Lanzhou Longyuan vs Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/10/2025 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 29

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.942.30
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
61% (174/287)68% (223/329)
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.942.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.001.53
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1328
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
16
Free Kicks
1321
Passes
61% (174/287)68% (223/329)
Long passes
34% (26/77)38% (28/73)
Passes in final third
53% (47/88)51% (67/131)
Crosses
42% (5/12)39% (9/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.411.69
Throw-ins
3337
Fouls
2113
Tackles
91% (10/11)79% (11/14)
Duels won
3245
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.531.00
Goals prevented
1.530.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Muhtar Ular , Liu Yang (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Yang Youxian (Pen),
  • 71', Chen Zitong 🟥,
  • 74', Liu Yang , Sun Xu ,
  • 79', Zhou Ziang , Xie Hongyu ,
  • 82', Chen Yuhao , Li Haoyu ,
  • 85', Lu J. , Wang Lingke ,
  • 86', Yang Youxian , Li Jiaheng ,
  • 90', Ling Chuanbin , Cai M. ,

Chances of winning


Lanzhou Longyuan
36.9%
Draw
30.3%
Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 29.9% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 28.9% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lanzhou Longyuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.6)
    3.04
    (3.05)
    2.81
    (2.6)
    8.5%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Guangzhou Dandelion (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangzhou Dandelion (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lanzhou Longyuan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Guangzhou Dandelion's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lanzhou Longyuan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Lanzhou Longyuan 0:0
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port B431010:2810
    2Taian Tiankuang33007:349
    3Dalian Kewei42202:028
    4Shandong Taishan B32016:426
    5Dalian Yingbo B31204:315
    6Lanzhou Longyuan31202:115
    7Nantong Haimen41125:324
    8Qingdao Red Lions30213:4-12
    9Changchun Xidu30211:5-42
    10Shanxi Chongde Ronghai30121:3-21
    11Shanghai Second30125:11-61
    12Beijing Technology40042:9-70


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangzhou Dandelion43016:339
    2Hubei Istar42116:517
    3Chengdu Rongcheng B32014:316
    4Guizhou Guiyang42023:5-26
    5Xiamen Feilu31207:525
    6Jiangxi Lushan41216:515
    7Hangzhou Linping30303:303
    8Wuhan Three Towns B30303:303
    9Ganzhou Ruishi40313:4-13
    10Wenzhou Professional30212:3-12
    11Guangdong Mingtu40224:6-22
    12Shenzhen30212:4-22

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