Guidonia Montecelio vs Gubbio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
01/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySKY Go Italia

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
59
Shots on target
44
Corner kicks
21
Yellow cards
24
Total shots
59
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
15
Corner kicks
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Hraiech S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Tascone S. , Sannipoli D. ,
  • 57', Spavone A. , Starita E. ,
  • 64', Di Massimo A. , Ghirardello T. ,
  • 65', Errico A. 🟨,
  • 68', Zappella D. 🟨,
  • 75', Minta A. 🟨,
  • 75', Zappella D. , Viteritti O. ,
  • 76', Errico A. , Vitturini D. ,
  • 77', Minta A. , Mastropietro F. ,
  • 77', Hraiech S. , Carraro F. ,
  • 82', 0 - 1, Ghirardello T. ,
  • 85', Podda L. , Fazzi N. ,
  • 87', Ghirardello T. 🟨,
  • 88', Cristini A. , Bafaro A. ,
  • 90+3', Mastropietro F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guidonia Montecelio
38.9%
Draw
35.4%
Gubbio
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 32.8% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 32.4% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Guidonia Montecelio - Gubbio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.4)
    2.58
    (2.81)
    3.55
    (3.19)
    9.5%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Guidonia Montecelio - Gubbio?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Guidonia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guidonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guidonia Montecelio - Gubbio were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Gubbio - Guidonia Montecelio 0:2
    Latest results of Guidonia Montecelio
    Latest results of Gubbio
    21.02.2026 Gubbio - Arezzo 0:1
    15.02.2026 Pontedera - Gubbio 1:1
    12.02.2026 Gubbio - Vis Pesaro 1:0
    08.02.2026 Gubbio - Campobasso 1:0
    31.01.2026 Bra - Gubbio 1:0
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo34228457:223574
    2Ascoli34228462:224074
    3Ravenna35217749:301970
    4Campobasso341510947:371053
    5Juventus U23341491144:41351
    6Pineto3413111041:39250
    7Vis Pesaro3411131036:32446
    8Pianese341016834:33146
    9Ternana3413111041:36545
    10Gubbio3410141029:32-344
    11Livorno351171737:51-1440
    12Guidonia348141228:32-438
    13Carpi349101532:45-1337
    14Perugia348131337:42-537
    15Forli34991639:51-1236
    16Torres346171131:42-1135
    17Sambenedettese346131525:34-931
    18Bra346131534:50-1631
    19Pontedera343112026:58-3220
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation