Ajaccio vs Guingamp – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Ajaccio - Guingamp
Result
0:3
08/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 22
  • Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.37
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
813
Shots on Goal
04
Shots off Goal
61
Blocked Shots
28
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
45
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
10
Free Kicks
1318
Offsides
00
Fouls
1813
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
1811
Touches in the Opposition Box
1819
Passes
84% (344/410)89% (465/523)
Passes in the final third
62% (56/91)86% (127/147)
Crosses
27% (6/22)15% (2/13)
Tackles
57% (8/14)57% (8/14)
Clearances Total
1224
Interceptions
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Le Bris T. ,
  • 42', 0 - 2, Le Bris T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', Jabol-Folcarelli T. 🟨,
  • 56', 0 - 3, Labeau B. , Hemia A. (A),
  • 57', Labeau B. , Luvambo T. ,
  • 60', Huard M. , Santelli B. ,
  • 60', Anziani J. , Junior Pereira da Silva E. ,
  • 69', Barreto M. , Chegra I. ,
  • 70', Luvambo T. 🟨,
  • 72', Sidibe K. , Riou M. ,
  • 72', Hemia A. , Phiri L. ,
  • 72', Ourega D. , Ghrieb R. ,
  • 77', Picard H. , Guendouz S. ,
  • 84', Jabol-Folcarelli T. , Mangani T. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5y7ysjvp

Chances of winning


Ajaccio
28.2%
Draw
32.4%
Guingamp
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28% 30.6% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27% 29.5% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Ajaccio - Guingamp Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (3.31)
    2.88
    (3.02)
    2.37
    (2.24)
    7.2%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Guingamp?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Guingamp will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 29.6%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 6).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1.
    • Recent matches Ajaccio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Guingamp is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Ajaccio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Planeix I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajaccio: Campanini T. (Injury) Jacob V. (Leg Injury) Toure B. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)
    • There are questionable in Guingamp: Sagna A. (Injury) Siwe J. (Muscle Injury) Vallier L. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:15 (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Guingamp were as follows:
    29.10.2024 Guingamp - Ajaccio 1:0
    10.02.2024 Ajaccio - Guingamp 3:0
    18.09.2023 Guingamp - Ajaccio 3:0
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    31.01.2025 Clermont - Ajaccio 0:1
    24.01.2025 Rodez - Ajaccio 1:2
    17.01.2025 Ajaccio - Caen 2:1
    11.01.2025 Bastia - Ajaccio 4:0
    03.01.2025 Ajaccio - Annecy 1:2
    Latest results of Guingamp
    05.02.2025 Toulouse - Guingamp 0:2
    01.02.2025 Guingamp - Paris FC 0:1
    24.01.2025 Caen - Guingamp 0:1
    17.01.2025 Guingamp - Rodez 3:0
    14.01.2025 Guingamp - Sochaux 3:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
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          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
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