Result
1:1
15/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport MIX |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Varone I. ⚽,
- 10', Sapola M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Manfredonia M. ↓, Faggi F. ↑,
- 46', Kabashi E. ↓, Buffon L. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Faggi F. ⚽,
- 53', Vitali P. 🟨,
- 54', Djankpata H. ↓, Baroncelli L. ↑,
- 54', Bruscagin M. ↓, Di Bitonto A. ↑,
- 62', Cerretti C. 🟨,
- 62', Tentardini A. ↓, Murru N. ↑,
- 62', Mastropietro F. ↓, Minta A. ↑,
- 72', Podda L. ↓, Zallu F. ↑,
- 73', Emmanuello S. ↓, Caponi A. ↑,
- 73', Yeboah P. ↓, Nabian H. ↑,
- 81', Caponi A. 🟨,
- 86', Varone I. 🟨,
- 87', Raychev A. ↓, Mbambi J. ↑,
- 90+1', Murru N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pontedera
29.1% | Draw
32.2% | Gubbio
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Pontedera - Gubbio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↑
(2.69) |
2.85 ↓
(3.05) |
2.37 ↓
(2.51) |
8.9%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pontedera won 3.
- Pontedera is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Gubbio is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Pontedera won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pontedera won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pontedera won against Gubbio?
Pontedera has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gubbio won against Pontedera?
Gubbio has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pontedera - Gubbio were as follows:
05.10.2025
Gubbio
-
Pontedera
1:1
01.03.2025
Pontedera
-
Gubbio
2:1
20.10.2024
Gubbio
-
Pontedera
0:1
14.04.2024
Gubbio
-
Pontedera
0:0
09.12.2023
Pontedera
-
Gubbio
2:1
Latest results of Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 57:22 | 35 | 74 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 62:22 | 40 | 74 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 49:30 | 19 | 70 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:37 | 10 | 53 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 44:41 | 3 | 51 |
| 6 | Pineto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 50 |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | Ternana | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:36 | 5 | 45 |
| 10 | Gubbio | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 | Livorno | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 37:51 | -14 | 40 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 28:32 | -4 | 38 |
| 13 | Carpi | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 37 |
| 14 | Perugia | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Forli | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 | Torres | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 31:42 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Bra | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 26:58 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
