Häcken vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
2:2
23/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Bandic A. (Bih)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.971.66
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
105
Passes
71% (228/322)85% (419/493)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
1.971.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.922.06
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
2715
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
71% (228/322)85% (419/493)
Long passes
36% (20/55)40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
61% (85/140)65% (68/105)
Crosses
23% (5/22)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.411.16
Throw-ins
1922
Fouls
1113
Tackles
71% (12/17)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4137
Clearances
1928
Interceptions
1711
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.061.92
Goals prevented
0.06-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽, Camello S. (A),
  • 32', Lindberg J. 🟨,
  • 37', Trejo O. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Lindberg J. ⚽, Gustafson S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Trejo O. ↓, de Frutos J. ↑,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Brusberg I. ⚽, Lindberg J. (A),
  • 67', Vertrouwd J. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
  • 67', Palazon I. ↓, Alemao ↑,
  • 67', Camello S. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
  • 67', Andersen S. ↓, Leach S. ↑,
  • 78', Dahbo P. ↓, Layouni A. ↑,
  • 79', Alemao 🟨,
  • 81', Gumbau G. ↓, Ratiu A. ↑,
  • 86', Helander F. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Lindberg J. ↓, Wembangomo B. ↑,
  • 90+2', Rygaard M. ↓, Hammar J. ↑,
  • 90+2', Brusberg I. ↓, Dembe J. ↑,
  • 90+3', Berisha E. 🟨,
  • 90+6', de Frutos J. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Ratiu A. 🟨,
  • 90+12', Batalla A. 🟨,
  • 90+12', Layouni A. 🟨,
  • 90+13', 2 - 2, Ratiu A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Häcken
22.9%		Draw
25.2%		Rayo Vallecano
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.2% 24.9% 52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9% 24.6% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
    •

    Häcken - Rayo Vallecano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.13 ↓
    (4.24)    		 3.76 ↓
    (3.79)    		 1.83 ↑
    (1.78)    		 5.5%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Häcken - Rayo Vallecano?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.75 - Häcken (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Häcken (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Rayo Vallecano will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rayo Vallecano will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Häcken (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Rayo Vallecano (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Gamla Ullevi.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Rayo Vallecano is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Häcken: Abrahamsson P. (Back Injury) Hammar J. (Heel Injury) Kondo S. (Thigh Injury) Laursen J. (Knee Injury) Vaisanen L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe (Hamstring Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Häcken
    18.10.2025 Häcken - Sirius 1:1 ✺
    05.10.2025 Brommapojkarna - Häcken 1:3 ✺
    02.10.2025 Shelbourne - Häcken 0:0 ✺
    27.09.2025 Häcken - Norrköping 2:0 ✺
    21.09.2025 Hammarby - Häcken 4:0 ✺
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    19.10.2025 Levante - Rayo Vallecano 0:3 ✺
    05.10.2025 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 0:1 ✺
    02.10.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Shkendija Tetovo 2:0 ✺
    28.09.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 0:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 3:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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