Result
2:1
15/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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57% | 43% |
Total shots |
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9 | 9 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 4 |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 4 |
Total shots |
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9 | 9 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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5 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 4 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', Kevin ↓, Kauan Santos ↑,
- 25', 1 - 0, Bruno Santos ⚽,
- 38', Raphael 🟨,
- 44', Betao 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Bruno Santos ⚽,
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Leilson ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Elimar ↓, Karl ↑,
- 46', Rafael Bilu ↓, Kaua Jesus ↑,
- 62', Gabriel Henrique ↓, Vini Locatelli ↑,
- 63', Isaque ↓, Rian Kelvi ↑,
- 63', Caio Mello ↓, Mirandinha ↑,
- 65', Karl 🟨,
- 69', 🟨,
- 72', Nathan Camargo 🟨,
- 73', Bruno Santos ↓, Deni Junior ↑,
- 76', Kaua Jesus 🟨,
- 79', Diego Torres ↓, Mateus Sarara ↑,
- 79', Fabricio Oya ↓, David ↑,
- 79', Joao Vitor ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 88', Kauan Santos 🟨,
- 90+2', Emerson 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guarani 62.3% | Draw 24.4% | Itabaiana 13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarani's performance.Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Itabaiana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guarani that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Itabaiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guarani - Itabaiana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.46 ↓ (1.89) |
3.73 ↑ (3.17) |
6.84 ↑ (3.83) |
10% (10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guarani - Itabaiana?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guarani (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Guarani will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
- Recent performances by Guarani have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Itabaiana has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Guarani is seen as the favorite.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarani won against Itabaiana?
Guarani has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against Guarani?
Itabaiana has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guarani - Itabaiana were as follows:
Latest results of Guarani
Latest results of Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C Table
Second stageGroup B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Londrina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
2 | Sao Bernardo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
3 | SER Caxias | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Floresta EC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ponte Preta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
2 | Nautico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Brusque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Guarani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet