Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 South-korea | Coupang Play, IB Sports |
 World | K League TV, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Shin Chang-Moo 🟨,
- 21', Jeong J. 🟨,
- 36', Shin Chang-Moo ↓, Yu Je-Ho ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Jeong J. ↓, Park In-Hyeok ↑,
- 46', Kim J. ↓, Yuri Tanque ↑,
- 62', Lee Chang-Min ↓, Choi B. ↑,
- 72', Ju Se-Jong ↓, Fridjonsson H. ↑,
- 73', Oh Hoo-Sung ↓, Moon Min-seo ↑,
- 75', Oh Jae-Hyeok ↓, Jang M. ↑,
- 75', Kim Ryun-Seong ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
- 79', Ha Seung-Un ↓, Ahn Young-Kyu ↑,
- 90+2', 0 - 1, Park In-Hyeok (Pen),
- 90+3', Park In-Hyeok 🟨,
- 90+4', Yuri Tanque 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jeju
34.1% | Draw
31.3% | Gwangju
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Jeju - Gwangju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.63) |
3 ↓
(3.22) |
2.71 ↑
(2.7) |
7%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Jeju - Gwangju?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Gwangju will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gwangju (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Jeju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jeju won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Jeju won against Gwangju?
Jeju has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gwangju won against Jeju?
Gwangju has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jeju - Gwangju were as follows:
18.06.2025
Jeju
-
Gwangju
0:1
06.04.2025
Gwangju
-
Jeju
1:0
10.11.2024
Jeju
-
Gwangju
0:0
22.09.2024
Gwangju
-
Jeju
0:2
30.06.2024
Gwangju
-
Jeju
2:1
Latest results of Gwangju
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jeonbuk ✔ | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 52:23 | 29 | 66 |
| 2 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:30 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Daejeon | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 39:37 | 2 | 45 |
| 4 | Pohang | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 45 |
| 5 | Gangwon | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 41 |
| 6 | Seoul | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 40 |
| 7 | Gwangju FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 28:30 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Ulsan HD | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:39 | -3 | 35 |
| 9 | Anyang | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 35:38 | -3 | 33 |
| 10 | Suwon FC | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 40:43 | -3 | 31 |
| 11 | Jeju SK | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 31 |
| 12 | Daegu ✔ | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31:53 | -22 | 19 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Jeonbuk is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
