,
- 55', Xin Hongjun ↓, He J. ↑,
- 64', Liu G. ↓, Zhang G. ↑,
- 66', Liu Ruicheng ↓, Wu Z. ↑,
- 66', Zhu X. ↓, Wen Y. ↑,
- 73', Shi Jiwei 🟨,
- 80', Jiang H. 🟨,
- 82', Tan Zhennan ↓, Zhang Zhihao ↑,
- 86', Yao H. ↓, Ye Zimin ↑,
- 89', Pi Ziyang ↓, Cao Enze ↑,
- 90', Huang J. ↓, Abdusalam S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Guangdong Mingtu
19.9% | Draw
27.4% | Jiangxi Lushan
52.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangdong Mingtu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangdong Mingtu's form might have worsened.Jiangxi Lushan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jiangxi Lushan's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangdong Mingtu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jiangxi Lushan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guangdong Mingtu - Jiangxi Lushan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.55 ↑
(3.04) |
3.3 ↑
(3.01) |
1.72 ↓
(2.24) |
10.6%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).
- Guangdong Mingtu is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jiangxi Lushan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Guangdong Mingtu has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Jiangxi Lushan is seen as the favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangdong Mingtu won against Jiangxi Lushan?
Guangdong Mingtu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jiangxi Lushan won against Guangdong Mingtu?
Jiangxi Lushan has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guangdong Mingtu - Jiangxi Lushan were as follows:
Latest results of Guangdong Mingtu
Latest results of Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Yi League Table
2026North | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Port B | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:3 | 12 | 16 |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan B | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Taian Tiankuang | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Dalian Kewei | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Lanzhou Longyuan | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 7 |
| 7 | Dalian Yingbo B | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Changchun Xidu | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Qingdao Red Lions | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Beijing Technology | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 2 |
| 12 | Shanghai Second | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:16 | -9 | 2 |
South | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Guizhou Guiyang | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Xiamen Feilu | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Shenzhen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Hangzhou Linping | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Jiangxi Lushan | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Wenzhou Professional | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | Wuhan Three Towns B | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | Guangdong Mingtu | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )
League Two (Relegation Group: )
