Result
3:4
24/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 23
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (242/351) | 61% (172/280) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 2.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (242/351) | 61% (172/280) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (25/98) | 35% (30/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (47/108) | 37% (33/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.97 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 7', 1 - 0, Wang Bowen ⚽, Yin Hanlong (A),
- 24', Wei Chaolun ↓, Chen G. ↑,
- 33', 1 - 1, Fei Ernanduo ⚽, Ji X. (A),
- 37', 1 - 2, Fei Ernanduo (Pen),
- 40', 1 - 3, Ning W. ⚽, Ji X. (A),
- 42', 2 - 3, Pei Guoguang ⚽, Dai Yuanji (A),
- 45+2', Yin Hanlong 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', Ning W. ↓, Li S. ↑,
- 54', Wang Bowen ↓, Xu Yuese ↑,
- 61', Ren K. ↓, Chen D. ↑,
- 61', Fei Ernanduo ↓, Huang Y. ↑,
- 61', Ji X. ↓, Ji Tianle ↑,
- 65', Dai Yuanji ↓, Cheng Yi ↑,
- 69', Li S. 🟨,
- 75', Cheng Xin ↓, Tan Jingbo ↑,
- 77', Zhang Huajun ↓, Wang Haozhi ↑,
- 83', Wang H. ↓, Ren Wei ↑,
- 88', Pei Guoguang ↓, Fan Yucheng ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 3, Luan H. (Own goal),
- 90+5', Yin Hanlong ↓, Luo Gaoju ↑,
- 90+9', 3 - 4, Yuan X. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nantong Haimen Codion
30.9% | Draw
27.8% | Guangxi Hengchen
41.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantong Haimen Codion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nantong Haimen Codion's performance.Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangxi Hengchen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Haimen Codion than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantong Haimen Codion that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangxi Hengchen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nantong Haimen Codion - Guangxi Hengchen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↓
(4.27) |
3.44 ↓
(3.58) |
2.32 ↑
(1.71) |
4.5%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Nantong Haimen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guangxi Hengchen is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Guangxi Hengchen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nantong Haimen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.5:4).
- Including home match between the teams, Nantong Haimen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantong Haimen Codion won against Guangxi Hengchen?
Nantong Haimen Codion has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangxi Hengchen won against Nantong Haimen Codion?
Guangxi Hengchen has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantong Haimen Codion - Guangxi Hengchen were as follows:
21.09.2024
Nantong Haimen Codion
-
Guangxi Hengchen
1:3
17.08.2024
Guangxi Hengchen
-
Nantong Haimen Codion
5:0
Latest results of Nantong Haimen Codion
Latest results of Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 52:12 | 40 | 63 |
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 35:14 | 21 | 51 |
| 3 | Shenzhen | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 30:15 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 42:22 | 20 | 44 |
| 5 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 35:28 | 7 | 42 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan B | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 40 |
| 7 | Changchun Xidu | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 20:13 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 42:30 | 12 | 38 |
Promotion ~ Jia League
