Result
2:3
27/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 8
- Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.56 | 0.90 |
Ball Possession |
---|
62% | 38% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
88% (557/631) | 85% (312/368) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.56 | 0.90 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.07 | 2.66 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
88% (557/631) | 85% (312/368) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (18/34) | 49% (25/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
74% (113/153) | 77% (71/92) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (2/10) | 0% (0/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.57 | 0.34 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (11/16) | 56% (10/18) |
Duels won |
---|
36 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
9 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 16 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.66 | 1.07 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.34 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', Sidibe K. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Hemia A. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, Louiserre D. (Own goal),
- 45+2', Bernauer M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Abdallah A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Cardona I. ↑,
- 58', Moueffek A. ↓, Miladinovic I. ↑,
- 60', Jaber M. 🟨,
- 62', Mbemba F. ↓, Ourega D. ↑,
- 62', Sidibe K. ↓, N'Landu D. ↑,
- 62', Hatchi J. ↓, Ott G. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, N'Landu D. ⚽,
- 76', Jaber M. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
- 76', Annan E. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
- 78', Mafouta L. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
- 78', Hemia A. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 3, Ahile T. ⚽,
- 81', Bernauer M. 🟨,
- 84', Stassin L. ↓, Old B. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 3, Nade M. ⚽, Tardieu F. (A),
- 90+3', Lamba C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Saint-Étienne 62.8% | Draw 20.2% | Guingamp 17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+1%)
Saint-Étienne - Guingamp Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.5 ↓ (1.57) |
4.61 ↑ (4.37) |
5.67 ↑ (5.12) |
6.1% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Guingamp?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Guingamp will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 2.
- Saint-Étienne is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Guingamp has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Saint-Étienne is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Ekwah P.
(Inactive)
Ferreira J.
(Inactive)
Gadegbeku L.
(Inactive)
N'Guessan D.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Guingamp: Nair S.
(Ankle Injury)
Ortola A.
(Injury)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
Sagna A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Guingamp: Ourega D.
(Injury)
- We predict that Saint-Étienne will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Guingamp?
Saint-Étienne has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Saint-Étienne?
Guingamp has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Guingamp were as follows:
04.05.2024
Guingamp
-
Saint-Étienne
2:2
05.12.2023
Saint-Étienne
-
Guingamp
1:3
06.05.2023
Saint-Étienne
-
Guingamp
3:2
17.09.2022
Guingamp
-
Saint-Étienne
2:1
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Troyes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 20 |
2 | Pau FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
3 | St Etienne | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 17 |
4 | Red Star | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 16 |
5 | Reims | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
6 | Guingamp | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
7 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
8 | Montpellier | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Rodez | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
10 | Dunkerque | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
11 | Le Mans | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Clermont | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
13 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Annecy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
15 | Boulogne | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
16 | Laval | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
17 | Grenoble | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
18 | Bastia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National