Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Rayo Vallecano
38.7%
Draw
27.1%
Real Sociedad
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 26.2% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 26.1% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.44)
    3.52
    (3.63)
    2.79
    (2.73)
    5%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Rayo Vallecano (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Rayo Vallecano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 0:1
    16.01.2025 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 3:1
    18.08.2024 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 1:2
    27.01.2024 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 0:0
    29.10.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad 2:2
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona ✔ 31261484:305479
    2Real Madrid31224565:293670
    3Villarreal31194856:362061
    4Atl. Madrid31176851:321957
    5Betis311113745:38746
    6Celta Vigo311111944:40444
    7Real Sociedad311191149:48142
    8Getafe311251427:32-541
    9Osasuna311091237:38-139
    10Espanyol311081337:48-1138
    11Ath Bilbao311151533:45-1238
    12Girona319111133:45-1238
    13Rayo Vallecano318111229:38-935
    14Valencia31981434:46-1235
    15Mallorca31971539:48-934
    16Sevilla31971539:51-1234
    17Alaves31891435:46-1133
    18Elche317111339:47-832
    19Levante31781635:50-1529
    20Oviedo31691624:48-2427

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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