Guarani vs Itabaiana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Guarani - Itabaiana
Result
2:1
15/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
74
Yellow Cards
44
Total shots
99
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
74
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 9', Kevin , Kauan Santos ,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Bruno Santos ,
  • 38', Raphael 🟨,
  • 44', Betao 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 0, Bruno Santos ,
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Leilson ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Elimar , Karl ,
  • 46', Rafael Bilu , Kaua Jesus ,
  • 62', Gabriel Henrique , Vini Locatelli ,
  • 63', Isaque , Rian Kelvi ,
  • 63', Caio Mello , Mirandinha ,
  • 65', Karl 🟨,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 72', Nathan Camargo 🟨,
  • 73', Bruno Santos , Deni Junior ,
  • 76', Kaua Jesus 🟨,
  • 79', Diego Torres , Mateus Sarara ,
  • 79', Fabricio Oya , David ,
  • 79', Joao Vitor , Robinho ,
  • 88', Kauan Santos 🟨,
  • 90+2', Emerson 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guarani
62.3%
Draw
24.4%
Itabaiana
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 28.6% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 27.8% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarani's performance.
  • Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Itabaiana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guarani that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Itabaiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Guarani - Itabaiana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.89)
    3.73
    (3.17)
    6.84
    (3.83)
    10%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Guarani - Itabaiana?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guarani (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Guarani will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
    • Recent performances by Guarani have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Itabaiana has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Guarani is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Guarani
    31.05.2025 Retrô Brasil - Guarani 0:2
    26.05.2025 Guarani - Figueirense 0:0
    17.05.2025 Floresta - Guarani 0:0
    10.05.2025 Guarani - São Bernardo 0:1
    04.05.2025 Guarani - Botafogo PB 2:1
    Latest results of Itabaiana
    31.05.2025 Floresta - Itabaiana 1:0
    24.05.2025 Itabaiana - Caxias 2:1
    18.05.2025 Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana 1:0
    12.05.2025 Itabaiana - Figueirense 1:1
    03.05.2025 Tombense - Itabaiana 2:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    Second stage

    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Londrina10102:201
    2Sao Bernardo10102:201
    3SER Caxias00000:000
    4Floresta EC00000:000


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ponte Preta11001:013
    2Nautico00000:000
    3Brusque00000:000
    4Guarani10010:1-10

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