Result
3:1
28/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
Chances of winning
Mwatate United
30.5% | Draw
29.1% | Gucha Stars
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mwatate United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Gucha Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gucha Stars's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mwatate United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gucha Stars than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Mwatate United - Gucha Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.54) |
3.11 ↑
(3.06) |
2.25 ↓
(2.55) |
10.2%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Mwatate United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Mwatate United has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mwatate United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Mwatate United won against Gucha Stars?
Mwatate United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gucha Stars won against Mwatate United?
Gucha Stars has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mwatate United - Gucha Stars were as follows:
30.11.2025
Gucha Stars
-
Mwatate United
2:0
Latest results of Mwatate United
Latest results of Gucha Stars
Kenyan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Migori | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 39:23 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 | Mombasa United | 25 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 38:22 | 16 | 52 |
| 3 | MOFA | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:17 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Equity Bank | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 32:25 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Fortune Sacco | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39:22 | 17 | 42 |
| 6 | 3K FC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 33:17 | 16 | 41 |
| 7 | Kibera | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 20:20 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Naivas FC | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 23:19 | 4 | 37 |
| 9 | Talanta FC | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 25:19 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Nzoia Sugar | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 36 |
| 11 | Nairobi City | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 24:22 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Soy United | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 20:19 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Gucha Stars | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 32 |
| 14 | Luanda Villa | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 18:33 | -15 | 28 |
| 15 | Kabati | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 15:31 | -16 | 24 |
| 16 | Darajani Gogo | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 17:28 | -11 | 24 |
| 17 | Kisumu All-Stars | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 15:33 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Mwatate United | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19:42 | -23 | 18 |
| 19 | Vihiga United | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 19:36 | -17 | 16 |
| 20 | MCF | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 12:23 | -11 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Relegation
