Result
14/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Suwon
37.9% | Draw
28% | Gwangju
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Suwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Suwon - Gwangju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↓
(2.49) |
3.36 ↑
(3.32) |
2.75 ↓
(2.76) |
6.6%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 2.
- Recent performances by Suwon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gwangju is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Suwon has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:32. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Suwon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Suwon won against Gwangju?
Suwon has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gwangju won against Suwon?
Gwangju has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Suwon - Gwangju were as follows:
18.07.2025
Suwon
-
Gwangju
2:1
14.05.2025
Suwon
-
Gwangju
1:2
15.02.2025
Gwangju
-
Suwon
0:0
27.07.2024
Gwangju
-
Suwon
1:0
25.06.2024
Suwon
-
Gwangju
1:0
Latest results of Gwangju
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jeonbuk ✔ | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 51:23 | 28 | 63 |
| 2 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:30 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Daejeon | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 39:36 | 3 | 45 |
| 4 | Pohang | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 44 |
| 5 | Seoul | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 35:35 | 0 | 40 |
| 6 | Gwangju FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 28:30 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Gangwon | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 8 | Ulsan HD | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Anyang | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 35:38 | -3 | 33 |
| 10 | Suwon FC | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 40:43 | -3 | 31 |
| 11 | Jeju SK | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 31 |
| 12 | Daegu ✔ | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31:53 | -22 | 19 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Jeonbuk is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
