Gwangju vs Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South Korean Cup Gwangju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
Result
3:2 ET
17/07/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH KOREA: Korean Cup - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
2113
Shots on Goal
165
Shots off Goal
58
Corner Kicks
44
Goalkeeper Saves
313
Yellow Cards
11
Attacks
160139
Dangerous Attacks
9085

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Shin Chang-Moo ,
  • 36', Popovic A. , Cho Sung-Gwon ,
  • 45+1', 2 - 0, Shin Chang-Moo ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Lee Jun-Sang , Ruiz L. ,
  • 46', Jung Seung-Yong , Kim Hun-Min ,
  • 46', Kuk Kwan-woo , Park Ji-Won ,
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Lee Jung-Min ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Ruiz L. ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 120+1', 3 - 2, Joao Magno ,
  • 120+2', Joao Magno 🟨,

Chances of winning


Gwangju
59.6%
Draw
23.4%
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.5% 21.2% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 14.4% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-16.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gwangju that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gwangju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.46)
    3.97
    (4.37)
    5.48
    (6.07)
    8.1%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Gwangju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gwangju will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Seongnam will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gwangju won 2.
    • Recent matches Gwangju is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Seongnam has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Gwangju could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Gwangju is a favorite.
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Gwangju won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20-23.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gwangju won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.
    Latest results of Gwangju
    14.07.2024 Gwangju - Incheon United 0:2
    10.07.2024 Ulsan HD - Gwangju 0:1
    07.07.2024 Gangwon - Gwangju 2:0
    30.06.2024 Gwangju - Jeju 2:1
    25.06.2024 Suwon - Gwangju 1:0
    Latest results of Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1Yangsan EogokBusan Kyotong1 : 2
    2ByeBusan
    4ByeSuwon FC
    5Gwangju FCBye
    7Gyeongju KHNPBye
    8Seoul JungnangPaju Citizen0 : 3
    9Ulsan HDBye
    13Gimhae JaemicsChuncheon2 : 4
    14ByeIncheon
    15GyeongnamBye
    16Pyeongchang UnitedYangpyeong2 : 1
    17HyochangGijang United0 : 4
    18ByeGimpo FC
    19Cheonan CityBye
    20CheongsolPocheon0 : 5
    24ByePohang
    25Yeoju CitizenMokpo4 : 3
    26ByeBucheon FC 1995
    28ByeJeju SK
    29Gimcheon SangmuBye
    31Suwon BluewingsBye
    32ByeSeoul E-Land
    33Incheon SeogotDaejeon Korail0 : 9
    34ByeCheongju
    35ChangwonBye
    36GeonyungNamyangju1 : 5
    40ByeSeoul
    41Dangjin CitizenGangneung1 : 2
    42ByeAsan
    44ByeDaejeon
    45JeonbukBye
    47Ansan GreenersBye
    48Jeonbuk JeonjuPyeongtaek Citizen0 : 6
    49Sejong SAUlsan Citizen3 : 0
    50ByeJeonnam
    52ByeAnyang
    53DaeguBye
    55GimhaeBye
    56Yangcheon TNTGeoje0 : 1
    57GangwonBye
    61Siheung CitizenBye
    62ByeSeongnam
    63HwaseongBye
    64Jinju CitizenYeoncheon1 : 0

    1/32-finals
    1Busan KyotongBusan2 : 1
    2ByeSuwon FC
    3Gwangju FCBye
    4Gyeongju KHNPPaju Citizen4 : 1
    5Ulsan HDBye
    7ChuncheonIncheon0 : 3
    8GyeongnamPyeongchang United0 : 3
    9Gijang UnitedGimpo FC0 : 4
    10Cheonan CityPocheon1 : 0
    12ByePohang
    13Yeoju CitizenBucheon FC 19951 : 3
    14ByeJeju SK
    15Gimcheon SangmuBye
    16Suwon BluewingsSeoul E-Land2 : 1
    17Daejeon KorailCheongju1 : 0
    18ChangwonNamyangju1 : 2
    20ByeSeoul
    21GangneungAsan1 : 0
    22ByeDaejeon
    23JeonbukBye
    24Ansan GreenersPyeongtaek Citizen3 : 1
    25Sejong SAJeonnam3 : 1
    26ByeAnyang
    27DaeguBye
    28GimhaeGeoje5 : 1
    29GangwonBye
    31Siheung CitizenSeongnam3 : 2
    32HwaseongJinju Citizen1 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1Busan KyotongSuwon FC1 : 2
    2Gwangju FCGyeongju KHNP2 : 0
    3Ulsan HDBye
    4IncheonPyeongchang United2 : 1
    5Gimpo FCCheonan City2 : 1
    6ByePohang
    7Bucheon FC 1995Jeju SK1 : 0
    8Gimcheon SangmuSuwon Bluewings2 : 0
    9Daejeon KorailNamyangju3 : 0
    10ByeSeoul
    11GangneungDaejeon1 : 2
    12JeonbukAnsan Greeners3 : 0
    13Sejong SAAnyang0 : 1
    14DaeguGimhae2 : 0
    15GangwonBye
    16Siheung CitizenHwaseong1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Suwon FCGwangju FC1 : 2
    2Ulsan HDIncheon3 : 0
    3Gimpo FCPohang2 : 1
    4Bucheon FC 1995Gimcheon Sangmu3 : 1
    5Daejeon KorailSeoul1 : 2
    6DaejeonJeonbuk2 : 3
    7AnyangDaegu1 : 2
    8GangwonSiheung Citizen2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Gwangju FCUlsan HD1 : 0
    2Gimpo FCBucheon FC 19951 : 3
    3SeoulJeonbuk0 : 1
    4DaeguGangwon1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Gwangju FCBucheon FC 1995
    2JeonbukGangwon

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2