GVVV vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
28/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • KNVB Beker - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.381.86
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
60% (129/215)86% (480/560)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.381.86
xG on target (xGOT)
3.511.99
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
3119
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1318
Passes
60% (129/215)86% (480/560)
Long passes
42% (33/78)64% (39/61)
Passes in final third
54% (62/114)71% (90/127)
Crosses
33% (10/30)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.430.77
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
1813
Tackles
83% (10/12)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4163
Clearances
2138
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.993.51
Goals prevented
-0.01-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Spies J. ,
  • 6', 2 - 0, van Soest A. , Dilrosun T. (A),
  • 23', 2 - 1, Theodoridis D. , Niemeijer R. (A),
  • 34', Schoppema L. 🟨,
  • 39', 3 - 1, Veenhof Q. , Maguire B. (A),
  • 45+2', Meeuwsen K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Raterink O. , van der Heide A. ,
  • 46', Bultman S. , de Jong F. ,
  • 54', 4 - 1, Spies J. , Veenhof Q. (A),
  • 57', 4 - 2, Simons J. (Pen),
  • 60', Schoppema L. , Symons K. ,
  • 60', Theodoridis D. , Boersma B. ,
  • 74', Meeuwsen K. , Sint V. ,
  • 75', Besselink R. , Kaninda N. ,
  • 77', Willems M. , Dumay Q. ,
  • 81', van Soest A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', van Soest A. , Slijkhuis G. ,
  • 90+2', Spies J. , de Leeuw D. ,
  • 90+2', Hillen K. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Meerstadt J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


GVVV
29.7%
Draw
25.9%
De Graafschap
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.6% 22.3% 56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8% 21.5% 58.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • GVVV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GVVV's performance.
  • De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and De Graafschap might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for GVVV than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GVVV that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that De Graafschap could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • GVVV - De Graafschap Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.41
    (4.23)
    4.19
    (4.1)
    2.63
    (1.63)
    -8.7%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for GVVV - De Graafschap?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - De Graafschap (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - GVVV (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: De Graafschap will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. GVVV (votes: 1 - 25%). De Graafschap (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • GVVV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, De Graafschap is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of GVVV
    25.10.2025 GVVV - ACV 2:2
    18.10.2025 GVVV - Excelsior Maassluis 1:1
    11.10.2025 RKAV Volendam - GVVV 0:2
    04.10.2025 GVVV - HSV Hoek 1:3
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    24.10.2025 De Graafschap - Jong PSV 3:2
    18.10.2025 De Graafschap - FC Oss 1:1
    11.10.2025 Cambuur - De Graafschap 2:0
    03.10.2025 Jong Ajax - De Graafschap 2:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1HelmondBye
    4ByeZwolle
    8ByeAZ Alkmaar
    9AalsmeerHZVV Hoogeveen2 : 4
    10ByeExcelsior Maassluis
    12ByeExcelsior
    16ByeAjax
    17WalcherenNoordwijk1 : 3
    18ByeHardenberg
    20ByeOss
    24ByeUtrecht
    25USV HerculesGOES4 : 0
    26ByeSpakenburg
    27ErpVV DOVO0 : 4
    28TECSV Poortugaal3 : 2
    29RaalteHVV Hollandia4 : 1
    30SteDoCoDVS '33 Ermelo0 : 2
    32ByeTwente
    33SV JulianaMeerssen0 : 2
    34GemertHuizen2 : 1
    36ByeSittard
    37Harkemase BoysSparta Nijkerk0 : 1
    38KloetingeDVO3 : 0
    40ByeAlmere City
    41HoekRijnvogels6 : 4
    42Blauw GeelVVOG2 : 1
    44ByeEindhoven FC
    45LisseWestlandia1 : 0
    46VV ZwaluwenUrk1 : 2
    48ByeTelstar
    49VVSBCapelle1 : 2
    50ScheveningenStaphorst2 : 0
    52ByeRoda
    56ByeG.A. Eagles
    57NAC BredaBye
    60ByeHeracles
    61De ForestersVV Scherpenzeel2 : 3
    62HoogeveenVelocitas6 : 1
    64ByeFC Emmen
    65TOGBUDI'191 : 3
    66SportlustSportclub 254 : 1
    67Kozakken BoysKampong4 : 0
    68ByeBarendrecht
    69De TreffersBye
    70ByeRKAV Volendam
    72ByeMaastricht
    73EemdijkDongen4 : 0
    74EmmenExcelsior 312 : 5
    76ByeAFC
    77Rijnsburgse BoysBye
    80ByeNijmegen
    81Willem IIBye
    84ByeDordrecht
    85Sparta RotterdamBye
    88ByeGroningen
    89Quick BoysBye
    92ByeFC Volendam
    93HeinoGroene Ster3 : 4
    94IJsselmeervogelsGenemuiden0 : 1
    95HalsterenACV Assen3 : 1
    96AWCASWH0 : 2
    97Den BoschBye
    100ByeDen Haag
    101KatwijkBye
    104ByeVitesse
    105PSVBye
    109ADO 20 HeemskerkRoosendaal0 : 2
    110ByeGVVV
    112ByeDe Graafschap
    113FeyenoordBye
    117VenloBye
    120ByeHeerenveen
    121Olde VesteHSC '210 : 3
    122't ZandMierlo-Hout4 : 2
    123HFCBye
    124UNAARC1 : 2
    125WaalwijkBye
    128ByeCambuur

