Gubbio vs Pontedera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Gubbio - Pontedera
05/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Gubbio
50.6%
Draw
27.5%
Pontedera
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 27.6% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 27.1% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gubbio's performance.
  • Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pontedera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Gubbio - Pontedera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (2.02)
    3.31
    (3.3)
    4.16
    (3.35)
    9.8%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Gubbio is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gubbio won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gubbio - Pontedera were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Pontedera - Gubbio 2:1
    20.10.2024 Gubbio - Pontedera 0:1
    14.04.2024 Gubbio - Pontedera 0:0
    09.12.2023 Pontedera - Gubbio 2:1
    14.05.2023 Gubbio - Pontedera 1:1
    Latest results of Gubbio
    27.09.2025 Vis Pesaro - Gubbio 1:1
    23.09.2025 Campobasso - Gubbio 2:0
    20.09.2025 Gubbio - Bra 1:0
    13.09.2025 Forlì - Gubbio 0:1
    06.09.2025 Gubbio - Perugia 1:1
    Latest results of Pontedera
    27.09.2025 Pontedera - Forlì 2:1
    23.09.2025 Ternana - Pontedera 2:1
    19.09.2025 Pontedera - Campobasso 0:4
    13.09.2025 Pontedera - Rimini 2:1
    07.09.2025 Pineto - Pontedera 1:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo870116:61021
    2Ravenna760114:8618
    3Ascoli752011:01117
    4Gubbio73316:5112
    5Pianese83328:7112
    6Campobasso732212:7511
    7Sambenedettese732210:8211
    8Juventus U23732212:12011
    9Ternana73139:7210
    10Guidonia73135:6-110
    11Forli73047:709
    12Pineto72238:10-28
    13Carpi72237:10-38
    14Vis Pesaro71426:607
    15Livorno82154:11-77
    16Pontedera72146:13-77
    17Torres71245:9-45
    18Bra71246:10-45
    19Perugia70346:11-53
    20Rimini82155:10-5-4

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation