Result
2:1
18/07/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 South-korea | Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports |
 World | K League TV, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Lee K. 🟨,
- 10', Han Chan-Hee 🟨,
- 39', Luan Dias 🟨,
- 44', Jin Si-woo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 61', Ji Dong-Won ↓, Sabbag P. ↑,
- 61', Jeong J. ↓, Oh Hoo-Sung ↑,
- 61', Min Sang-Gi ↓, Byeon Jun-Soo ↑,
- 67', Han Chan-Hee ↓, Kyeong-min K. ↑,
- 67', Sim Sang-Min ↓, Kim Han-Gil ↑,
- 78', 0 - 1, Asani J. (Pen),
- 83', Lee S. ↓, Seo Jae-Min ↑,
- 83', Ahn Hyun-Beom ↓, Andrigo ↑,
- 83', Lee Yong ↓, Lee Hyeon-yong ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Willyan ⚽, Seo Jae-Min (A),
- 90', 2 - 1, Kim Kyung-Min (Own goal),
- 90+8', Lee Ji-Sol 🟨,
Chances of winning
Suwon
30.9% | Draw
29.3% | Gwangju
39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Suwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Suwon - Gwangju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(2.81) |
3.21 ↓
(3.22) |
2.37 ↓
(2.51) |
6.3%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Suwon - Gwangju?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Suwon will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Gwangju will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gwangju: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gwangju (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 2.
- Suwon has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Gwangju is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:33. (average 0.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Suwon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Suwon won against Gwangju?
Suwon has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gwangju won against Suwon?
Gwangju has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Suwon - Gwangju were as follows:
14.05.2025
Suwon
-
Gwangju
1:2
15.02.2025
Gwangju
-
Suwon
0:0
27.07.2024
Gwangju
-
Suwon
1:0
25.06.2024
Suwon
-
Gwangju
1:0
27.04.2024
Gwangju
-
Suwon
1:2
Latest results of Gwangju
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jeonbuk | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 54 |
| 2 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34:24 | 10 | 39 |
| 3 | Daejeon | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 32:27 | 5 | 39 |
| 4 | Seoul | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 5 | Pohang | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 32 |
| 6 | Gwangju FC | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 7 | Ulsan HD | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 30 |
| 8 | Jeju SK | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Gangwon | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 29 |
| 10 | Anyang | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 29:32 | -3 | 27 |
| 11 | Suwon FC | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:30 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 | Daegu | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 24:44 | -20 | 14 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
