Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Guangxi Hengchen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Yi League Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic - Guangxi Hengchen
Result
1:2
07/06/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Round 13

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.75
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
75% (316/420)75% (277/368)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.001.40
Total shots
811
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
713
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
1119
Passes
75% (316/420)75% (277/368)
Long passes
32% (23/73)44% (37/84)
Passes in final third
55% (55/100)50% (51/102)
Crosses
12% (2/17)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.40
Throw-ins
3416
Fouls
1911
Tackles
82% (14/17)44% (8/18)
Duels won
5448
Clearances
2131
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.401.00
Goals prevented
-0.600.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Chen Xiangyu , Kong Yinquan (A),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Fei Ernanduo (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Zhou Z. , Chen Chenzhenyang ,
  • 53', 1 - 2, Zhang Huajun ,
  • 61', Gao Yixuan , Ren K. ,
  • 61', Fei Ernanduo , Ning W. ,
  • 72', Wang H. , Wang Haozhi ,
  • 72', Zhang Huajun , Yao Zixuan ,
  • 82', Ning W. 🟨,
  • 85', Chen Xiangyu , Wang Xiao ,
  • 85', Shi Yiyi , Liang Huan ,
  • 86', Ji Tianle , Huang Y. ,

Chances of winning


Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
29.4%
Draw
30%
Guangxi Hengchen
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.5% 30% 45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9% 29.2% 46.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangxi Hengchen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic - Guangxi Hengchen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (3.8)
    3.05
    (3.1)
    2.26
    (2.05)
    9.2%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).
    • Guizhou Zhucheng has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Guangxi Hengchen is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Guizhou Zhucheng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guizhou Zhucheng won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic - Guangxi Hengchen were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Guangxi Hengchen - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 0:2
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2025

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wuxi Wugou ✔ 20125326:111541
    2Nantong Haimen20107338:231537
    3Changchun Xidu20106419:11836
    4Shandong Taishan B2098332:201235
    5Jiangxi Lushan20104623:18534
    6Hangzhou Linping2086623:25-230
    7Shanghai Port B ✔ 2067722:20225
    8Taian Tiankuang ✔ 20551019:25-620
    9Shanxi Chongde Ronghai ✔ 2047915:31-1619
    10Lanzhou Longyuan ✔ 2047919:29-1019
    11Hubei Istar ✔ 20361122:36-1415
    12Beijing Technology ✔ 20421419:28-914


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangxi Hengchen ✔ 20163143:93451
    2Shenzhen ✔ 20126225:121342
    3Chengdu Rongcheng B20114535:161937
    4Guizhou Zhucheng20113631:24736
    5Guangzhou Dandelion20105530:171335
    6Wuhan Three Towns B ✔ 2085721:17429
    7Wenzhou Professional ✔ 2058718:22-423
    8Ganzhou Ruishi ✔ 20311617:27-1020
    9Kunming City Star ✔ 20461014:27-1318
    10Guangdong Mingtu ✔ 20371017:30-1316
    11Quanzhou Yassin ✔ 20261210:27-1712
    12Guangxi Lanhang ✔ 2006149:42-336

          Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )
          Yi League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Wuxi Wugou is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
    Shanghai Port B is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Taian Tiankuang is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Shanxi Chongde Ronghai is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Lanzhou Longyuan is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Hubei Istar is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Beijing Technology is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
    Shenzhen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
    Wuhan Three Towns B is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Wenzhou Professional is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Ganzhou Ruishi is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Kunming City Star is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Guangdong Mingtu is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Quanzhou Yassin is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Guangxi Lanhang is Yi League (Relegation Group )