Result
3:4
22/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 1.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (204/297) | 72% (252/351) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 2.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 13 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (204/297) | 72% (252/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (32/66) | 41% (29/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (104/149) | 65% (77/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (5/35) | 53% (9/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.16 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.55 | 2.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.45 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 20', 0 - 1, Schon S. ⚽,
- 25', 0 - 2, Vitalis M. ⚽, Biro B. (A),
- 33', 0 - 3, Schon S. ⚽,
- 40', Gyurkits G. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 3, Toth B. ⚽, Balogh B. (A),
- 43', Schon S. 🟨,
- 43', Lenzser B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Hinora K. ↓, Adam M. ↑,
- 46', Gyurkits G. ↓, Windecker J. ↑,
- 54', Njie N. ↓, Banati K. ↑,
- 60', Bevardi Z. ↓, Zeke M. ↑,
- 66', Horvath K. ↓, Mate C. ↑,
- 69', Schon S. ↓, Bumba C. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 4, Csinger M. ⚽, Stefulj D. (A),
- 75', Silye E. ↓, Szekszardi M. ↑,
- 77', Krpic M. 🟨,
- 78', 2 - 4, Balogh B. ⚽,
- 80', Toth B. 🟨,
- 85', 3 - 4, Adam M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 88', Toth R. 🟨,
- 89', Gavric Z. ↓, Boldor D. ↑,
- 90', Stefulj D. ↓, Miangue S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paksi SE
32.1% | Draw
25.3% | Győri ETO
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Győri ETO has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Győri ETO than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Paksi SE - Győri ETO Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↑
(2.76) |
3.64 ↓
(3.72) |
2.16 ↓
(2.28) |
8.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paksi SE - Győri ETO?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Győri ETO will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Győri ETO (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paks won 0.
- Paks is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Győri ETO is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Győri ETO may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Győri ETO is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Paks won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paks won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Győri ETO?
Paksi SE has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Győri ETO won against Paksi SE?
Győri ETO has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paksi SE - Győri ETO were as follows:
01.11.2025
Győri ETO
-
Paksi SE
0:0
27.07.2025
Paksi SE
-
Győri ETO
3:3
26.04.2025
Győri ETO
-
Paksi SE
2:0
01.02.2025
Paksi SE
-
Győri ETO
1:1
22.09.2024
Győri ETO
-
Paksi SE
2:1
Latest results of Paksi SE
Latest results of Győri ETO
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 64:30 | 34 | 66 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 64:31 | 33 | 65 |
| 3 | Paks | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 60:45 | 15 | 50 |
| 4 | Debrecen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 49:40 | 9 | 50 |
| 5 | Zalaegerszegi | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 49:40 | 9 | 48 |
| 6 | Puskas Academy | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 45 |
| 7 | Ujpest | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 47:55 | -8 | 40 |
| 8 | Kisvarda | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 36:48 | -12 | 40 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 45:55 | -10 | 39 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 53:60 | -7 | 37 |
| 11 | DVTK ✔ | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 38:62 | -24 | 28 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika ✔ | 32 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 29:68 | -39 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
Clinched Spots for Teams
DVTK is Relegated to NB II.
Kazincbarcika is Relegated to NB II.
