Pineto vs Guidonia Montecelio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
11/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
85
Corner kicks
05
Yellow cards
14
Red Cards
01
Total shots
117
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
32
Corner kicks
05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Vigliotti G. ,
  • 11', Santoro S. 🟨,
  • 13', 2 - 0, Gagliardi L. ,
  • 22', Mastrantonio V. , Viteritti O. ,
  • 32', 2 - 1, Zuppel D. ,
  • 41', Cristini A. 🟨,
  • 44', 3 - 1, Ienco S. ,
  • 45+5', Zuppel D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 64', Cristini A. 🟨,
  • 66', Sannipoli D. , Vitturini D. ,
  • 69', 3 - 2, Zuppel D. ,
  • 73', Gagliardi L. , Serbouti A. ,
  • 73', Lombardi L. , Amadio S. ,
  • 81', Vigliotti G. , Marrancone A. ,
  • 81', Pellegrino A. , Viero F. ,
  • 84', Errico A. , Spavone A. ,
  • 84', Starita E. , Bernardotto G. ,
  • 90+5', Ienco S. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 3 - 3, Zuppel D. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Pineto
37%
Draw
31.6%
Guidonia Montecelio
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 28.9% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 27.8% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pineto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Pineto - Guidonia Montecelio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.19)
    2.89
    (3.18)
    2.89
    (3.16)
    9.8%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Pineto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pineto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pineto - Guidonia Montecelio were as follows:
    01.09.2025 Guidonia Montecelio - Pineto 0:2
    Latest results of Pineto
    03.01.2026 Vis Pesaro - Pineto 0:2
    20.12.2025 Pineto - Gubbio 1:0
    15.12.2025 Arezzo - Pineto 3:3
    07.12.2025 Sassari Torres - Pineto 1:1
    29.11.2025 Pineto - Ravenna 0:3
    Latest results of Guidonia Montecelio
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo30207350:203067
    2Ascoli31198455:203565
    3Ravenna31177743:301358
    4Pineto30129939:37245
    5Campobasso30138941:35645
    6Pianese301013731:28343
    7Juventus U23301271137:36143
    8Gubbio301012826:24242
    9Vis Pesaro301012832:29342
    10Ternana30138936:30642
    11Livorno311071433:44-1137
    12Forli30981338:44-635
    13Guidonia308111125:28-335
    14Carpi318101329:40-1134
    15Perugia307101331:37-631
    16Torres315151127:40-1330
    17Sambenedettese316101524:33-928
    18Bra305111432:45-1326
    19Pontedera30391824:53-2918
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation