Suwon vs Gwangju – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South Korean K-League 1 Suwon - Gwangju
Result
2:1
18/07/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K League 1 - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
chinaChinaK-Ball
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports
worldWorldK League TV, Onefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
76
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
25
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1116
Fouls
1311
Goalkeeper Saves
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Lee K. 🟨,
  • 10', Han Chan-Hee 🟨,
  • 39', Luan Dias 🟨,
  • 44', Jin Si-woo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 61', Ji Dong-Won , Sabbag P. ,
  • 61', Jeong J. , Oh Hoo-Sung ,
  • 61', Min Sang-Gi , Byeon Jun-Soo ,
  • 67', Han Chan-Hee , Kyeong-min K. ,
  • 67', Sim Sang-Min , Kim Han-Gil ,
  • 78', 0 - 1, Asani J. (Pen),
  • 83', Lee S. , Seo Jae-Min ,
  • 83', Ahn Hyun-Beom , Andrigo ,
  • 83', Lee Yong , Lee Hyeon-yong ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Willyan , Seo Jae-Min (A),
  • 90', 2 - 1, Kim Kyung-Min (Own goal),
  • 90+8', Lee Ji-Sol 🟨,

Chances of winning


Suwon
30.9%
Draw
29.3%
Gwangju
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 29.2% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 29.3% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Suwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Suwon - Gwangju Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.04
    (2.81)
    3.21
    (3.22)
    2.37
    (2.51)
    6.3%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Suwon - Gwangju?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Suwon will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Gwangju will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gwangju: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gwangju (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 2.
    • Suwon has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Gwangju is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:33. (average 0.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Suwon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Suwon - Gwangju were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Suwon - Gwangju 1:2
    15.02.2025 Gwangju - Suwon 0:0
    27.07.2024 Gwangju - Suwon 1:0
    25.06.2024 Suwon - Gwangju 1:0
    27.04.2024 Gwangju - Suwon 1:2
    Latest results of Suwon
    14.06.2025 Suwon - Anyang 1:2
    01.06.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon 1:1
    27.05.2025 Suwon - Jeju 0:1
    24.05.2025 FC Seoul - Suwon 1:1
    Latest results of Gwangju
    02.07.2025 Gwangju - Ulsan HD 1:0
    22.06.2025 Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen 2:2
    18.06.2025 Jeju - Gwangju 0:1
    13.06.2025 Gwangju - FC Seoul 1:3
    01.06.2025 Daegu - Gwangju 1:1
    South Korean K-League 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jeonbuk24166243:192454
    2Gimcheon Sangmu24116734:241039
    3Daejeon23109432:27539
    4Seoul2389626:23333
    5Pohang2395929:34-532
    6Gwangju FC2488825:28-332
    7Ulsan HD2286826:24230
    8Jeju SK24851127:32-529
    9Gangwon23851022:28-629
    10Anyang24831329:32-327
    11Suwon FC23671028:30-225
    12Daegu23351524:44-2014

          Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
          K League 1 (Relegation Group: )