Result
2:1
26/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.11 | 0.28 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
78% (372/476) | 68% (225/333) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.11 | 0.28 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.94 | 0.77 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 5 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
78% (372/476) | 68% (225/333) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (32/67) | 27% (19/71) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (96/152) | 48% (44/91) |
Crosses |
---|
30% (6/20) | 13% (1/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.21 | 0.21 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 32 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
100% (8/8) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
---|
29 | 38 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 0 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.77 | 3.05 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.23 | 1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Pei Guoguang ⚽, Chen Weijing (A),
- 45+5', Fei Ernanduo (Pen),
- 45+5', 1 - 1, Fei Ernanduo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Dai Yuanji ↓, Luo Dongping ↑,
- 46', Zhang Huajun ↓, Ji Tianle ↑,
- 46', Wang H. ↓, Cen Liyi ↑,
- 62', Ji X. ↓, Chen D. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 1, Cen Liyi ⚽, Yuan X. (A),
- 77', Wang Bowen ↓, Xu Yuese ↑,
- 77', Pei Guoguang ↓, Zhou Xianfeng ↑,
- 77', Yan Ge ↓, Tan Jingbo ↑,
- 84', Ren K. ↓, Yao Zixuan ↑,
- 90+7', Cen Liyi 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guangxi Hengchen 53.8% | Draw 25.8% | Nantong Haimen Codion 20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Nantong Haimen Codion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangxi Hengchen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Haimen Codion than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Guangxi Hengchen - Nantong Haimen Codion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↑ (1.58) |
3.53 ↓ (3.63) |
4.41 ↓ (4.76) |
8.3% (11.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Guangxi Hengchen - Nantong Haimen Codion?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Guangxi Hengchen will win (votes: 5 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guangxi Hengchen (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Jia League
- Guangxi Hengchen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nantong Haimen has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is the team to beat.
- We predict that Guangxi Hengchen will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Guangxi Hengchen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 4:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Guangxi Hengchen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangxi Hengchen won against Nantong Haimen Codion?
Guangxi Hengchen has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantong Haimen Codion won against Guangxi Hengchen?
Nantong Haimen Codion has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guangxi Hengchen - Nantong Haimen Codion were as follows:
24.08.2025
Nantong Haimen Codion
-
Guangxi Hengchen
3:4
21.09.2024
Nantong Haimen Codion
-
Guangxi Hengchen
1:3
17.08.2024
Guangxi Hengchen
-
Nantong Haimen Codion
5:0
Latest results of Guangxi Hengchen
Latest results of Nantong Haimen Codion
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Guangxi Hengchen ✔ | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 58:15 | 43 | 70 |
2 | Wuxi Wugou | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 38:16 | 22 | 58 |
3 | Shenzhen | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 55 |
4 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:23 | 20 | 48 |
5 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 38:30 | 8 | 47 |
6 | Shandong Taishan B | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 38:26 | 12 | 45 |
7 | Nantong Haimen | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 43 |
8 | Changchun Xidu | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 41 |
Promotion ~ Jia League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Jia League