Result
Gucha Stars awarded
01/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Gucha Stars
51.6% | Draw
28.6% | MCF
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gucha Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gucha Stars's performance.MCF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MCF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gucha Stars than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gucha Stars that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for MCF than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MCF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gucha Stars - MCF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.98) |
3.15 ↑
(3.13) |
4.56 ↑
(3.62) |
11.1%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Gucha Stars has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- MCF has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- Gucha Stars will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Gucha Stars won against MCF?
Gucha Stars has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MCF won against Gucha Stars?
MCF has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gucha Stars - MCF were as follows:
Latest results of Gucha Stars
Kenyan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Migori | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 58 |
| 2 | Mombasa United | 28 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 44:26 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Equity Bank | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 39:26 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | 3K FC | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 41:18 | 23 | 50 |
| 5 | MOFA | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 49 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 46:25 | 21 | 46 |
| 7 | Kibera | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 25:23 | 2 | 45 |
| 8 | Naivas FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 28:24 | 4 | 41 |
| 9 | Talanta FC | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 28:24 | 4 | 40 |
| 10 | Soy United | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 24:20 | 4 | 39 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 39 |
| 12 | Nairobi City | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 34 |
| 13 | Gucha Stars | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 27:30 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Kisumu All-Stars | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 18:35 | -17 | 30 |
| 15 | Luanda Villa | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 19:38 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | Darajani Gogo | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 19:34 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Kabati | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 18:37 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 | MCF | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17:30 | -13 | 21 |
| 19 | Mwatate United | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 21:46 | -25 | 21 |
| 20 | Vihiga United | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22:40 | -18 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Relegation
