Result
1:1
20/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 75', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 85', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Náutico Marcílio Dias
55.8% | Draw
29.1% | Guarany de Bagé
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Náutico Marcílio Dias - Guarany de Bagé Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.66) |
3.16 ↓
(3.4) |
6.08 ↑
(4.7) |
9%
(10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Guarany de Bagé may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marcílio Dias is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marcílio Dias won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Marcílio Dias won against Guarany de Bagé?
Náutico Marcílio Dias has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarany de Bagé won against Náutico Marcílio Dias?
Guarany de Bagé has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Marcílio Dias - Guarany de Bagé were as follows:
27.04.2025
Guarany de Bagé
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
3:3
Latest results of Náutico Marcílio Dias
Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 10 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 12 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 13 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | |
| 2 | America RN | Imperatriz | |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | |
| 4 | ASA | Manauara | |
| 5 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | |
| 6 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | |
| 7 | Mixto | Cianorte | |
| 8 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | |
