Result
1:2
05/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | LPF Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', Soloa F. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Sanchez J. ⚽, Veliz D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Nouet F. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 46', Capurro J. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 1, Moreno M. ⚽, Leineker C. (A),
- 61', Obando A. 🟨,
- 62', Vanegas Zuniga O. L. 🟨,
- 65', 🟨,
- 66', Wuattier E. 🟨,
- 68', Veliz D. ↓, Berges F. ↑,
- 69', Sanchez J. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,
- 72', Leineker C. ↓, Protti I. ↑,
- 73', Baier G. 🟨,
- 78', Baier G. ↓, Quiroz M. ↑,
- 78', Gerez M. ↓, Pugliese G. ↑,
- 79', Godoy F. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 2, Berges F. ⚽, Sala S. G. (A),
- 86', Obando A. ↓, Torrens J. ↑,
- 86', Sala S. G. ↓, Oneto T. ↑,
- 86', Soloa F. ↓, Furtado P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético de Rafaela
44.8% | Draw
36.5% | Güemes
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Atlético de Rafaela - Güemes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.32) |
2.54 ↑
(2.39) |
5.01 ↑
(4.52) |
7.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Atlético de Rafaela - Güemes?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Güemes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
- Atlético Rafaela is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Güemes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Güemes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlético Rafaela is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético Rafaela won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Atlético Rafaela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético de Rafaela won against Güemes?
Atlético de Rafaela has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Güemes won against Atlético de Rafaela?
Güemes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético de Rafaela - Güemes were as follows:
02.10.2022
Güemes
-
Atlético de Rafaela
1:1
Latest results of Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Colon Santa Fe | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Def. de Belgrano | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Godoy Cruz | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Racing Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 11 |
| 6 | Deportivo Madryn | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Los Andes | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Ferro | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | All Boys | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Acassuso | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | San Miguel | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | Almirante Brown | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2:4 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | CA Mitre | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | CA Estudiantes | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Chaco For Ever | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | Nueva Chicago | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Midland | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Temperley | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | San Martin T | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Atl. Rafaela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Quilmes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 10 | Club A. Guemes | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Almagro | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | San Martin S.J | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Atletico Atlanta | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Colegiales | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Patronato | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
| 18 | Deportivo Maipu | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
