Result
0:3
08/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 22
- Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
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| 18 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (344/410) | 89% (465/523) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 62% (56/91) | 86% (127/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 15% (2/13) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 57% (8/14) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, Le Bris T. ⚽,
- 42', 0 - 2, Le Bris T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Jabol-Folcarelli T. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 3, Labeau B. ⚽, Hemia A. (A),
- 57', Labeau B. ↓, Luvambo T. ↑,
- 60', Huard M. ↓, Santelli B. ↑,
- 60', Anziani J. ↓, Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↑,
- 69', Barreto M. ↓, Chegra I. ↑,
- 70', Luvambo T. 🟨,
- 72', Sidibe K. ↓, Riou M. ↑,
- 72', Hemia A. ↓, Phiri L. ↑,
- 72', Ourega D. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,
- 77', Picard H. ↓, Guendouz S. ↑,
- 84', Jabol-Folcarelli T. ↓, Mangani T. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5y7ysjvp
Chances of winning
Ajaccio
28.2% | Draw
32.4% | Guingamp
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Ajaccio - Guingamp Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.31 ↑
(3.31) |
2.88 ↓
(3.02) |
2.37 ↑
(2.24) |
7.2%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Guingamp?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Guingamp will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 6).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1.
- Recent matches Ajaccio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Guingamp is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Ajaccio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Guingamp: Planeix I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Ajaccio: Campanini T.
(Injury)
Jacob V.
(Leg Injury)
Toure B.
(Injury)
Touzghar Y.
(Arm Injury)
- There are questionable in Guingamp: Sagna A.
(Injury)
Siwe J.
(Muscle Injury)
Vallier L.
(Calf Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:15 (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Guingamp?
Ajaccio has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Ajaccio?
Guingamp has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Guingamp were as follows:
29.10.2024
Guingamp
-
Ajaccio
1:0
10.02.2024
Ajaccio
-
Guingamp
3:0
18.09.2023
Guingamp
-
Ajaccio
3:0
Latest results of Ajaccio
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 51:30 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | Red Star | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 44:35 | 9 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 16:32 | -16 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
