Guizhou Guiyang Athletic vs Guangxi Hengchen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/06/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Round 13

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.75
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
75% (316/420)75% (277/368)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.001.40
Total shots
811
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
713
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
1119
Passes
75% (316/420)75% (277/368)
Long passes
32% (23/73)44% (37/84)
Passes in final third
55% (55/100)50% (51/102)
Crosses
12% (2/17)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.40
Throw-ins
3416
Fouls
1911
Tackles
82% (14/17)44% (8/18)
Duels won
5448
Clearances
2131
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.401.00
Goals prevented
-0.600.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Chen Xiangyu , Kong Yinquan (A),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Fei Ernanduo (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Zhou Z. , Chen Chenzhenyang ,
  • 53', 1 - 2, Zhang Huajun ,
  • 61', Gao Yixuan , Ren K. ,
  • 61', Fei Ernanduo , Ning W. ,
  • 72', Wang H. , Wang Haozhi ,
  • 72', Zhang Huajun , Yao Zixuan ,
  • 82', Ning W. 🟨,
  • 85', Chen Xiangyu , Wang Xiao ,
  • 85', Shi Yiyi , Liang Huan ,
  • 86', Ji Tianle , Huang Y. ,

Chances of winning


Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
29.4%
Draw
30%
Guangxi Hengchen
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.5% 30% 45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9% 29.2% 46.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guizhou Guiyang Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guizhou Guiyang Athletic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangxi Hengchen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Guangxi Hengchen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (3.8)
    3.05
    (3.1)
    2.26
    (2.05)
    9.2%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Guangxi Hengchen?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).
    • Guizhou Zhucheng has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Guangxi Hengchen is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Guizhou Zhucheng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guizhou Zhucheng won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Guangxi Hengchen were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Guangxi Hengchen - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic 0:2
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port B651015:31216
    2Shandong Taishan B650112:5715
    3Taian Tiankuang63218:5311
    4Dalian Kewei62403:1210
    5Shanxi Chongde Ronghai62135:6-17
    6Dalian Yingbo B61417:8-17
    7Lanzhou Longyuan51312:4-26
    8Changchun Xidu61325:9-46
    9Nantong Haimen51227:525
    10Qingdao Red Lions60425:7-24
    11Beijing Technology60244:11-72
    12Shanghai Second60247:16-92


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangzhou Dandelion640210:7312
    2Guizhou Guiyang64027:6112
    3Hubei Istar63218:6211
    4Chengdu Rongcheng B63216:4211
    5Xiamen Feilu623113:1129
    6Shenzhen623110:919
    7Hangzhou Linping61417:707
    8Ganzhou Ruishi61415:507
    9Jiangxi Lushan51226:605
    10Wenzhou Professional60333:6-33
    11Wuhan Three Towns B60335:9-43
    12Guangdong Mingtu50235:9-42

          Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )
          League Two (Relegation Group: )