Häcken vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Football UEFA Europa Conference League Häcken - Rayo Vallecano
Result
2:2
23/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Bandic A. (Bih)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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usaUsaParamount+
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vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.971.66
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
105
Passes
71% (228/322)85% (419/493)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
1.971.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.922.06
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
2715
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
71% (228/322)85% (419/493)
Long passes
36% (20/55)40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
61% (85/140)65% (68/105)
Crosses
23% (5/22)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.411.16
Throw-ins
1922
Fouls
1113
Tackles
71% (12/17)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4137
Clearances
1928
Interceptions
1711
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.061.92
Goals prevented
0.06-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽, Camello S. (A),
  • 32', Lindberg J. 🟨,
  • 37', Trejo O. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Lindberg J. ⚽, Gustafson S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Trejo O. ↓, de Frutos J. ↑,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Brusberg I. ⚽, Lindberg J. (A),
  • 67', Vertrouwd J. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
  • 67', Palazon I. ↓, Alemao ↑,
  • 67', Camello S. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
  • 67', Andersen S. ↓, Leach S. ↑,
  • 78', Dahbo P. ↓, Layouni A. ↑,
  • 79', Alemao 🟨,
  • 81', Gumbau G. ↓, Ratiu A. ↑,
  • 86', Helander F. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Lindberg J. ↓, Wembangomo B. ↑,
  • 90+2', Rygaard M. ↓, Hammar J. ↑,
  • 90+2', Brusberg I. ↓, Dembe J. ↑,
  • 90+3', Berisha E. 🟨,
  • 90+6', de Frutos J. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Ratiu A. 🟨,
  • 90+12', Batalla A. 🟨,
  • 90+12', Layouni A. 🟨,
  • 90+13', 2 - 2, Ratiu A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Häcken
22.9%		Draw
25.2%		Rayo Vallecano
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.2% 24.9% 52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9% 24.6% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
    •

    Häcken - Rayo Vallecano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.13 ↓
    (4.24)    		 3.76 ↓
    (3.79)    		 1.83 ↑
    (1.78)    		 5.5%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Häcken - Rayo Vallecano?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Users Predictions: Rayo Vallecano will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Gamla Ullevi.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Rayo Vallecano is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Häcken: Abrahamsson P. (Back Injury) Hammar J. (Heel Injury) Kondo S. (Thigh Injury) Laursen J. (Knee Injury) Vaisanen L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe (Hamstring Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Häcken
    18.10.2025 Häcken - Sirius 1:1 ✺
    05.10.2025 Brommapojkarna - Häcken 1:3 ✺
    02.10.2025 Shelbourne - Häcken 0:0 ✺
    27.09.2025 Häcken - Norrköping 2:0 ✺
    21.09.2025 Hammarby - Häcken 4:0 ✺
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    19.10.2025 Levante - Rayo Vallecano 0:3 ✺
    05.10.2025 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 0:1 ✺
    02.10.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Shkendija Tetovo 2:0 ✺
    28.09.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 0:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 3:2 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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