Result
4:2
17/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Borg A. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 0, Vitinho ⚽,
- 41', Joao Moura 🟨,
- 45+2', Costa Goncalves G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Martinez S. ↓, Andre Carlos ↑,
- 46', Mentz G. ↓, Abela D. ↑,
- 46', Borg A. ↓, Cassar N. ↑,
- 54', Farias E. ↓, Pahama N. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Maxuell Samurai ⚽,
- 63', 1 - 2, Andre Carlos ⚽,
- 68', 2 - 2, Costa Goncalves G. ⚽,
- 70', Borg B. 🟨,
- 71', 3 - 2, Pahama N. ⚽,
- 79', Borg B. ↓, Farrugia D. ↑,
- 80', Bonilla J. ↓, Bastic S. ↑,
- 87', Costa Goncalves G. ↓, Guehi S. ↑,
- 90', Fenech M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Vinicius Baiano ↓, Theo Kruger ↑,
- 90+8', 4 - 2, Pahama N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Naxxar Lions
32.5% | Draw
27.7% | Gżira United
39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Naxxar Lions have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Gżira United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Naxxar Lions - Gżira United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78
(2.78) |
3.26 ↓
(3.3) |
2.27 ↑
(2.25) |
10.8%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Naxxar Lions - Gżira United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Naxxar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Gżira has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Naxxar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Naxxar Lions won against Gżira United?
Naxxar Lions has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gżira United won against Naxxar Lions?
Gżira United has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naxxar Lions - Gżira United were as follows:
11.12.2025
Gżira United
-
Naxxar Lions
3:1
03.11.2025
Gżira United
-
Naxxar Lions
2:1
25.07.2025
Naxxar Lions
-
Gżira United
1:3
28.04.2025
Gżira United
-
Naxxar Lions
0:2
25.01.2025
Gżira United
-
Naxxar Lions
1:0
Latest results of Naxxar Lions
Latest results of Gżira United
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana ✔ | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17:5 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | Hamrun ✔ | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 4 | Gzira | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Naxxar | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Valletta | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | Sliema | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Zabbar ✔ | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Tarxien ✔ | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 5 |
| 12 | Mosta ✔ | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2:18 | -16 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Floriana is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )
Hamrun is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )
Zabbar is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
Tarxien is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
Mosta is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
