Saint-Étienne vs Guingamp – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Saint-Étienne - Guingamp
Result
2:3
27/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 8
  • Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.90
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
88% (557/631)85% (312/368)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.072.66
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1820
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
88% (557/631)85% (312/368)
Long passes
53% (18/34)49% (25/51)
Passes in final third
74% (113/153)77% (71/92)
Crosses
20% (2/10)0% (0/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.34
Throw-ins
2615
Fouls
1212
Tackles
69% (11/16)56% (10/18)
Duels won
3642
Clearances
923
Interceptions
816
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.661.07
Goals prevented
-0.340.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 26', Sidibe K. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Hemia A. ,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Louiserre D. (Own goal),
  • 45+2', Bernauer M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Abdallah A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 58', Davitashvili Z. , Cardona I. ,
  • 58', Moueffek A. , Miladinovic I. ,
  • 60', Jaber M. 🟨,
  • 62', Mbemba F. , Ourega D. ,
  • 62', Sidibe K. , N'Landu D. ,
  • 62', Hatchi J. , Ott G. ,
  • 67', 1 - 2, N'Landu D. ,
  • 76', Jaber M. , Duffus J. ,
  • 76', Annan E. , Ferreira J. ,
  • 78', Mafouta L. , Kielt S. ,
  • 78', Hemia A. , Ahile T. ,
  • 81', 1 - 3, Ahile T. ,
  • 81', Bernauer M. 🟨,
  • 84', Stassin L. , Old B. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 3, Nade M. , Tardieu F. (A),
  • 90+3', Lamba C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Saint-Étienne
62.8%
Draw
20.2%
Guingamp
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 21.6% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 21.1% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Saint-Étienne - Guingamp Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.57)
    4.61
    (4.37)
    5.67
    (5.12)
    6.1%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Guingamp?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Guingamp will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 2.
    • Saint-Étienne is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Guingamp has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Saint-Étienne is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Ekwah P. (Inactive) Ferreira J. (Inactive) Gadegbeku L. (Inactive) N'Guessan D. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Ortola A. (Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive) Sagna A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Guingamp: Ourega D. (Injury)
    • We predict that Saint-Étienne will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Guingamp were as follows:
    04.05.2024 Guingamp - Saint-Étienne 2:2
    05.12.2023 Saint-Étienne - Guingamp 1:3
    06.05.2023 Saint-Étienne - Guingamp 3:2
    17.09.2022 Guingamp - Saint-Étienne 2:1
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    23.09.2025 Amiens - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    20.09.2025 Saint-Étienne - Reims 3:2
    13.09.2025 Clermont - Saint-Étienne 1:2
    30.08.2025 Saint-Étienne - Grenoble 1:1
    23.08.2025 Boulogne - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    Latest results of Guingamp
    23.09.2025 Guingamp - Dunkerque 2:1
    20.09.2025 Troyes - Guingamp 5:2
    15.09.2025 Guingamp - Montpellier 1:0
    30.08.2025 Bastia - Guingamp 1:3
    23.08.2025 Guingamp - Red Star 0:4
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes962119:91020
    2Pau FC962116:8820
    3St Etienne852117:10717
    4Red Star851214:8616
    5Reims842212:9314
    6Guingamp942316:19-314
    7Nancy933310:11-112
    8Montpellier83238:8011
    9Rodez83237:10-311
    10Dunkerque924316:14210
    11Le Mans924311:12-110
    12Clermont92439:13-410
    13Amiens923411:13-29
    14Annecy92349:12-39
    15Boulogne93067:11-49
    16Laval91537:11-48
    17Grenoble81346:10-46
    18Bastia90454:11-74

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National