Foshan Nanshi vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Jia League - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.11
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
114
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
67% (180/267)54% (101/186)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.841.84
Total shots
114
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
70
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1310
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
2212
Passes
67% (180/267)54% (101/186)
Long passes
30% (16/54)30% (19/63)
Passes in final third
49% (42/85)36% (23/64)
Crosses
19% (4/21)0% (0/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.23
Throw-ins
3419
Fouls
1222
Tackles
73% (8/11)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4229
Clearances
2234
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.840.84
Goals prevented
-0.16-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Chang Feiya , Yao-hsing Yu ,
  • 30', Kun L. 🟨,
  • 34', Chen Quanjiang 🟨,
  • 43', Shi Liang 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Liu Hao , Jiang Zhengjie ,
  • 46', Lu Chenghe , Fu Shang ,
  • 46', Ruan Jun , Wu Yuchen ,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Cheukoua M. , Fu Shang (A),
  • 58', Asamoah S. 🟨,
  • 61', Hu Jiajin , Yang Jingfan ,
  • 61', Yang Minjie , You Wenjie ,
  • 69', Huang Chuqi , Zhong Ziqin ,
  • 69', Antwi R. , Liu Xinyu ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Maslac M. , Albarracin N. (A),
  • 78', 1 - 2, Fu Shang , You Wenjie (A),
  • 85', Chen Quanjiang , Ding Quancheng ,
  • 86', Sun Xiaobin , Han Kunda ,
  • 88', Albarracin N. , Zheng Junwei ,
  • 90+3', Jiang Zhengjie 🟨,
  • 90+3', Jiang Zhengjie , Chen Shaohao ,
  • 90+7', Liu Xinyu 🟨,
  • 90+10', Wang Jinshuai 🟨,

Chances of winning


Foshan Nanshi
38.3%
Draw
29.2%
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 28.3% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 29.9% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Foshan Nanshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Foshan Nanshi - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.36)
    3.16
    (3.18)
    2.84
    (2.69)
    8.2%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Foshan Nanshi - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Foshan Nanshi (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Guangxi (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Foshan Nanshi (votes: 1 - 25%). Guangxi (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).
    • Foshan Nanshi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Guangxi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Foshan Nanshi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Foshan Nanshi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Foshan Nanshi - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao were as follows:
    16.05.2025 Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Foshan Nanshi 0:1
    16.09.2024 Foshan Nanshi - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 1:1
    27.04.2024 Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Foshan Nanshi 2:1
    Latest results of Foshan Nanshi
    Chinese Jia League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nantong Zhiyun43105:2310
    2Wuxi Wugou43019:369
    3Guangdong GZ-Power43016:339
    4Shenzhen Juniors43015:419
    5Guangxi Hengchen42025:506
    6Dingnan Ganlian31204:315
    7Yanbian Longding31113:124
    8Dalian K'un City21103:214
    9Nanjing City31112:204
    10Shijiazhuang Gongfu31022:3-13
    11Shaanxi Union31022:3-13
    12Meizhou Hakka42024:6-23
    13Changchun Yatai42024:402
    14Suzhou Dongwu41033:5-20
    15Foshan Nanshi30032:6-40
    16Ningbo Professional40043:10-7-3

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