Result
4:1
18/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 31
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Ceballos A. ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 0, Somaza D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 58', 2 - 1, Rubi ⚽,
- 67', 3 - 1, Ocejo G. ⚽,
- 88', 4 - 1, Diaz J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Guarnizo
75.1% | Draw
16.2% | Noja
8.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarnizo's performance.Noja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noja than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Guarnizo - Noja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.21 ↓
(1.35) |
5.63 ↑
(4.87) |
10.5 ↑
(6.37) |
9.7%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Guarnizo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Noja is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Guarnizo is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Guarnizo will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarnizo won against Noja?
Guarnizo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Noja won against Guarnizo?
Noja has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guarnizo - Noja were as follows:
Latest results of Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 33 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 81:14 | 67 | 80 |
| 2 | Laredo | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 60:26 | 34 | 67 |
| 3 | Guarnizo | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 44:23 | 21 | 64 |
| 4 | Tropezon | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 45:26 | 19 | 61 |
| 5 | Escobedo | 32 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 55:38 | 17 | 59 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Atletico Albericia | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 57:38 | 19 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayon | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 46:37 | 9 | 53 |
| 9 | Torina | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | Bezana | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 39:37 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 | Castro | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 44:45 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Revilla | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 34:60 | -26 | 30 |
| 13 | CD Barquereno | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
| 14 | Selaya | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 27:41 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | CD Colindres | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 26:42 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Montanas | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 32:78 | -46 | 26 |
| 17 | UC Cartes | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 26:50 | -24 | 26 |
| 18 | Noja | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 20:66 | -46 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
