Result
3:1
28/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
Chances of winning
Mwatate United
30.5% | Draw
29.1% | Gucha Stars
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mwatate United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Gucha Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gucha Stars's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mwatate United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gucha Stars than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Mwatate United - Gucha Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.54) |
3.11 ↑
(3.06) |
2.25 ↓
(2.55) |
10.2%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Mwatate United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Mwatate United has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mwatate United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Mwatate United won against Gucha Stars?
Mwatate United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gucha Stars won against Mwatate United?
Gucha Stars has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mwatate United - Gucha Stars were as follows:
30.11.2025
Gucha Stars
-
Mwatate United
2:0
Latest results of Mwatate United
Latest results of Gucha Stars
Kenyan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Migori | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 58 |
| 2 | Mombasa United | 28 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 44:26 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Equity Bank | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 39:26 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | 3K FC | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 41:18 | 23 | 50 |
| 5 | MOFA | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 49 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 46:25 | 21 | 46 |
| 7 | Kibera | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 25:23 | 2 | 45 |
| 8 | Naivas FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 28:24 | 4 | 41 |
| 9 | Talanta FC | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 28:24 | 4 | 40 |
| 10 | Soy United | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 24:20 | 4 | 39 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 39 |
| 12 | Nairobi City | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 34 |
| 13 | Gucha Stars | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 27:30 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Kisumu All-Stars | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 18:35 | -17 | 30 |
| 15 | Luanda Villa | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 19:38 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | Darajani Gogo | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 19:34 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Kabati | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 18:37 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 | MCF | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17:30 | -13 | 21 |
| 19 | Mwatate United | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 21:46 | -25 | 21 |
| 20 | Vihiga United | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22:40 | -18 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Relegation
