Result
2:1
12/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 8
- Referee: Parra P. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (362/441) | 86% (318/370) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (362/441) | 86% (318/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (19/57) | 50% (22/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (51/101) | 83% (122/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 18% (6/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Posse F. ⚽, Mohor J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 1, Mero E. ⚽, Ayovi Caicedo J. J. (A),
- 57', Cazares J. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 1, Gonzalez P. ⚽, Ayovi Caicedo J. J. (A),
- 61', Mancilla P. ↓, Cabezas E. ↑,
- 61', Posse F. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
- 61', Viera M. ↓, Cabeza M. ↑,
- 61', Cazares J. ↓, Estacio J. ↑,
- 73', Chamba T. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
- 79', Arroyo D. ↓, Sambonino K. ↑,
- 79', Gonzalez P. ↓, Naula A. ↑,
- 80', Marrufo J. ↓, Medranda M. ↑,
- 88', Diaz D. ↓, Vivar J. ↑,
- 88', Mero E. ↓, Palma M. ↑,
- 90+2', Cabezas E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guayaquil City
37.5% | Draw
31.2% | Deportivo Macará
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guayaquil City's performance.Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Macará might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guayaquil City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Macará could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guayaquil City - Deportivo Macará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.92) |
2.93 ↓
(2.99) |
2.98 ↑
(2.54) |
7.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Guayaquil City - Deportivo Macará?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guayaquil City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Macará will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guayaquil City (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Macará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guayaquil City won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Guayaquil City won against Deportivo Macará?
Guayaquil City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Guayaquil City?
Deportivo Macará has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guayaquil City - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
Latest results of Guayaquil City
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Aucas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Mushuc Runa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Macara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Emelec | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Orense | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Libertad | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Delfin | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4:6 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Leones del Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Manta | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3:13 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
