Result
2:1
17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 31
- Referee: Abed K. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (502/559) | 86% (391/453) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (502/559) | 86% (391/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (33/48) | 58% (28/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (135/169) | 71% (59/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (9/33) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Sadik O. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Mafouta L. ⚽, Kielt S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 1, Dong K. ⚽, Glossoa N. (A),
- 54', Samoura A. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
- 62', Kielt S. ↓, Sagna A. ↑,
- 62', Sissoko A. ↓, Matumona J. ↑,
- 62', Demoncy Y. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
- 69', Glossoa N. ↓, Pouilly T. ↑,
- 75', Sadik O. ↓, Gasnier K. ↑,
- 76', Ruiz J. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
- 76', Meddah D. 🟨,
- 79', Pouilly T. 🟨,
- 90+4', Anziani J. ↓, Bobichon A. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Dong K. ⚽, Bobichon A. (A),
- 90+5', Dong K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pau
31.9% | Draw
27.8% | Guingamp
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Pau have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Pau - Guingamp Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.93) |
3.39 ↓
(3.58) |
2.33 ↑
(2.22) |
6.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pau - Guingamp?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Guingamp will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Guingamp will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Pau: Briancon A.
(Inactive)
Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Karamoko S.
(Inactive)
Pouilly T.
(Inactive)
Sissoko O.
(Injury)
Versini G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Guingamp: Hatchi J.
(Inactive)
Hemia A.
(Knee Injury)
N'Landu D.
(Knee Injury)
Ott G.
(Knee Injury)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pau won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Guingamp?
Pau has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Pau?
Guingamp has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Guingamp were as follows:
08.11.2025
Guingamp
-
Pau
2:2
10.05.2025
Pau
-
Guingamp
1:3
18.10.2024
Guingamp
-
Pau
0:1
27.04.2024
Pau
-
Guingamp
1:2
26.08.2023
Guingamp
-
Pau
4:0
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes ✔ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 60:32 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 48:31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:38 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Rodez | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 6 | Reims | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Annecy | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 48:37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 40:30 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45:57 | -12 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 51:42 | 9 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Clermont | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Nancy | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Laval | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens ✔ | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
Clinched Spots for Teams
Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National
