Result
2:1
04/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Varone I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Cecotti T. ↓, Rigo M. ↑,
- 51', Rigo M. 🟨,
- 52', 2 - 0, Hraiech S. ⚽,
- 56', Gaddini M. ↓, Giani E. ↑,
- 56', Figoli M. ↓, Scacchetti A. ↑,
- 61', Carraro F. ↓, Rosaia G. ↑,
- 71', Minta A. ↓, Djankpata H. ↑,
- 71', Hraiech S. ↓, Di Massimo A. ↑,
- 71', Tentardini A. ↓, Murru N. ↑,
- 71', Panelli T. ↓, Lombardi L. ↑,
- 77', Di Bitonto A. 🟨,
- 78', Varone I. ↓, Fazzi N. ↑,
- 85', Verza N. ↓, Tcheuna R. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Lombardi L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gubbio
46.2% | Draw
30.4% | Carpi
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Gubbio - Carpi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(1.99) |
3 ↓
(3.44) |
3.89 ↑
(3.41) |
9.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Gubbio - Carpi?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Carpi (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carpi (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 3.
- Gubbio is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Carpi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gubbio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Gubbio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gubbio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Gubbio won against Carpi?
Gubbio has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carpi won against Gubbio?
Carpi has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gubbio - Carpi were as follows:
25.10.2025
Carpi
-
Gubbio
0:3
29.03.2025
Carpi
-
Gubbio
0:2
17.11.2024
Gubbio
-
Carpi
1:0
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 57:22 | 35 | 74 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 62:22 | 40 | 74 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 49:30 | 19 | 70 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:37 | 10 | 53 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 44:41 | 3 | 51 |
| 6 | Pineto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 50 |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | Ternana | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:36 | 5 | 45 |
| 10 | Gubbio | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 | Livorno | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 37:51 | -14 | 40 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 28:32 | -4 | 38 |
| 13 | Carpi | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 37 |
| 14 | Perugia | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Forli | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 | Torres | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 31:42 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Bra | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 26:58 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