    1/64-finals
    1HelmondBye
    2ByeZwolle
    4ByeAZ Alkmaar
    5HZVV HoogeveenExcelsior Maassluis1 : 5
    6ByeExcelsior
    8ByeAjax
    9NoordwijkHardenberg0 : 2
    10ByeOss
    12ByeUtrecht
    13USV HerculesSpakenburg1 : 3
    14VV DOVOTEC1 : 0
    15RaalteDVS '33 Ermelo1 : 0
    16ByeTwente
    17MeerssenGemert0 : 1
    18ByeSittard
    19Sparta NijkerkKloetinge4 : 3
    20ByeAlmere City
    21HoekBlauw Geel1 : 0
    22ByeEindhoven FC
    23LisseUrk4 : 1
    24ByeTelstar
    25CapelleScheveningen5 : 1
    26ByeRoda
    28ByeG.A. Eagles
    29NAC BredaBye
    30ByeHeracles
    31VV ScherpenzeelHoogeveen3 : 4
    32ByeFC Emmen
    33UDI'19Sportlust0 : 1
    34Kozakken BoysBarendrecht2 : 3
    35De TreffersRKAV Volendam6 : 3
    36ByeMaastricht
    37EemdijkExcelsior 312 : 1
    38ByeAFC
    39Rijnsburgse BoysBye
    40ByeNijmegen
    41Willem IIBye
    42ByeDordrecht
    43Sparta RotterdamBye
    44ByeGroningen
    45Quick BoysBye
    46ByeFC Volendam
    47Groene SterGenemuiden1 : 2
    48HalsterenASWH3 : 2
    49Den BoschBye
    50ByeDen Haag
    51KatwijkBye
    52ByeVitesse
    53PSVBye
    55RoosendaalGVVV0 : 1
    56ByeDe Graafschap
    57FeyenoordBye
    59VenloBye
    60ByeHeerenveen
    61HSC '21't Zand3 : 1
    62HFCARC5 : 0
    63WaalwijkBye
    64ByeCambuur

    1/32-finals
    1HelmondZwolle1 : 4
    2ByeAZ Alkmaar
    3Excelsior MaassluisExcelsior1 : 0
    4ByeAjax
    5HardenbergOss0 : 2
    6ByeUtrecht
    7SpakenburgVV DOVO5 : 1
    8RaalteTwente1 : 4
    9GemertSittard0 : 1
    10Sparta NijkerkAlmere City0 : 2
    11HoekEindhoven FC3 : 2
    12LisseTelstar0 : 5
    13CapelleRoda1 : 5
    14ByeG.A. Eagles
    15NAC BredaHeracles1 : 4
    16HoogeveenFC Emmen1 : 0
    17SportlustBarendrecht1 : 0
    18De TreffersMaastricht3 : 1
    19EemdijkAFC1 : 2
    20Rijnsburgse BoysNijmegen2 : 3
    21Willem IIDordrecht7 : 0
    22Sparta RotterdamGroningen5 : 2
    23Quick BoysFC Volendam1 : 2
    24GenemuidenHalsteren1 : 0
    25Den BoschDen Haag4 : 3
    26KatwijkVitesse2 : 1
    27PSVBye
    28GVVVDe Graafschap4 : 2
    29FeyenoordBye
    30VenloHeerenveen0 : 3
    31HSC '21HFC3 : 0
    32WaalwijkCambuur3 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1ZwolleAZ Alkmaar1 : 3
    2Excelsior MaassluisAjax2 : 7
    3OssUtrecht0 : 2
    4SpakenburgTwente3 : 6
    5SittardAlmere City2 : 3
    6HoekTelstar1 : 4
    7RodaG.A. Eagles1 : 2
    8HeraclesHoogeveen4 : 1
    9SportlustDe Treffers0 : 1
    10AFCNijmegen1 : 3
    11Willem IISparta Rotterdam1 : 5
    12FC VolendamGenemuiden2 : 0
    13Den BoschKatwijk2 : 1
    14PSVGVVV3 : 0
    15FeyenoordHeerenveen2 : 3
    16HSC '21Waalwijk0 : 9

    1/8-finals
    1AZ AlkmaarAjax6 : 0
    2UtrechtTwente1 : 2
    3Almere CityTelstar1 : 3
    4G.A. EaglesHeracles3 : 2
    5De TreffersNijmegen1 : 2
    6Sparta RotterdamFC Volendam1 : 2
    7Den BoschPSV1 : 4
    8HeerenveenWaalwijk3 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1AZ AlkmaarTwente2 : 1
    2TelstarG.A. Eagles2 : 1
    3NijmegenFC Volendam1 : 0
    4PSVHeerenveen4 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1AZ AlkmaarTelstar
    2NijmegenPSV

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2