Result
3:1
28/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
Chances of winning
Mwatate United
30.5% | Draw
29.1% | Gucha Stars
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mwatate United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Gucha Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gucha Stars's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mwatate United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gucha Stars than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Mwatate United - Gucha Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.54) |
3.11 ↑
(3.06) |
2.25 ↓
(2.55) |
10.2%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Mwatate United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Mwatate United has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mwatate United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Mwatate United won against Gucha Stars?
Mwatate United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gucha Stars won against Mwatate United?
Gucha Stars has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mwatate United - Gucha Stars were as follows:
30.11.2025
Gucha Stars
-
Mwatate United
2:0
Latest results of Mwatate United
Latest results of Gucha Stars
Kenyan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mombasa United | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 2 | Migori | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 30:20 | 10 | 40 |
| 3 | MOFA | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 29:13 | 16 | 38 |
| 4 | 3K FC | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 31:15 | 16 | 37 |
| 5 | Equity Bank | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 32 |
| 7 | Talanta FC | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 21:14 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Kibera | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 16:19 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Soy United | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 17:15 | 2 | 29 |
| 10 | Nairobi City | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 29 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 29 |
| 12 | Naivas FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 28 |
| 13 | Gucha Stars | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 22:23 | -1 | 25 |
| 14 | Kabati | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 15:19 | -4 | 23 |
| 15 | Luanda Villa | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Darajani Gogo | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 14:25 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Mwatate United | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18:34 | -16 | 18 |
| 18 | Kisumu All-Stars | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 18 |
| 19 | Vihiga United | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 13:30 | -17 | 16 |
| 20 | MCF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Relegation
