Result
2:1
15/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', Kevin ↓, Kauan Santos ↑,
- 25', 1 - 0, Bruno Santos ⚽,
- 38', Raphael 🟨,
- 44', Betao 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Bruno Santos ⚽,
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Leilson ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Elimar ↓, Karl ↑,
- 46', Rafael Bilu ↓, Kaua Jesus ↑,
- 62', Gabriel Henrique ↓, Vini Locatelli ↑,
- 63', Isaque ↓, Rian Kelvi ↑,
- 63', Caio Mello ↓, Mirandinha ↑,
- 65', Karl 🟨,
- 69', 🟨,
- 72', Nathan Camargo 🟨,
- 73', Bruno Santos ↓, Deni Junior ↑,
- 76', Kaua Jesus 🟨,
- 79', Diego Torres ↓, Mateus Sarara ↑,
- 79', Fabricio Oya ↓, David ↑,
- 79', Joao Vitor ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 88', Kauan Santos 🟨,
- 90+2', Emerson 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guarani
62.3% | Draw
24.4% | Itabaiana
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarani's performance.Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Itabaiana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guarani that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Itabaiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guarani - Itabaiana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.89) |
3.73 ↑
(3.17) |
6.84 ↑
(3.83) |
10%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guarani - Itabaiana?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guarani (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Guarani will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
- Recent performances by Guarani have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Itabaiana has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Guarani is seen as the favorite.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarani won against Itabaiana?
Guarani has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against Guarani?
Itabaiana has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guarani - Itabaiana were as follows:
Latest results of Guarani
Latest results of Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias ✔ | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 36 |
| 2 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 30 |
| 3 | Nautico | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:6 | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | Sao Bernardo | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Londrina | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Floresta EC | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
| 7 | Guarani | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Brusque | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 22 |
| 9 | CSA | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 | Ypiranga FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 21 |
| 11 | Ituano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 | Maringa FC | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 13 | Confianca | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 14 | Botafogo PB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 19 |
| 15 | Anapolis | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 19 |
| 16 | Itabaiana | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:18 | -5 | 18 |
| 17 | Figueirense | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 18 | ABC | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6:20 | -14 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Clinched Spots for Teams
SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
