Gwangju vs Incheon United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
07/03/2026 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • K League 1 - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play, ENA Sports, JTBC Golf&Sports

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
67
Corner kicks
13
Yellow cards
14
Total shots
612
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
05
Corner kicks
13
Offsides
23
Free kicks
2016
Fouls
1417

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', Min Sang-Gi , Gong B. ,
  • 17', Ibiza 🟨,
  • 27', Kim Gun-Hee 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Choi Kyoung-Rok , Ju Se-Jong (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Oh H. , Kim Myung-soon (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', Jeong Chi-In 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 1, Shin Chang-Moo (Penalty Awarded),
  • 65', Park Jeong-In , Fridjonsson H. ,
  • 65', Ju Se-Jong , Kwon Sung-Yun ,
  • 70', Lee Myoung-Joo , Lee Dong-Ryul ,
  • 70', Jeong Chi-In , Undabarrena I. ,
  • 72', 3 - 1, Shin Chang-Moo , Ha Seung-Un (A),
  • 74', Fridjonsson H. 🟨,
  • 77', Oh H. , Lee Chung-Yong ,
  • 87', Moon Min-seo , Ahn Hyeok-Ju ,
  • 87', Ha Seung-Un , Kang Hui-Su ,
  • 87', Ibiza , Park Kyung-sub ,
  • 87', Kim Gun-Hee , Yeo Seung-Won ,
  • 90+7', 3 - 2, Seo Jae-Min , Mugosa S. (A),
  • 90+13', Kim Myung-soon 🟨,
  • 90+17', Mugosa S. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Gwangju
27%
Draw
32.9%
Incheon United
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 31.2% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gwangju's form might have worsened.
  • Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Incheon United's recent form is better than expected.
  • Gwangju - Incheon United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.44)
    2.84
    (2.99)
    2.36
    (3.06)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Gwangju - Incheon United?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gwangju will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Incheon will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Incheon: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gwangju (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Gwangju (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Gwangju (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 0.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gwangju won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gwangju - Incheon United were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Incheon United - Gwangju 1:0
    14.07.2024 Gwangju - Incheon United 0:2
    25.05.2024 Incheon United - Gwangju 1:1
    03.04.2024 Gwangju - Incheon United 2:3
    28.10.2023 Gwangju - Incheon United 0:2
    Latest results of Gwangju
    01.03.2026 Jeju - Gwangju 0:0
    30.11.2025 Suwon - Gwangju 0:1
    22.11.2025 Gwangju - Ulsan HD 2:0
    08.11.2025 Daegu - Gwangju 1:0
    Latest results of Incheon United
    South Korean K-League 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ulsan HD33007:259
    2Seoul33005:239
    3Daejeon41306:426
    4Gwangju FC41304:316
    5Jeonbuk41215:505
    6Bucheon FC 199541215:505
    7Anyang41215:505
    8Gimcheon Sangmu40404:404
    9Pohang30212:3-12
    10Gangwon30212:4-22
    11Incheon40135:9-41
    12Jeju SK40132:6-41

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