Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 23
- Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (481/568) | 82% (284/348) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (481/568) | 82% (284/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 78% (36/46) | 36% (19/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (131/173) | 70% (55/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (10/39) | 67% (4/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.96 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 5 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Davitashvili Z. (Penalty Awarded),
- 14', 0 - 2, Davitashvili Z. ⚽, Cardona I. (A),
- 25', Mafouta L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Sissoko A. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 2, Gomis D. ⚽, Demoncy Y. (A),
- 66', Sagna A. ↓, Hatchi J. ↑,
- 66', Miladinovic I. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
- 74', Cardona I. 🟨,
- 75', Mbemba F. ↓, Njoya Y. ↑,
- 75', Demoncy Y. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
- 78', Cardona I. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
- 85', Stassin L. ↓, N'Guessan D. ↑,
- 85', Sidibe K. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Guingamp
38% | Draw
26.4% | Saint-Étienne
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1%)
Guingamp - Saint-Étienne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↓
(2.53) |
3.52 ↓
(3.56) |
2.65 ↑
(2.5) |
6.6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Guingamp - Saint-Étienne?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Saint-Étienne (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 3.
- Guingamp is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Saint-Étienne's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Saint-Étienne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Guingamp: Hemia A.
(Knee Injury)
Matumona J.
(Yellow Cards)
N'Landu D.
(Knee Injury)
Nair S.
(Inactive)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
Samoura A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M.
(Inactive)
Ferreira J.
(Red Card)
Jaber M.
(Injury)
Lamba C.
(Injury)
N'Guessan D.
(Inactive)
Soumahoro A.
(Knee Injury)
Tardieu F.
(Inactive)
Traore L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Guingamp: Ott G.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Saint-Étienne?
Guingamp has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Guingamp?
Saint-Étienne has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
27.09.2025
Saint-Étienne
-
Guingamp
2:3
04.05.2024
Guingamp
-
Saint-Étienne
2:2
05.12.2023
Saint-Étienne
-
Guingamp
1:3
06.05.2023
Saint-Étienne
-
Guingamp
3:2
17.09.2022
Guingamp
-
Saint-Étienne
2:1
Latest results of Guingamp
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 41:29 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Red Star | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Reims | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Rodez | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Amiens | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Bastia | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
