Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ligue 2 - Round 30
- Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (369/447) | 81% (334/411) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (369/447) | 81% (334/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (32/54) | 29% (14/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (115/160) | 73% (68/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.97 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 8 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Pagis P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 1 - 0, Ghrieb R. ⚽,
- 56', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Fadiga B. ↑,
- 56', Bamba M. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
- 56', Pagis P. ↓, Ponceau J. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Kroupi E. J. ⚽,
- 62', 1 - 2, Kroupi E. J. ⚽,
- 64', Fadiga B. ↓, James I. ↑,
- 66', Ghrieb R. ↓, Guendouz S. ↑,
- 66', Sagna A. ↓, Mendes J. A. ↑,
- 72', Sidibe K. ↓, Phiri L. ↑,
- 72', Louiserre D. 🟨,
- 77', Picard H. ↓, Luvambo T. ↑,
- 82', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Kalulu G. ↑,
- 90+3', Ponceau J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Igor Silva 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2a6mwctc
Chances of winning
Guingamp
24.9% | Draw
25.7% | Lorient
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guingamp's form might have worsened.Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorient's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guingamp, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorient, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guingamp - Lorient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.79 ↑
(2.84) |
3.64 ↑
(3.52) |
1.91 ↓
(2.31) |
6.3%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS 3
What is the prediction for Guingamp - Lorient?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Lorient will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lorient (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 1.
- Recent matches Guingamp is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Lorient is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Lorient will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Guingamp: Demouchy A.
(Inactive)
Gomis D.
(Red Card)
Labeau B.
(Injury)
Mendes J. A.
(Inactive)
Ndour A.
(Injury)
Ourega D.
(Inactive)
Planeix I.
(Knee Injury)
Sissoko A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N.
(Ankle Injury)
Diarra S.
(Injury)
Katseris P.
(Inactive)
Makengo J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mendy F.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Guingamp: Hemia A.
(Injury)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27:30 (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Guingamp won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16:8 (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Lorient?
Guingamp has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Guingamp?
Lorient has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Lorient were as follows:
09.11.2024
Lorient
-
Guingamp
3:1
10.08.2024
Guingamp
-
Lorient
1:1
22.07.2023
Guingamp
-
Lorient
2:2
16.12.2022
Guingamp
-
Lorient
1:0
Latest results of Guingamp
Latest results of Lorient
Draw
Promotion - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Reims | Bye | |
| 3 | Metz | Bye | |
| 4 | Dunkerque | Guingamp | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Reims | Bye | |
| 2 | Metz | Dunkerque | 1 : 0 |
Final
Which TV channels are streaming of Guingamp - Lorient?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
