De Graafschap vs Cambuur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 37
  • Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.710.87
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
73
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
52
Passes
75% (245/326)82% (338/414)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
1.710.87
xG on target (xGOT)
2.140.88
Total shots
2012
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
67
Blocked shots
72
Shots inside the box
179
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
11
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3221
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free kicks
1212
Passes
75% (245/326)82% (338/414)
Long passes
41% (24/58)42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
59% (54/92)71% (85/119)
Crosses
19% (3/16)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.94
Throw ins
1518
Fouls
1411
Tackles
52% (11/21)75% (15/20)
Duels won
4853
Clearances
1415
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
0.882.14
Goals prevented
-0.12-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, van der Sande J. , Diemers M. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Kaninda N. , de Jong F. (A),
  • 34', El Allachi C. 🟨,
  • 35', Besselink R. 🟨,
  • 42', Galvez T. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Schoppema L. , de Jong F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jermoumi D. , Marsman B. ,
  • 59', Kvam F. , Henstra I. ,
  • 59', Apkakou E. , Berkhout J. ,
  • 62', Kwint K. , Eggens N. ,
  • 62', Martens N. , Hardeman J. ,
  • 63', 3 - 1, Hardeman J. , de Jong F. (A),
  • 69', Balk R. , Visser K. ,
  • 70', El Allachi C. , El Kadiri I. ,
  • 70', Kaninda N. , Simons J. ,
  • 73', Amofa J. 🟨,
  • 80', Galvez T. , Kooistra W. ,
  • 85', Meerstadt J. 🟨,
  • 85', de Jong F. , Smits M. ,
  • 90', Marsman B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


De Graafschap
40.6%
Draw
24.9%
Cambuur
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 24.1% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 23.5% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • De Graafschap - Cambuur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.47)
    3.75
    (3.8)
    2.71
    (2.37)
    6.8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Cambuur?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Cambuur will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
    • Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Cambuur: Visser D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in De Graafschap: Niemeijer R. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:32. (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Cambuur were as follows:
    11.10.2025 Cambuur - De Graafschap 2:0
    28.03.2025 Cambuur - De Graafschap 3:2
    13.12.2024 De Graafschap - Cambuur 0:2
    08.03.2024 Cambuur - De Graafschap 1:2
    08.12.2023 De Graafschap - Cambuur 2:3
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    Latest results of Cambuur
    10.04.2026 Den Bosch - Cambuur 0:0
    06.04.2026 Cambuur - Dordrecht 1:1
    03.04.2026 VVV-Venlo - Cambuur 3:0
    24.03.2026 Emmen - Cambuur 2:4
    20.03.2026 Cambuur - Jong AZ Alkmaar 3:4
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag38292790:375389
    2Cambuur38239675:482778
    3Willem II382081059:421768
    4De Graafschap381891174:581663
    5Almere City381841678:631558
    6Waalwijk3816101271:591258
    7Jong PSV381751666:64256
    8Roda3814131159:54555
    9Den Bosch381491565:69-451
    10Dordrecht3812111548:56-847
    11Eindhoven FC381451951:69-1847
    12Jong Utrecht3812101658:62-446
    13Venlo381361950:58-845
    14FC Emmen381291758:72-1445
    15Vitesse3815111264:55944
    16Oss3811111654:64-1044
    17Jong AZ381242261:76-1540
    18Helmond381091942:62-2039
    19Maastricht389111841:73-3238
    20Jong Ajax38982150:73-2335

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )