Gubbio vs Pontedera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Gubbio - Pontedera
Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
12
Corner Kicks
73
Yellow Cards
15
Total shots
77
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', 0 - 1, Zallu F. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rosaia G. , Spina M. ,
  • 47', Vona E. 🟨,
  • 55', Corradini F. 🟨,
  • 66', Ianesi S. , Nabian H. ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Carraro F. ,
  • 73', La Mantia A. , Ghirardello T. ,
  • 73', Zallu F. , Niang O. ,
  • 75', Signorini A. 🟨,
  • 77', Ladinetti R. 🟨,
  • 82', Hraiech S. , Djankpata H. ,
  • 84', Bassanini R. , Polizzi M. ,
  • 85', Pretato M. 🟨,
  • 88', Tentardini A. , Podda L. ,
  • 90+5', Perretta G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Gubbio
52.5%
Draw
28.1%
Pontedera
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 27.6% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 27.1% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gubbio's performance.
  • Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pontedera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gubbio that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontedera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gubbio - Pontedera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (2.02)
    3.3
    (3.3)
    4.77
    (3.35)
    8.1%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Gubbio - Pontedera?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gubbio (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Gubbio will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Gubbio is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gubbio won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gubbio - Pontedera were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Pontedera - Gubbio 2:1
    20.10.2024 Gubbio - Pontedera 0:1
    14.04.2024 Gubbio - Pontedera 0:0
    09.12.2023 Pontedera - Gubbio 2:1
    14.05.2023 Gubbio - Pontedera 1:1
    Latest results of Gubbio
    27.09.2025 Vis Pesaro - Gubbio 1:1
    23.09.2025 Campobasso - Gubbio 2:0
    20.09.2025 Gubbio - Bra 1:0
    13.09.2025 Forlì - Gubbio 0:1
    06.09.2025 Gubbio - Perugia 1:1
    Latest results of Pontedera
    27.09.2025 Pontedera - Forlì 2:1
    23.09.2025 Ternana - Pontedera 2:1
    19.09.2025 Pontedera - Campobasso 0:4
    13.09.2025 Pontedera - Rimini 2:1
    07.09.2025 Pineto - Pontedera 1:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo1191121:71428
    2Ascoli1073021:21924
    3Ravenna1080219:13624
    4Ternana1153314:10418
    5Guidonia115248:7117
    6Forli1051411:8316
    7Campobasso1043315:10515
    8Carpi1043313:12115
    9Pineto1042415:12314
    10Sambenedettese1042413:11214
    11Juventus U231142516:18-214
    12Pianese1034310:10013
    13Gubbio103437:9-213
    14Vis Pesaro1026210:8212
    15Pontedera113268:21-1311
    16Livorno103166:15-910
    17Torres111465:13-87
    18Bra1013610:19-96
    19Perugia100376:17-113
    20Rimini103166:12-6-2

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation