Guizhou Guiyang Athletic vs Guangxi Hengchen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/06/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Round 13

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.75
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
75% (316/420)75% (277/368)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.001.40
Total shots
811
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
713
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
1119
Passes
75% (316/420)75% (277/368)
Long passes
32% (23/73)44% (37/84)
Passes in final third
55% (55/100)50% (51/102)
Crosses
12% (2/17)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.40
Throw-ins
3416
Fouls
1911
Tackles
82% (14/17)44% (8/18)
Duels won
5448
Clearances
2131
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.401.00
Goals prevented
-0.600.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Chen Xiangyu , Kong Yinquan (A),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Fei Ernanduo (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Zhou Z. , Chen Chenzhenyang ,
  • 53', 1 - 2, Zhang Huajun ,
  • 61', Gao Yixuan , Ren K. ,
  • 61', Fei Ernanduo , Ning W. ,
  • 72', Wang H. , Wang Haozhi ,
  • 72', Zhang Huajun , Yao Zixuan ,
  • 82', Ning W. 🟨,
  • 85', Chen Xiangyu , Wang Xiao ,
  • 85', Shi Yiyi , Liang Huan ,
  • 86', Ji Tianle , Huang Y. ,

Chances of winning


Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
29.4%
Draw
30%
Guangxi Hengchen
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.5% 30% 45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9% 29.2% 46.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guizhou Guiyang Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guizhou Guiyang Athletic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangxi Hengchen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Guangxi Hengchen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (3.8)
    3.05
    (3.1)
    2.26
    (2.05)
    9.2%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Guangxi Hengchen?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).
    • Guizhou Zhucheng has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Guangxi Hengchen is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Guizhou Zhucheng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guizhou Zhucheng won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Guangxi Hengchen were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Guangxi Hengchen - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic 0:2
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port B22008:266
    2Taian Tiankuang22005:236
    3Dalian Yingbo B21103:214
    4Lanzhou Longyuan21101:014
    5Dalian Kewei21101:014
    6Shandong Taishan B21015:413
    7Changchun Xidu20201:102
    8Qingdao Red Lions20111:2-11
    9Nantong Haimen20111:2-11
    10Shanxi Chongde Ronghai20111:2-11
    11Beijing Technology20021:5-40
    12Shanghai Second20023:9-60


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guizhou Guiyang32013:306
    2Xiamen Feilu21104:224
    3Hubei Istar31114:404
    4Guangzhou Dandelion21012:113
    5Chengdu Rongcheng B21011:2-13
    6Jiangxi Lushan20203:302
    7Hangzhou Linping20202:202
    8Shenzhen20201:102
    9Wuhan Three Towns B20202:202
    10Ganzhou Ruishi20201:102
    11Wenzhou Professional20111:2-11
    12Guangdong Mingtu20110:1-11

          Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )
          League Two (Relegation Group: )