Result
Gucha Stars awarded
01/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Gucha Stars
51.6% | Draw
28.6% | MCF
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gucha Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gucha Stars's performance.MCF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MCF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gucha Stars than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gucha Stars that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for MCF than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MCF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gucha Stars - MCF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.98) |
3.15 ↑
(3.13) |
4.56 ↑
(3.62) |
11.1%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Gucha Stars has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- MCF has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- Gucha Stars will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Gucha Stars won against MCF?
Gucha Stars has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MCF won against Gucha Stars?
MCF has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gucha Stars - MCF were as follows:
Latest results of Gucha Stars
Kenyan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Migori | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 39:23 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 | Mombasa United | 25 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 38:22 | 16 | 52 |
| 3 | MOFA | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:17 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Equity Bank | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 32:25 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Fortune Sacco | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39:22 | 17 | 42 |
| 6 | 3K FC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 33:17 | 16 | 41 |
| 7 | Kibera | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 20:20 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Naivas FC | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 23:19 | 4 | 37 |
| 9 | Talanta FC | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 25:19 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Nzoia Sugar | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 36 |
| 11 | Nairobi City | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 24:22 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Soy United | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 20:19 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Gucha Stars | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 32 |
| 14 | Luanda Villa | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 18:33 | -15 | 28 |
| 15 | Kabati | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 15:31 | -16 | 24 |
| 16 | Darajani Gogo | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 17:28 | -11 | 24 |
| 17 | Kisumu All-Stars | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 15:33 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Mwatate United | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19:42 | -23 | 18 |
| 19 | Vihiga United | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 19:36 | -17 | 16 |
| 20 | MCF | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 12:23 | -11 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Relegation
