Result
3:1
28/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
Chances of winning
Mwatate United
30.5% | Draw
29.1% | Gucha Stars
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mwatate United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Gucha Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gucha Stars's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mwatate United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gucha Stars than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Mwatate United - Gucha Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.54) |
3.11 ↑
(3.06) |
2.25 ↓
(2.55) |
10.2%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Mwatate United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Mwatate United has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mwatate United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Mwatate United won against Gucha Stars?
Mwatate United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gucha Stars won against Mwatate United?
Gucha Stars has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mwatate United - Gucha Stars were as follows:
30.11.2025
Gucha Stars
-
Mwatate United
2:0
Latest results of Mwatate United
Latest results of Gucha Stars
Kenyan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Migori ✔ | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 2 | Mombasa United ✔ | 30 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 46:26 | 20 | 64 |
| 3 | 3K FC | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 49:21 | 28 | 59 |
| 4 | MOFA | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 46:24 | 22 | 57 |
| 5 | Equity Bank | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 57 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 50:27 | 23 | 53 |
| 7 | Kibera | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 27:24 | 3 | 50 |
| 8 | Naivas FC | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 37:27 | 10 | 47 |
| 9 | Soy United | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 27:23 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Nzoia Sugar | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Talanta FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32:31 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Nairobi City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:29 | -1 | 37 |
| 13 | Gucha Stars | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27:33 | -6 | 34 |
| 14 | Luanda Villa | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 21:39 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | Kisumu All-Stars | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 19:43 | -24 | 30 |
| 16 | Darajani Gogo | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:36 | -17 | 28 |
| 17 | Kabati | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 19:42 | -23 | 27 |
| 18 | MCF | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
| 19 | Mwatate United | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 24 |
| 20 | Vihiga United ✔ | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 25:50 | -25 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Migori is Qualified for Premier League
Mombasa United is Qualified for Premier League
Vihiga United is Relegated to
