Result
Gucha Stars awarded
01/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Gucha Stars
51.6% | Draw
28.6% | MCF
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gucha Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gucha Stars's performance.MCF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MCF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gucha Stars than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gucha Stars that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for MCF than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MCF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gucha Stars - MCF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.98) |
3.15 ↑
(3.13) |
4.56 ↑
(3.62) |
11.1%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Gucha Stars has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- MCF has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- Gucha Stars will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Gucha Stars won against MCF?
Gucha Stars has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MCF won against Gucha Stars?
MCF has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gucha Stars - MCF were as follows:
Latest results of Gucha Stars
Kenyan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Migori ✔ | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 2 | Mombasa United ✔ | 30 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 46:26 | 20 | 64 |
| 3 | 3K FC | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 49:21 | 28 | 59 |
| 4 | MOFA | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 46:24 | 22 | 57 |
| 5 | Equity Bank | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 57 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 50:27 | 23 | 53 |
| 7 | Kibera | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 27:24 | 3 | 50 |
| 8 | Naivas FC | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 37:27 | 10 | 47 |
| 9 | Soy United | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 27:23 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Nzoia Sugar | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Talanta FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32:31 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Nairobi City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:29 | -1 | 37 |
| 13 | Gucha Stars | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27:33 | -6 | 34 |
| 14 | Luanda Villa | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 21:39 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | Kisumu All-Stars | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 19:43 | -24 | 30 |
| 16 | Darajani Gogo | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:36 | -17 | 28 |
| 17 | Kabati | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 19:42 | -23 | 27 |
| 18 | MCF | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
| 19 | Mwatate United | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 24 |
| 20 | Vihiga United ✔ | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 25:50 | -25 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Migori is Qualified for Premier League
Mombasa United is Qualified for Premier League
Vihiga United is Relegated to
