Result
2:3
27/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 8
- Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (557/631) | 85% (312/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (557/631) | 85% (312/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (18/34) | 49% (25/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (113/153) | 77% (71/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 0% (0/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.66 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', Sidibe K. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Hemia A. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, Louiserre D. (Own goal),
- 45+2', Bernauer M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Abdallah A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Cardona I. ↑,
- 58', Moueffek A. ↓, Miladinovic I. ↑,
- 60', Jaber M. 🟨,
- 62', Mbemba F. ↓, Ourega D. ↑,
- 62', Sidibe K. ↓, N'Landu D. ↑,
- 62', Hatchi J. ↓, Ott G. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, N'Landu D. ⚽,
- 76', Jaber M. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
- 76', Annan E. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
- 78', Mafouta L. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
- 78', Hemia A. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 3, Ahile T. ⚽,
- 81', Bernauer M. 🟨,
- 84', Stassin L. ↓, Old B. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 3, Nade M. ⚽, Tardieu F. (A),
- 90+3', Lamba C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Saint-Étienne
62.8% | Draw
20.2% | Guingamp
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+1%)
Saint-Étienne - Guingamp Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.57) |
4.61 ↑
(4.37) |
5.67 ↑
(5.12) |
6.1%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Guingamp?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Guingamp will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 2.
- Saint-Étienne is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Guingamp has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Saint-Étienne is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Ekwah P.
(Inactive)
Ferreira J.
(Inactive)
Gadegbeku L.
(Inactive)
N'Guessan D.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Guingamp: Nair S.
(Ankle Injury)
Ortola A.
(Injury)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
Sagna A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Guingamp: Ourega D.
(Injury)
- We predict that Saint-Étienne will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Guingamp?
Saint-Étienne has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Saint-Étienne?
Guingamp has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Guingamp were as follows:
04.05.2024
Guingamp
-
Saint-Étienne
2:2
05.12.2023
Saint-Étienne
-
Guingamp
1:3
06.05.2023
Saint-Étienne
-
Guingamp
3:2
17.09.2022
Guingamp
-
Saint-Étienne
2:1
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Star | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | Reims | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Le Mans | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Amiens | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 13 |
| 11 | Clermont | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Rodez | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Annecy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Nancy | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
