Result
1:1
18/01/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, HBO Max, PlayPlus, R7, Sky+, TNT Sports, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 2.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (277/329) | 85% (339/399) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 2.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.65 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (277/329) | 85% (339/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 48% (15/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (45/65) | 74% (94/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 2.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Thaciano 🟨,
- 34', Maranhao 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Mirandinha (Penalty Awarded),
- 54', Ze Rafael ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 55', Isaque 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 1, Barreal A. ⚽,
- 63', Mirandinha ↓, Dentinho ↑,
- 63', Guilherme Parede ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
- 64', Isaque ↓, Diego Torres ↑,
- 74', Gabriel Menino ↓, Joao Schmidt ↑,
- 74', Vinicius Lira ↓, Escobar G. ↑,
- 74', Thaciano ↓, Robinho Jr. ↑,
- 81', Willian Farias ↓, Kaua Jesus ↑,
- 89', Rollheiser B. ↓, Miguelito ↑,
- 90', Nathan Melo ↓, Kewen ↑,
- 90+2', Barreal A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Kaua Jesus 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Guarani
19.5% | Draw
27.5% | Santos
53% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Guarani - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.76 ↑
(4.59) |
3.37 ↑
(3.35) |
1.76 ↑
(1.74) |
7.5%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guarani - Santos?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Santos will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Santos is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Santos is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Guarani: Lucca
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Santos: Gabriel Bontempo
(Inactive)
Neymar
(Knee Injury)
Tiquinho Soares
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Guarani: Igor Pereira
(Injury)
Rian
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guarani won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Guarani won against Santos?
Guarani has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Guarani?
Santos has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guarani - Santos were as follows:
21.08.2024
Guarani
-
Santos
1:1
06.05.2024
Santos
-
Guarani
4:1
04.02.2024
Santos
-
Guarani
2:0
18.01.2023
Guarani
-
Santos
2:0
Latest results of Guarani
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Novorizontino ✔ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Guarani | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Capivariano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Santos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Mirassol | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Primavera | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Noroeste | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Velo Clube | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista A2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Novorizontino is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Palmeiras is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Ponte Preta is Relegated to Paulista A2
